COVER
Nigeria’s Economic Outlook, Cloudy-CBN
By Tony Obiechina, Abuja
The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) on Tuesday raised the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), also known as interest rate, from 13.5% to 15.5% as its way of tackling inflation.
The apex bank governor, Mr Godwin Emefiele made the annoucement at a media briefing after that Monetary Policy Committee meeting in Abuja.
This is the highest rates adopted by the CBN after it held the Minimum Rediscounted Rate (MRR) at 15 per cent on August 17, 2003.
The MRR was the rate adopted by the CBN until it introduced a new Monetary policy framework in 2006 which replaced MRR with Monetary Policy Rate (MPR).
The CBN governor, who spoke after the 287th MPC meeting, said its decision was a move to save the naira and curb inflation, adding that the members voted unanimously to raise the rates.
It could be recalled that benchmark lending rate was as low as six per cent 13 years ago in 2009.
When Covid-19 struck in 2020, the MPC reduced the MPR by 100 basis points from 12.5 to 11.5 per cent.
But this was increased to 13.0 per cent and by another 100 basis points to 14 per cent in May and July 2022 respectively.
Currently, Nigeria’s inflation is at 20.52 per cent according to the National Bureau of Statistics Consumer Price Index for in August 2022.
During the meeting, the apex bank governor said high energy cost and electricity tariff pushed the inflation upwards.
According to him, the increase in US rates has also pressured the naira and making investors exit the Nigerian market.
Emefiele said broad outlook remains clouded due to headwinds of the Ukraine war and residual impacts of Covid-19.
He said the Nigerian economy will grow but at a “much subdued rate” due to the increased demand for money driven by the 2023 general election.
According to him, the rise in inflation over the past four months has been worrisome stressing that loosening inflation would worsen Nigeria’s economic condition as well as naira depreciation.
He said a tight policy stand would help appreciate the naira.
According to analysts, the hike in interest rate for three consecutive times is a way of luring foreign inflows into the country and easing the pressure on the naira.
The MPC also raised Cash Reserve Ratio to 32.5 per cent from 27.5 per cent while holding other parameters constant.
The Asymmetric Corridor, thus, remains at +100/-700 basis points around the MPR, and the Liquidity Ratio remains at 30 per cent.
Asymmetric interest rate corridor is a new tool developed to increase the flexibility of monetary policy.
It provides the ability to make timely responses to external finance or risk sentiment shocks through active management of daily open market operations.
“The MPC noted with concern the continued aggressive movement in inflation, even after the rate hike at its meeting in May and July.
“It expressed its unrelenting resolve to restore price stability while providing the necessary support to strengthen the fragile recovery, Emefiele said.
Some experts had earlier projected that the CBN would increase the rates to rein in inflation.
Prof. Umhe Uwaleke, an economist, in his reaction said the MPC would increase the MPR again, by at least, 50 basis points.
Uwaleke, a Professor of Capital Market at Nasarawa State University, said that his projection was informed by rising inflation.
“Aside inflationary pressure and the need to tame it, the MPC would be considering current global monetary developments such as the hike in policy rates by central banks in developed countries.
“For example, the U.S. Federal Reserve recently increased the benchmark rate by 75 basis points, while the Bank of England increased by 50 basis points,’’ he had said.
Uwaleke said that monetary tightening by central banks of U.S. and the UK continued to trigger capital outflows from Nigeria with negative implications on the exchange rate.
“The MPC would equally consider this as justification to increase the MPR,’’’ he said.
He, however, urged the MPC to hold the prevailing rates constant as tightening may not tame inflationary trend.
“Be that as it may, if I were a member of the MPC, I would vote for a hold position. In other words, I would advise that the policy rates be held.
“This is because the major drivers of inflation in Nigeria today are cost-push related rather than demand-pull.
“Furthermore, policy tightening may not really tame inflationary pressures that are stemming more from high cost of energy and negative impact of insecurity on food output.
“Any hike in rate at this time will hurt output growth through higher cost of lending to SMEs,’’ he said.
Dr Tope Fasua, another economist, urged the MPC to retain the subsisting rates as past rates increases had not tamed inflation.
“I expect that they may further raise rates. My advice to the MPC would be that they hold rates.
“We have raised rates by 250 basis points in the last two meetings but inflation has surged further.
“This means that our own inflation is not tightly linked with interest rates and may recede in its own time.
“Ours is a bit of a carryover from the COVID-19 era of production shutdown and imported inflation because our economy is dependent on foreign ones battling inflation presently,’’ he explained.
According to Fasua, raising rates further will only be a continuation of punishment for local industries which borrow locally and are struggling to achieve previous levels of production post Covid-19.
“Banks are always quick to raise lending rates anyway. The CBN had to recently force them to increase savings rates.
“Their margins are always so high, so the committee and the CBN must be careful about raising rates ad infinitum,’’ Fasua said. Additional reports from (NAN)
COVER
SEC Pledges Transparency, Fairness in Fintech Regulation
By Tony Obiechina, Abuja
Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has assured stakeholders in the fintech space that the commission was committed to ensuring transparency and integrity in the regulation of the space.
The commission said it has provided a level playing field to all applicants.
The Director General of the SEC, Dr.
Emomotimi Agama stated this during a meeting with Regulatory Incubation and Accelerated Regulatory Incubation Program applicants in Abuja yesterday.The SEC DG stated that the commission understands the anxiety and the need to be regulated but added that the Commission has to be very careful even in its desire to be inclusive.
