BUSINESS
Diversified Economy Will Unlock Forex Quagmire

By Chisom Adindu
Lately, the country’s external reserves started heading south after impressive accretion over months. This is despite rising international prices of crude oil. No doubt, this sudden reality has however put spikes in the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)’s efforts of maintaining stable Naira exchange rate making it herculean as ever.
As of December 2021, Nigeria’s external reserves was in the region of $40.
5bn having grown about $5.2bn, representing 14.5 per cent rise compared to 2020. This has also brought to fore, the urgent need to be decisive and committed to economic diversification by the federal authorities. Continuous reliance on oil as the major source of earnings is no longer sustainable. Diversifying the economy to agriculture and non-agriculture products as was witnessed during pre-oil era is the panacea to this quagmire.This we also saw in flashes during the last two economic recessions. Indeed, agriculture and non-agriculture products hastened the country’s exit from the recessions. Oil never did. The role agriculture and other non-oil products played was evident of the unrelentless efforts of the Central Bank of Nigeria, boosting Nigeria’s productive capacities with its interventions in the economy to reduce import dependence, embrace backward integration and increase export earnings.
Undeniably, we have not witnessed any significant effort from the fiscal authorities, commensurate with the zeal exhibited by the Bank to ensure a friendly economic environment, conducive for businesses to thrive. Defending the Naira has assumed a renewed pressure, making market watchers suggest a further devaluation of the currency.
This is also because of Nigeria’s import bills gradually climbing amidst global inflationary pressures, thus causing a surge in the cost of key economic commodities as Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), food items and materials for manufacturing. For some months running, the country has been unable to meet her 2.5m barrels per day OPEC production quota, producing only 1,197m barrel per day. Simply because of decaying infrastructure, crude oil theft, and technical inadequacies among others.
Unabating security challenges, crippling farming, and other economic activities in some key food belt areas in the country are further compounding the woes of the domestic currency as investors stay away, while rent seekers are having a field day. With the Central Bank of Nigeria being the only supplier of foreign exchange, foreign investors taking ‘a siddon look’ approach due to apprehensions over ‘over-valued’ Naira, artificial low interest rate and pre-2023 general elections agitations, the reserves may further continue the downward slides, except the fiscal authorities take urgent steps to address these challenges. Major of it all is the insecurity.
This is because if not tackled headlong, CBN’s numerous interventions to galvanize and diversify the economy through agriculture and non-oil products may amount to nothing. The government must fix the decayed infrastructure in the oil and gas sector, making agriculture as a business endeavour enticing to the youths if the hope of diversifying the economy is to be a reality and not the same perennial mouthing of economic diversification we all grew up hearing but has been a mirage.
Equally, some fiscal authorities saddled with the responsibility of fashioning policies to grow the economy should approach the Bank for knowledge sharing and partnership for the onerous task of economic viability and healthiness. The Central Bank of Nigeria has been commended for its supportive efforts in the economy and is being misconstrued in some quarters as de facto Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development, simply because, the Ministry of Agriculture seemed comatose.
The Bank also has been accused of biting more than it can chew, overburdening itself with mandates outside its purview. But would the Bank also sit back and watch the economy go down and do nothing, when the economy it is to maintain monetary and price stability, control inflation, maintain external reserves, safe-guarding the international value of the Naira, as well as promoting sound financial system is collapsing?
*Chisom Adindu writes from Awka
Oil & Gas
NNPC Ltd. Disclaims Fake Financial Scheme

The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC Ltd.) has disowned a fake AI-generated video circulating on social media featuring a cloned voice of the Group CEO, Mr Bayo Ojulari, promoting a fictitious poverty alleviation scheme.
The Chief Corporate Communications Officer, NNPC Ltd.
, Olufemi Soneye in a statement on Thursday clarified that the company had no such investment initiative.Soneye urged the public to disregard the video, originally shared by an account named Mensageiro de Cristo on Facebook.
“NNPC Ltd. has warned the perpetrators to cease their fraudulent actions or face legal consequences,” he said. (NAN)
Economy
We’ll Continue Borrowing Within Sustainable Limits- FG

The Federal Government says it will continue to borrow within manageable and sustainable limits in accordance with the Debt Management Office (DMO) debt sustainability framework.
This is contained in a statement by the Director, Information and Public Relations in the Ministry of Finance, Mr Mohammed Manga, in Abuja on Wednesday.
President Bola Tinubu recently requested the approval of the 2024 – 2026 external borrowing rolling plan from the National Assembly.
