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Domestic Borrowing to Rise from $18.2tr in 2021 to $20.8tr in 2022 – Report

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By Joseph Amah, Abuja 

A new report by Coronation Merchant Bank, an investment bank has projected that the Federal Government’s domestic borrowings in 2022 will increase by N2.6 trillion. According to the Debt Management Office (DMO), the Federal Government’s total domestic debt was N18.

2 trillion at the end of the third quarter (Q3) of 2021.
 The report also estimated that inflation and gross domestic product (GDP) growth rates would be 13.
88 percent and 2.6 percent, respectively, in 2022.

Coronation Merchant Bank said the country might experience weak portfolio investment inflows due to negative real interest rates as the headline inflation rate remained in double digits.

These projections were contained in the bank’s economic review and 2022 outlook for Nigeria. The report was released on Tuesday during the virtual fourth edition of the bank’s interactive session series themed ‘Nigeria’s Economic Landscape – a Blend of Optimism and Uncertainty’. “Given the current elevated oil price, compared with the oil price benchmark in the 2022 budget, there might be room for the FGN to source funds for fuel subsidy from its windfall/savings,” the report reads. “Overall, we expect the budget deficit this year to be higher than the current projection and that domestic borrowing could exceed N2.6 trillion. This implies upward pressure on FGN bonds and NTB yields. “For 2022, we expect the impact of positive base effects on the headline inflation rate to wither away by the second quarter of the year. “Looking ahead, on the back of specific factors which could result in upward pressure on prices, we have imposed visible fluctuations in the m/m inflation rate using a few assumptions. “These include insecurity, modest exchange rate depreciation, hike in electricity prices, electioneering and the possible N10 per litre excise duty imposed on non-alcoholic carbonated and sweetened beverages. “We see average inflation for FY 2022 at 13.88 per cent y/y and 13.91 per cent y/y at end-December 2022.”While presenting the report at the webinar, Chinwe Egwim, chief economist at Coronation Merchant Bank, said Nigeria’s economy has posted GDP expansion for four quarters since its last recession recorded in 2020.

According to her, the current growth rate levels are unable to halt the steady decline in incomes and the rise in poverty. “This year, we expect some fiscal stimulus on the back of the FGN’s capital expenses. Furthermore, we anticipate investment spending in targeted sectors,” she said. “Looking ahead, overall pre-election expenditure towards the 2023 general elections should also contribute to the growth drive. “For 2022, we expect a GDP growth of 2.6 per cent year-on-year (y/y). Looking ahead, on the back of specific factors, we expect upward pressure on prices. “Overall, consumption patterns are relatively better and are almost mirroring pre-pandemic levels. However, we must note that consumer pockets are still steadily being rebuilt.”

In his remarks, Biodun Adedipe, a business management consultant, emphasised the importance of the non-oil sector in Nigeria’s economic growth. “We have seen the pattern in the last 10 years of non-oil sectors accounting for between 77 and 82 percent in terms of contribution to our GDP, while the oil sector has repeatedly accounted for less than 10 percent,” Adedipe said. “It is now obvious that what drives the economy is the non-oil sector and that is where we will have to pay a lot of attention.”

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Economy

NGX Closes Positive, Investors Gain N74bn

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To end the week, the stock market rebounded from previous losses, gaining N74 billion.

Investor interest in MTN Nigeria, FBN Holdings, Guaranty Trust Holding Company (GTCO) and other equities lifted the market.

Notably, the market capitalisation opened at N56.014 trillion, adding N74 billion or 0.

13 per cent to close at N56.088 trillion.

The All-Share Index also advanced by 0.

13 per cent, or 129.44 points, closing at 97,606.63, compared to 97,477.19 recorded on Thursday.

As a result, the Year-To-Date (YTD) return increased by 30.54 per cent.

The market breadth closed positive, with 31 gainers and 19 losers on the floor of the Exchange.

On the gainers’ chart, Consolidated Hallmark Plc and Sterling Nigeria led by 9.

45 per cent each to close at N1.39 and N4.98 per share respectively.

Mecure followed by 9.19 per cent to close at N10.10, Regency Alliance Insurance gained 9.09 per cent to close at 72k, while Fidson Healthcare Plc increased by 8.24 per cent to close at N15.10 per share.

Conversely, Deap Capital Management and Trust led the losers’ chart by 9.93 per cent to close at N1.36, NEM Insurance trailed by 9.71 per cent to close at N7.90 per share.

Daar Communications also lost 9.52 per cent to close at 57k, Tantalizers shed 9.09 per cent to close at 60k, while Dangote Sugar declined by 3.31 per cent to close at N31 per share.

Analysis of the market activities showed trade turnover settled higher relative to the previous session, with the value of transactions up by 20.33 per cent.

A total of 304.43 million shares valued at N5.60 billion were exchanged in 6,950 deals, compared with 277.75 million shares valued at N4.65 billon in 7,091 deals traded in the previous session.

Meanwhile, Access Corporation led the activity chart in volume and value with 68.26 million shares valued at N1.34 billon.(NAN)

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Oil & Gas

FG Inaugurates Committee to Enhance Gas Distribution in Urban Buildings

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The Ministry of Petroleum Resources has inaugurated a Technical Working Group to enhance gas reticulation practices in Nigeria’s building industry.

