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Russia-Ukraine: Manufacturing, Agric to Suffer Shocks in Q2 – LCCI

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The Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) says the persisting Russia-Ukraine war will trigger shocks in the manufacturing and agricultural sectors in the second quarter of 2022.

Dr Michael Olawale-Cole, President, LCCI, said this at the LCCI Quarterly press conference on the state of the Nigerian economy on Tuesday in Lagos.

Olawale-Cole said the ongoing war triggered a positive oil price shock with spillover effects on operating costs, raw materials, and inflation in countries not directly engaged in the war.

He noted that Nigeria was not an exception as prices of goods and services were moving northwards with the potential implication of shrinking production of goods and services.

L-R: Vice President, Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI), Engr. Leye Kupoluyi; Director General, LCCI, Dr. Chinyere Almona; President, LCCI, Dr. Michael Olawale-Cole; Deputy Treasurer, LCCI, Mrs. Tola Gbogboade and Vice President, LCCI, Prince Abimbola Olashore during LCCI 2nd Quarter Press Conference on the state of the Nation at Commerce House on Tuesday in Lagos
 

The LCCI president stressed that should the conditions persist, production volumes would be impacted by the raw materials supply chain disruptions, the rising cost of diesel, and other internal security crises.

“Job losses are also very likely due to constrained production and disrupted supply chains and all of these will likely depress growth potential in Q2 2022.

“Going into the second quarter of 2022, the manufacturing sector will likely suffer some shocks from the rising cost of diesel, logistics, foreign exchange illiquidity, domestic inflationary pressure, weakening purchasing power, poor public infrastructure and port-related challenges.

“These may continue to present as headwinds to the sector’s performance.

“Additionally, with the war in Ukraine aggravating disruptions to supply chains of raw materials like wheat, barley, soybeans, sunflower, and corn, the rising cost of production may not abate soon,” he said.

Looking forward to the second quarter, he said Nigerians should expect headline inflation to remain elevated.

This, he said, would be due to supply chain disruptions caused by the Russia-Ukraine war, food supply shocks, FX policies, higher energy costs, FX illiquidity, heightened insecurity in major food-producing states, which would continue to mount pressure consumer prices.

“We believe a broad-based harmonisation of fiscal and monetary policies toward addressing the identified structural constraints will significantly help moderate inflationary pressure in the short term,” he said.

Olawale-Cole urged government to adopt the most sustainable solution of boosting local production of food staples to levels that met local demands.

In addition, the industrialist tasked government to resolve the lingering fuel supply crises by increasing importation to meet growing demand, which was putting pressure on diesel and fuel prices.

“It has also become imperative now that Nigeria needs to have reserves for these critical commodities to meet sudden crashes in supply.

“We have always advocated the removal of fuel subsidies and that such rescued funds be diverted to subsidise the production of goods and services in the face of the rising cost of manufacturing.

“The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) should embark on easing the economy while keeping a tab on controlling rising prices.

“Credit to the private sector should increase and be targeted to support growth sectors and export-promoting sectors.

“Deliberate efforts toward making the business environment more conducive for MSMEs and large corporates at the national, subnational, and local government levels are also very imperative,” he said.

On the energy sector, the LCCI president noted that the national grid was unable to continue to supply sufficient power to meet the country’s electricity demand.

Olawale-Cole recommended that the government should invest more in technology to fight pipeline vandalism and fund critical infrastructure and special purpose intervention in the power sector,” he said. (NAN)

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Aradel, GTCO, others Drag Equity Market Down by N127bn

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The equity market extended its losses on Thursday as the market capitalisation dropped by N127 billion, or 0.21 per cent, from N59.559 trillion to close at N59.432 trillion.

Similarly, the All-Share Index declined by 0.21 per cent, losing 210.2 points to close at 98,081.38, compared to 98,291.

53 recorded on Wednesday.

As a result, the year-to-date return decreased to 31.

17 per cent.

Profit-taking in Aradel Holdings, Guaranty Trust Holding Company (GTCO), Oando, United Capital and UACN, among other declining stocks, drove the market into negative territory.

However, market breadth remained positive, with 29 gainers and 16 losers.

On the gainers’ table, Gold Breweries led by 10 per cent to close at N3.

74, Deap Capital Management and Trust Plc followed by 9.85 per cent to close at N1.45 per share.

Transnational Power gained N29.20 per cent to close at N330.90, Jaiz Bank added 8.64 per cent to close at N2.39, while Transcorp Hotels rose by 7.78 per cent to close at N97 per share.

Conversely, Aradel led the losers’ table  by 10 per cent to close at N694.80,while Regency Alliance Insurance trailed by 8.82 per cent to close at 62k per share.

Daar Communications also went down by 6.78 per cent to close at 55k, UACN dropped 6.70 per cent to close at N20.20, and Oando decreased by 5.82 per cent to close at N76 per share.

Analysis of the market activities showed trade turnover settled lower relative to the previous session, with the value of transactions down 28.74 per cent.

A total of 239.31 million shares valued at N6.41 billion were exchanged in 7,318 deals, compared to 257.55  million shares valued at N9 billion traded by investors in 7,776 deals, recorded in the previous session.

