Economy
Gains of Border Closure Outweigh Rising Inflation – FG

By Mathew Dadiya, Abuja
The Federal Government has said that the benefits of the border closure have outweighed the rising inflation.
The government however, assured that the measure was temporary and that the neighboring countries have been told to respect the ECOWAS protocols to enable the reopening of the borders.
Minister of Finance, Budget and National Planning, Mrs. Zainab Ahmed, said this while fielding questions from State House correspondents at the end of the Federal Executive Council (FEC) meeting on Wednesday, presided over by President Muhammadu Buhari in Abuja.
Mrs Ahmed said this also explained that the benefits of the border closure outweigh any the consequences.
Though the minister admitted that the closure of the nation’s borders played a major role in the rising inflation.
However, Ahmed added: “I need to remind us that the border closure is temporary. We have really advanced in our discussions between ourselves and our neigbours. We expect that the outcomes of those discussions and agreements is that each party will respect the protocols that we all committed to and then the borders will be opened again.
“What we are doing is important for our economy. We signed up to the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) agreement, we have to make sure that we put in place checks to make sure that our economy will not be overrun as a result of the coming into effect of the AfCFTA.
“That is why we have this border closure to return to the discipline of respecting the protocols that we all committed to.”
Also speaking on the issue, Minister of information and Culture, Lai Mohammed, further explained that the border closure was necessary as Nigeria could not afford to continue to subsidize West Africa.
“You see, the issue of border closure and I think it will be quite misleading and will not serve the real purpose if our headlines tomorrow is that inflation is as a result of border closure.
“The border closure frankly speaking is what we needed to do and we had to do it. We cannot continue to subsidize the rest of West Africa. And the benefits for border closure for me, I think far surpasses the very little increase in inflation.
“We have been able to save about 30 percent from our fuel consumption which means that over time, we have been subsidizing the fuel consumption of other countries.
“Within the last three months, we have been able to increase by 15 percent duties collected from
Import. Within the same period and this is very important, we have been able to drastically reduce the volumes of arms and ammunition that have been coming into the country through smuggling, ditto with illicit drugs.
“All Nigeria is saying, please let’s respect the protocol on transit. ECOWAS set up a protocol on transit goods, which is very simple. If a container meant for Nigeria is dropped in Cotonou, the authorities in Benin Republic should escort the container to customs in Seme border, and that way proper duty will be levied and will be paid.
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) had in its recent report, indicated that Nigeria’s annual inflation rate was said to have increased to 11.61 per cent in October 2019 from 11.24 per cent in the previous month, reaching the highest since May of 2018.
It was also reported that prices rose mainly for food.
The minister said: “On inflation, headline inflation declined every month for several months before we noticed an uptake in the last two months. And now headline inflation is at about 11.61 percent as at the end of October.
“The slight increase in this inflation between September and October is due to food inflation. The food inflation we are ascribing to prices of cereals, rice and fish, and part of the reason is the border closure.
But the border closure is very very short and temporary and the increase is just about two basic points.
“Remember there was a time inflation was nine percent and it grew to about 18 percent in January 2017 when we were in recession.
The relationship between inflation, interest rates and growth is managed by the monetary authorities and is a management that is tracked on a regular basis.
“So, if you reduce interest rate, you expect more borrowing for investments in the real sector. But at the same time, that also has the tendency of reducing money that is used for consumption on a day to day basis.
“So, it’s a balance that we continue to watch on a regular basis. We expect that this will be moderated as border closure impact fizzles out and also as the monetary authorities continue to support the MPR rate, therefore ensuring that interest rates are not on the high side.”
“But on the contrary, what we have seen happening… and the protocol said, you cannot break the seal, you cannot open the container. But what has been happening over the years is that our neighbours, will transit the container, put about five containers on one truck and drive it to the border as if it is only one container that they are going to pay duties on.
“Worse still, less than even 50 percent of what is meant for Nigeria will come through the approved border.