Tinubu has requested the National Assembly’s approval to secure external loans of 21.5 million dollars and 15 billion Yuan, along with a grant of 65 million Euro, as part of the federal government’s proposed 2025–2026 external borrowing plan.
Manga said that the proposed borrowing plan was an essential component of the Medium-Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF) in accordance with both the Fiscal Responsibility Act 2007 and the DMO Act 2003.
“The plan outlines the external borrowing framework for both the federal and sub-national governments over a three-year period, accompanied by five detailed appendices on the projects, terms and conditions, implementation period, etc.
“By adopting a structured, forward-looking approach, the plan facilitates comprehensive financial planning and avoids the inefficiencies of ad-hoc or reactive borrowing practices.
“This strategic method enhances the country’s ability to implement effective fiscal policies and mobilise development resources,” he said.
According to the statement, the borrowing plan does not equate to actual borrowing for the period.
“The actual borrowing for each year is contained in the annual budget. In 2025, the external borrowing component is 1.23 billion dollars, and it has not yet been drawn.
“This is planned for H2 2025, the plan is for both federal and several state governments across numerous geopolitical zones including Abia, Bauchi, Borno, Gombe, Kaduna, Lagos, Niger, Oyo, Sokoto, and Yobe States.
“Importantly, it should be noted that the borrowing rolling plan does not equate to an automatic increase in the nation’s debt burden.
“The nature of the rolling plan means that borrowings are split over the period of the projects, for example, a large proportion of projects in the 2024–2026 rolling plan have multi-year drawdowns of between five to seven years which are project-tied loans,” Manga said.
He said that these projects cut across critical sectors of the economy, including power grids and transmission lines, irrigation for improving food security, fibre optics network across the country, fighter jets for security, rail and road infrastructure.
According to him, the majority of the proposed borrowing will be sourced from the country’s development partners, like the World Bank, African Development Bank, French Development Agency, European Investment Bank, JICA, China EximBank, and the Islamic Development Bank.
Manga said that these institutions offer concessional financing with favourable terms and long repayment periods, thereby supporting Nigeria’s development objectives sustainably.
He said that the government seeks to reiterate that the debt service to revenue ratio has started decreasing from its peak of over 90 per cent in 2023.
Manga said that the government has ended the distortionary and inflationary ways and means.
According to him, there is significant revenue expectations from the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Limited (NNPC Ltd), technology-enabled monitoring and collection of surpluses from government owned enterprises and revenue-generating ministries, departments, and agencies and legacy outstanding dues.
“Having achieved a fair degree of macroeconomic stabilisation, the overarching goal of the federal government is to pivot the economy onto a path of rapid, sustained, and inclusive economic growth.
“Achieving this vision requires substantial investment in critical sectors such as transportation, energy, infrastructure, and agriculture.
“These investments will lay the groundwork for long-term economic diversification and encourage private sector participation.
“Our debt strategy is therefore guided not solely by the size of our obligations, but by the utility, sustainability, and economic returns of the borrowing,” he said.(NAN)
The Federal Government says it will continue to borrow within manageable and sustainable limits in accordance with the Debt Management Office (DMO) debt sustainability framework.
This is contained in a statement by the Director, Information and Public Relations in the Ministry of Finance, Mr Mohammed Manga, in Abuja on Wednesday.
President Bola Tinubu recently requested the approval of the 2024 – 2026 external borrowing rolling plan from the National Assembly.
Tinubu has requested the National Assembly’s approval to secure external loans of 21.5 million dollars and 15 billion Yuan, along with a grant of 65 million Euro, as part of the federal government’s proposed 2025–2026 external borrowing plan.
Manga said that the proposed borrowing plan was an essential component of the Medium-Term Expenditure Framework (MTEF) in accordance with both the Fiscal Responsibility Act 2007 and the DMO Act 2003.
“The plan outlines the external borrowing framework for both the federal and sub-national governments over a three-year period, accompanied by five detailed appendices on the projects, terms and conditions, implementation period, etc.
“By adopting a structured, forward-looking approach, the plan facilitates comprehensive financial planning and avoids the inefficiencies of ad-hoc or reactive borrowing practices.
“This strategic method enhances the country’s ability to implement effective fiscal policies and mobilise development resources,” he said.
According to the statement, the borrowing plan does not equate to actual borrowing for the period.
“The actual borrowing for each year is contained in the annual budget. In 2025, the external borrowing component is 1.23 billion dollars, and it has not yet been drawn.
“This is planned for H2 2025, the plan is for both federal and several state governments across numerous geopolitical zones including Abia, Bauchi, Borno, Gombe, Kaduna, Lagos, Niger, Oyo, Sokoto, and Yobe States.