Meanwhile, Sterling Nigeria led the activity table in volume with 42.79 million shares, while Aradel led in value with deals worth N1.04 billion.(NAN)

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JAMB Registrar Cautions Africa against Reliance on Overseas-developed AI Technologies

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The Registrar of Joint Admissions and Matriculation Board (JAMB), Prof. Is-haq Oloyede, on Wednesday in Ilorin advised African nations to guard against reliance on overseas-developed Artificial Intelligence (AI) technologies.

Oloyede gave this advice in his presentation at the University of Ilorin (Unilorin) Lecture Series, titled “Artificial Intelligence and the Future of Humanities”.

The Registrar, who is a former Vice-Chancellor of Unilorin, also cautioned those in the academics who lack adequate knowledge about their subjects against adopting AI.

”Avoid doing this in the quest to seek solution about your subjects. so as not to be mislead,” he said.

Oloyede however allayed the fears that AI would replace humanity, pointing out that the technology has come to stay.

He however maintained that humanity should be in control of AI “if we will save humanity from perdition”.

“African nations need to invest in building their own AI capabilities, so that they will not be entirely dependent on external powers.

“By being part of AI’s global development, they can ensure that they are not exploited or left out of future.

“The African Telecocommunication Unions (ATU), African Union (AU), Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) and Smart Africa must lead the charge in developing AI strategies tailored to the continent’s specific needs,” the JAMB Registrar added.

Oloyede observed that these bodies listed should promote policies that encourage the ethical development and use of AI across sectors such as healthcare, agriculture, education and governance.

He advocated that a collaboration between African countries on AI research and data sharing can help mitigate the risk of relying on overseas-developed AI technologies.

Oloyede, who is a professor of Islamic Studies, tasked scholars in the discipline to take up the challenge of generating content for AI.

He said this would help to ensure that its contents conform with fundamental human rights, values and Islamic doctrines and principles.

“In fields like Islamic Studies and Law, AI must be developed with sensitivity to ethical and cultural contexts.

“Universities and scholars should explore how AI can assist in complex tasks like issuing ‘fatwahs’ or navigating legal ethics, while ensuring that AI aligns with fundamental human rights values,” the professor said.
(NAN)

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FG  Appoints Taskforce to Fast-track Aviation Sector PPPs 

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By Tony Obiechina, Abuja

 Determined to unlock the economic potentials of the aviation sector through investment in Public Private Partnerships (PPPs), the Federal Government has established task forces in the Infrastructure Concession Regulatory Commission (ICRC) and the Ministry of Aviation.

This was the outcome of a courtesy visit by the Director General of the ICRC, Dr Jobson Oseodion Ewalefoh to the Minister of Aviation Festus Keyamo SAN, in Abuja.

Ewalefoh who highlighted the importance of the aviation in galvanizing other sectors to foster the economic potential of the country, said that the Commission had set up its task force to fast-track investment in PPPs.

The Minister took advantage of the visit to also set up a similar task force in the ministry that will liaise with the ICRC team to ensure swift but efficient delivery of infrastructure projects through PPP.

Speaking during the meeting, the ICRC’s helmsman said that with the new streamlined policy direction of the ICRC, and an aviation minister who is a legal luminary, the mistakes of the early years that drove some aviation PPP projects into litigation will now be forestalled, while the pending cases will be resolved.

Ewalefoh said that the nation, like many others around the World, still faces the challenge of funding infrastructure projects, stressing that President Bola Ahmed Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda has a focus on PPPs to boost infrastructure.

While exemplifying the huge investment possibility in the aviation sector, the DG said that between 2003 and 2019 the Heathrow Airport in the UK got an investment of 16 billion pounds in Private sector funds, Nigerian aviation sector holds a lot of investment possibilities without burdening public resources.

He cited the example of Dakar Airport that has attracted an investment of $575 million, 30% of which is from the Bin Laden Group of Saudi Arabia and Kenya where the PPP arrangement has driven passenger traffic from 7 million to 12million.

He stated that Nigeria with over 200 million people should be able to attract the right investments and become the destination hub of the World and a connecting point for Africa.

“We have what it takes, but we need to have the right infrastructure in place. That is why we are here to collaborate with you and ensure that all the projects you have conceptualized will come to fruition within the life time of this administration.

“Aviation sector is an enabler for the economic development of any nation, it is a means for you to connect all the various infrastructure together; it is a means to unlock the potential of this country

“If we get it right, Nigeria’s story will change,” he said.

The DG commended the Minister for getting the Federal Government to sign the Cape Town Convention Practice Direction after over 10 years of attempts and also resolving the problem with the UAE and having Emirate Airlines fly to Nigeria again.

“We have a lot of projects on your table and we want to implore you, if possible, set up a task force for us to do this because the infrastructure gap in Nigeria is so huge that the normal protocol cannot give us the needed time and speed. We need to work day and night and have the right commitment,” he said.

In his response, the Minister of Aviation Festus Keyamo , while corroborating the DG’s position on the need to accelerate PPP projects in the industry, immediately set up a task force to liaise with the ICRC’s team to deliver PPP infrastructure in the aviation sector more speedily,

He said that the ministry has recorded a couple of milestone achievements in the area of policy in the aviation sector, adding that the ministry will focus more on accelerating all the PPP proposals that it has received.

“So we will bring them to you, we will set timelines for ourselves. For each of these projects we are going to set a timeline,” he said.

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