“So, what we have done and it has maximum effect is ask our neigbours to respect the protocol on transit. if they do that the borders will be opened. But you cannot continue to play the big brother at the expense of national security at the expense of our national economy. “
Economy
Tinubu’s Democracy Speech Reflects Ambitious Vision – LCCI

The Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) says President Bola Tinubu’s Democracy Day speech reflects an ambitious and optimistic vision for Nigeria.
In a statement in Lagos on Thursday, the Director-General of LCCI, Dr Chinyere Almona, said the speech showed government’s appreciation of democracy, economic development, security and social cohesion.
Almona said that the President’s focus on economic growth, improving security, and increasing funding for education, healthcare, and infrastructure promised improved economic performance in the near future.
“We join all Nigerians to celebrate the peaceful transition and commitment to democratic values in the past 26 years.
“A stable political environment is very crucial for business success and for attracting investments.
“Government must stay committed to executing all its proposed programmes and ongoing reforms to ensure Nigerians reap the benefits of democracy without further delay,” she said.
The director-general also urged the government to ensure clear and consistent communication about economic reforms and policies to businesses and the general public.
This, she stated, would reduce uncertainty, build confidence and establish transparent mechanisms for tracking and reporting progress made through reforms.
Almona also called for targeted support for businesses to reduce their cost burdens relating to energy, logistics and regulatory compliance.
She said that LCCI recommended non-cash interventions that could ease the harsh production environment.
Almona also advocated expansion of social safety net programmes to support households affected by high living costs and inflation.
She also called for a more collaborative environment among government, businesses, the civil society and labour unions to ensure fair and timely negotiations on wages and working conditions.
She said that the government must implement programmes that would support strategic sectors pivotal to job creation, tax revenues and infrastructure development.
According to her, the oil and gas, power, and agriculture sectors require special attention as they offer catalytic support to the economy.
“As Nigeria reflects on the progress made and the path ahead, we urge government to remain steadfast about implementing all the required reforms toward a more sustainable and resilient economy.
“We call on government to work toward a nation built on the rule of law, justice and social cohesion even in our diversity and political sophistication,” she said. (NAN)
Economy
World Bank Cuts Global Growth Forecast to 2.3% for 2025

Global economic growth is projected to slow to 2.3 per cent in 2025 due to mounting trade tensions and persistent policy uncertainty, according to the World Bank’s latest Global Economic Prospects report.
A statement from the bank’s Online Media Briefing Centre on Tuesday noted that the new forecast was nearly half a percentage point lower than the rate projected at the beginning of the year.
The report indicated that the slowdown would mark the weakest non-recessionary global growth since 2008.
“The turmoil has resulted in growth forecasts being cut in nearly 70 per cent of all economies, across all regions and income groups,” the report states.
In spite of the gloomy outlook, a global recession is not anticipated. However, if current projections hold, average global growth in the first seven years of the 2020s would be the slowest of any decade since the 1960s.
Indermit Gill, the World Bank Group’s Chief Economist and Senior Vice-President for Development Economics, warned of deepening stagnation in the developing world.
“Outside of Asia, the developing world is becoming a development-free zone. It has been advertising itself for more than a decade,” he said.
Gill noted that growth in developing economies had declined steadily, from 6 per cent annually in the 2000s, to 5 per cent in the 2010s, and to under 4 per cent in the 2020s.
This trend mirrored the slowdown in global trade, which fell from an average of 5 per cent in the 2000s to under 3 per cent today. Investment growth had also weakened, while debt had surged to record levels.
The report projected that growth would slow in nearly 60 per cent of developing economies in 2025, averaging 3.8 per cent before a modest rise to 3.9 per cent in 2026 and 2027.
The report added that more than a full percentage point below the average of the 2010s.
“Growth in low-income countries is expected to reach 5.3 per cent in 2025, a 0.4 percentage point downgrade from earlier forecasts.
“Tariff hikes and tight labor markets are expected to keep global inflation elevated, with a projected average of 2.9 per cent in 2025, still above pre-pandemic levels.”