“Importantly, it should be noted that the borrowing rolling plan does not equate to an automatic increase in the nation’s debt burden.
“The nature of the rolling plan means that borrowings are split over the period of the projects, for example, a large proportion of projects in the 2024–2026 rolling plan have multi-year drawdowns of between five to seven years which are project-tied loans,” Manga said.
He said that these projects cut across critical sectors of the economy, including power grids and transmission lines, irrigation for improving food security, fibre optics network across the country, fighter jets for security, rail and road infrastructure.
According to him, the majority of the proposed borrowing will be sourced from the country’s development partners, like the World Bank, African Development Bank, French Development Agency, European Investment Bank, JICA, China EximBank, and the Islamic Development Bank.
Manga said that these institutions offer concessional financing with favourable terms and long repayment periods, thereby supporting Nigeria’s development objectives sustainably.
He said that the government seeks to reiterate that the debt service to revenue ratio has started decreasing from its peak of over 90 per cent in 2023.
Manga said that the government has ended the distortionary and inflationary ways and means.
According to him, there is significant revenue expectations from the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Limited (NNPC Ltd), technology-enabled monitoring and collection of surpluses from government owned enterprises and revenue-generating ministries, departments, and agencies and legacy outstanding dues.
“Having achieved a fair degree of macroeconomic stabilisation, the overarching goal of the federal government is to pivot the economy onto a path of rapid, sustained, and inclusive economic growth.
“Achieving this vision requires substantial investment in critical sectors such as transportation, energy, infrastructure, and agriculture.
“These investments will lay the groundwork for long-term economic diversification and encourage private sector participation.
“Our debt strategy is therefore guided not solely by the size of our obligations, but by the utility, sustainability, and economic returns of the borrowing,” he said.(NAN)
Economy
Organise Informal Sector, Tax Prosperity Not Poverty, Adedeji Tasks Officials

The Chairman, Joint Tax Board (JTB), Dr Zacch Adedeji, has urged officials of the board to organise traders and artisans into a formal body before capturing them in the tax net.
Adedeji said that this was in line with the agenda of President Bola Tinubu not to tax poverty but prosperity.
The chairman stated this at the 157th Joint Tax Board meeting held in Ibadan, on Monday.
The theme of the meeting “Taxation of the Informal Sector: Potentials and Challenges”.
Speaking on the theme of the event, Adedeji stressed the need to evolve a system that would make the informal sector formal before it could be taxed.
Adedeji, who also doubles as the Chairman, Federal Inland Revenue Service, (FIRS), said “What I would not expect from the JTB meeting is to define a system that would tax the informal sector.
“The only thing is to formalize the informal sector, not to design a system on how to collect tax from market men and women.
“As revenue administrator, our goal is to organise the informal sector so that it can fit into existing tax law.”
Citing a report of the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in the first quarter of 2023, the chairman said that the nation’s unemployment index was attributable to recognised informal work.
Adedeji stated that workers in that sector accounted for 92.6 per cent of the employed population in the country as at Q1 2023.
“JTB IS transiting to the Joint Revenue Board with expanded scope and functions.
“We are hopeful that by the time we hold the next meeting of the Board, the Joint Revenue Board (Establishment) Bill would have been signed into Law by the President.
“The meetings of the board provide the platform for members to engage and brainstorm on contemporary and emerging issues on tax, and taxation,” he said.
In his address, Gov. Seyi Makinde of Oyo State, said the theme of the meeting was apt and timely, stressing that it coincides with the agenda of the state to improve on its internally generated revenue.
According to him, the meeting should find the best way forward in addressing the issue of the informal sector and balance the identified challenges.
“Nigeria is rich in natural resources, but it is a poor country because economic prosperity does not base on natural resources,”
Makinde also said that knowledge, skill and intensive production were required for economic prosperity, not just the availability of natural resources.
He stressed the need to move from expecting Federal Allocations to generating income internally.
“We are actively ensuring that people are productive and moving the revenue base forward,” Makinde said.
The governor said that tax drive should be done by simplifying tax processes, incentives for compliance like access to empowerment schemes and loans.
He urged JTB to deepen partnership and innovation in using data on tax to track and administer it.
Earlier, the Executive Chairman, Oyo State Board of Internal Revenue, Mr Olufemi Awakan, said the meeting was to address tax-related matters, evolve a workable, effective and
efficient tax system across the states and at the Federal level.
He urged participants to find amicable solutions to challenges of tax jurisdiction, among others.
Tax administrators from all the 36 states of the federation, who are members of JTB, were in attendance. (NAN)