The ministry’s Permanent Secretary, Amb. Nicholas Ella inaugurated the Technical Working Group (TWG) between the National Gas Expansion Programme (NGEP) and the Council of Registered Builders of Nigeria (CORBON) on Wednesday.

Reports= says that reticulation refers to the process of creating a network of pipes or tubes to distribute gas or other utilities to buildings or industrial sites.

The permanent secretary restated the importance of creating energy smart cities, saying that modern urban development relies on efficient gas and utility distribution systems,

“Most modern cities in developed countries have evolved to energy smart cities where energy, specifically gas and other utilities are piped to districts and estates.

“However, one of the key tools in creating energy smart city is the National Building
Code which, in essence, sets the guidelines on Building Pre-design, designs, construction and post-construction stages,” he said.

The permanent secretary reiterated the benefits of reticulated gas systems for households and businesses alike, adding that it ensured metered supply akin to water and electricity,

According to him, it eliminates the need for cumbersome refills, and also enhances safety by burying pipes and incorporating advanced safety equipments.

“The TWG is tasked with designing a comprehensive policy to implement best practices for gas reticulation using LPG, PNG, and Bio-Gas across Nigeria’s building sector.

“Key responsibilities include reviewing the current National Building Code, examining global gas distribution systems, and proposing quality standards for materials used in gas installations,” he said.

The permanent secretary emphasised the need for rigorous safety protocols and guidelines to ensure the efficient and safe use of gas in construction.

He urged the group to prioritise environmental sustainability in its recommendations, adding that the group is expected to submit its report by Nov. 15.

Earlier, Mr Samson Opaliwah, the Chairman of CORBON. expressed the council’s commitment to collaborate with the group to ensure safe uptake of gas for use in houses and housing estates in Nigeria.

“I assure you of the williness of CORBON to leverage the expertise and resources at her disposal to ensure that steps are put in place for gas infrastructure in buildings and estates.

“The gas infrastructure will be safe, sustainable and world-class.

” Our collective efforts will yield clear, standardised guidelines for safe and effective gas systems in buildings, matched with a skilled workforce to meet growing demands in Nigeria,” he said. (NAN)

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Agriculture

Experts urge Media to Present Information on Genetically Modified Foods Objectively

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The  National Biotechnology Research and Development Agency (NBRDA) has urged the media to stand in the communication gap in favour of biotechnology development n Nigeria, re-affirming the safety in the consumption of genetically modified foods.

Prof. Abdullahi Mustapha, Director General/Chief Executive Officer of the agency, affirmed this during a one-day media field trip to NBRDA FARMS on Monday in Abuja.

The trip was organised by Open Forum On Agricultural Biotechnology (OFAB), an initiative of the African Agricultural Technology Foundation (AATF).

“Today, you shall be visiting our TELA Maize farms. This provides an exciting opportunity to see for yourselves what we have been doing here and equally gather your findings on what you have seen today and then take back the message to the people to quell some of the miscommunications about Genetically Modified Organisms (GMO) crops.

“TELA Maize hybrid varieties were developed to address some of the pressing challenges facing our farmers, including pests and diseases that can significantly reduce crop yields,” he said.

According to him, the production of the TELA MAIZE hybrid was done through the combined efforts of scientists at the Institute for Agricultural Research (IAR), Zaria in collaboration with stakeholders in key institutions such as NBRDA, NBMA, NASC, and the AATF Research Team.

“We are here to showcase our demonstration farms of genetically modified versions of commonly consumed crops developed by our  scientists that have enjoyed rave reviews from the global world of science and the agricultural sector.

“These experts have worked tirelessly to ensure that this crop is not only high-yielding but also safe for human consumption,” he added.

He noted that the National Biosafety Management Agency (NBMA) has been instrumental in ensuring the safety and efficacy of TELA Maize which is believed to have the potential to transform the agricultural landscape in Nigeria and beyond.

Dr Jean Baptiste, the Regional Representative of the African Agricultural Technology Foundation, said that GMOs were aimed at leveraging the potential of biotechnology to develop a system that will help farmers.

He said Tella maize is a variety, developed using biotechnology methods to control insects.

“It also checks the resistance to drought and controls army worms, and stem borers in maize.

“At the end of the day, the benefits are enormous because it helps farmers increase yield and to be able to meet food security issues.

Dr. Francis Nwankwo, a TELA MAIZE developer from the African Agriculture Technology Foundation (AATF) explained the processes saying Tela maize passed through  a genetic transformation that happens at the DNA level .

“They are not manufactured. What happens is we identify genes that can inhibit the infestation or reduce the infestation of some lepidoptera pests that affect some crops.

“So when we identify those genes we incorporate them into the DNA of maize thereby making it the maize, plus the genes.

“That way we increase the genes and reduce the struggles that our conventional maize go through on our farms like the stem borrower and others,” he said.

In her presentation, Dr Rose Gidado, Director, Agricultural Biotechnology Department, NBRDA, explained that many countries have derived huge benefits from TELA maize citing countries such as the U.S. and Canada.

“We actually brought you here so you could see the disparities between the TELA MAIZE and the non-TELA MAIZE species, and the environment which is far different from what we see on social media.

“We have other crops like beans that have actually been through the same gene transfers and are doing perfectly well and are safe for consumption,” she said.

She, therefore, urged the media to be on the guard in view of a lot of misinformation going round on social media and take responsibility in providing related information to the public adequately and objectively. (NAN)

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