The World Bank warned that slowing growth would hinder efforts by developing economies to create jobs, reduce poverty, and close the income gap with advanced economies.
“Per capita income growth in these economies is forecast at 2.9 per cent in 2025, 1.1 percentage points below the 2000–2019 average.
“Assuming developing countries (excluding China) maintain a GDP growth rate of 4 per cent the forecast for 2027, it would take them about two decades to return to their pre-pandemic growth trajectory.”
Still, the report noted that global growth could rebound more quickly if major economies reduced trade tensions.
It said that resolving current disputes and halving tariffs could boost global growth by 0.2 percentage points over 2025 and 2026.
In response to rising protectionism, the World Bank urged developing economies to diversify trade, pursue strategic partnerships, and engage in regional agreements.
Given constrained public resources and growing development needs, policymakers are encouraged to mobilise domestic revenue, prioritise spending for the most vulnerable, and enhance fiscal management.
To drive sustainable growth, the report emphasised the need to improve business environments, expand productive employment, and align workforce skills with market demands.
Finally, it highlighted the importance of global cooperation in supporting the most vulnerable economies through multilateral initiatives, concessional financing, and targeted relief for countries affected by conflict.(NAN)
Economy
Eid-el-Kabir: Ram Sellers Decry Low Patronage as Prices Soar in Ile-Ife

The Chairman, Ram Sellers’ Association, Odo-Ogbe Market, Ile-Ife, Osun, Alhaji Akeem Salahudeen, has complained of low patronage, attributing it to high cost of rams and the economy situation in the country.
Salahudeen stated this in an interview on Wednesday in Ile-Ife.
He said that the big sized ram which was sold between N550,000 and N620,000 last year are now being sold at the rate of N800,000 to N1.
2 million.He added that the medium sized ram which was sold between N300,000 and N350,000 last year is now going for between N450,000 and N550,000.
According to him, small sized ram sold for N200,000 and N230,000 last year now attracts N300,000 and N450,000 this year.
He attributed the increase in the prices of rams in this year’s Sallah to the insecurity in the North, which he claimed had disrupted the supply chain.
“They said the worsening insecurity in the North has forced some sellers to import rams from neighbouring countries like Niger, Mali and Chad, which they said contributed to the high prices,” he emphasised.
At Sabo Cattle Market in Ile-Ife, Alhaji Saheed Yaro, said that the price of rams has surged as the small sized ram which was sold at N150,000 and N180,000 last year, is now being sold between N250,000 and N350,000.
Yaro added that the price of medium sized ram which was between N185,000 and N260,000 last year now goes for between N350,000 to N450,000.
Accordingly, the big sized ram sold between N480,000 and N500,000 last year is now between N550,000 and N780,000.
At Boosa Cattle Market located at Modakeke, Mr Musa Salami stated that prices of rams have witnessed sharp increase with a medium sized ram which was for N170,000 to N200,000 last year is now at N250,000 to N300,000.
Salami stated further that the big sized ram that was sold at N350,000 and N400,000 is now being sold at N600,000 to N750,000.
He added that he brought 150 rams a week ago, but has been able to sell only 15, explaining that many customers turned back on hearing prices without buying.
He noted that customers who usually bought rams from him over the years are now complaining about costs.
NAN reports that ram sellers expressed concern over low patronage in many markets, saying that customers were lamenting the high cost of the animals.
A civil servant, Mr Bayo Olabisi, said that most workers in the state cannot afford to buy rams for this year’s Eid-el-Kabir due to the high prices and the economic hardship.
Olabisi added that the present economic hardship has been taken a toll on the workers, especially with the high transportation and other costs following the removal of fuel subsidy by the government.
“In fact, I visited three places where they sell rams, but I couldn’t buy any because I can’t afford to buy.
“When I priced a medium sized ram, the seller told me N250,000, the same size of ram I bought for N150,000 last year.
“I would rather use part of my salary to buy half bag of rice and two chickens for my family.
“For Allah has said that if you can’t afford ram, you should not borrow or buy on credit because there’s no reward on that,“ he said. (NAN)