According to him, “The process of registration is a very technical process because registration is the hallmark of regulation.
“It goes beyond onboarding and registering, it requires monitoring, education, surveillance, and all of these are continuous. This journey is a new one that we have not gone through before. As we continue, we will find challenges which we need to solve because every challenge is solvable.
“I am here to assuage fears being exhibited, we have provided a level playing field but as a government institution we must take things into context while doing this.
“The groups that were admitted into the ARIP and RI are beginning to see that we have started demanding for some information, operational updates and more regulatory requirements in line with the concept of a Regulation Incubation Programme or a Sandbox as some other institutions call it.
“In doing this, we are understudying what they are doing and the risk that they pose to investors and to themselves.
“We have not only done that, we have also issued new regulations to the public, which we call an exposure document.
“If you look at it, it is an upgraded version of our earlier regulations and the regulation making process demands that we get your views as stakeholders before it becomes a regulation.”
Agama stated that the inputs of stakeholders is important as regulators cannot claim to know everything adding that the rules would be amended to include all valid points to make it an all-inclusive document.
He disclosed that the commission has increased the space to include more regulations to accommodate more individuals, more institutions and more functions because accommodation is the stance of the government regarding the space.
“We are trying to ensure that at the end of the day, as a country we will stand out in the regulation of this space. Beyond any doubt, this space is the future and for us as Nigerians we have embraced it.
“With the population we have with over 70 percent interested in this space, we must live up to the billing but we must do it intellectually and that is why we are engaging you,” he added.
The SEC DG emphasized that the commission is not slow in its processes but that it has to be sure everything is in order to enable fairness in any pronouncements made.
He admitted that it is difficult to say all that have applied will be registered because certainly not all will meet the requirements but Agama assured that the commission will keep providing clarity to knotty areas to assist in the process.
“We are all on this journey together and we all must succeed in the journey. I have always encouraged participants to come together and collaborate so that the result will be what we are all proud of.
“As an ecosystem, we all have a responsibility of building an ecosystem that we all will remain proud of.
“We remain excited about the boundless opportunities that exist. International partners can only come into the local space if we get this right.
“In the coming year, we will move faster in delivery and announcements haven learnt from this process. A new law has been passed and is in the process of obtaining the Presidential assent.
“That law is replete with all of the ingredients legally required to properly regulate this space and give guidance to operators.
“All of these are efforts by the SEC to be as friendly as possible, protect the interest of the ecosystem and the interest of investors.
“As we try to build this system, we are building a new economy that will be beneficial to all and we cannot toil with that opportunity.
“If we miss it, international partners will not come, but if we make it, we will be a darling of the world,” he said.
The SEC Boss assured that every application sent to the SEC has been reviewed or being reviewed to ensure that at the end of the day whatever decision is taken meets international best practice as well as in the interest of Nigeria.
He solicited the co-operation and understanding of all stakeholders in the Commission’s drive to create a formidable ecosystem as well as protect the nation’s sovereignty.
COVER
Minna-Abuja Gridlock Puts Motorists, Passengers in Dire Straits for Four Days
From Dan Amasingha, Minna
Four days of gridlock experienced along Minna to Suleja, Maje to Jere and Abuja to Kaduna expressways has caused untold hardship to commuters traveling for the Christmas holidays.
Daily Asset gathered that a traffic jam caused mostly by trailers and trucks have engulfed Maje in Suleja to Izom route in Gurara local government area of Niger state.
The incident was said to have been caused by the crash of four trailers.
It was revealed that the holdup extended to Diko junction up to Jere in Kaduna state through Tafa, hindering flow of traffic along Kaduna-Abuja expressway.
Stranded passengers and motorists were sighted on the roads lamenting the time they had spent.
Motorcycle operators were seen taking bread for sale along the road as they made brisk business from the stranded passengers.
A passenger, Musa Yahuza and Hajiya Salmat Ibn Kasim in an interview disclosed that they had to charter motorcycles from Jere in Kaduna State to Lambata in Gurara Local Government Area of Niger State at the cost of N7,500.
Similarly, passengers from Suleja who could afford, took motorcycles from Maje to Lambata at the cost of between N3,000 and N4,000.
Sources revealed that most of the vehicles and their drivers as well as the passengers slept on the road due to the gridlock in the last four days.
Strangely however, from Suleja to Lambata, there was neither the Federal Road Safety Corps (FRSC) nor the Nigerian Police to attend to the crisis at the time of our visit.
The Niger State Command of FRSC and the Niger State Police Command are yet to issue any official statements on the situation.
Motorists plying the Suleja-Minna road are taking alternative routes through Lambata/Gwagwalada to evade the chaos.
COVER
No Regrets Removing Petrol Subsidy, Tinubu Insists
By David Torough, Abuja
President Bola Ahmed Tinubu last night listed achievements in office in his first media chat that took place in his Bourdillon residence in Ikoyi, Lagos.
According to him, he has no regrets removing the petrol subsidy in May 2023, saying Nigeria cannot continue to be Father Christmas to neighbouring countries.
“I don’t have any regrets whatsoever in removing petrol subsidy.
We are spending our future, we were just deceiving ourselves, that reform was necessary,” he told reporters.According Tinubu, his administration has tackled insecurity.
He said, “Two decades of wanton killings have been addressed. Today, you can travel the roads.
Before now, it was impossible.”On fiscal management, the president highlighted the administration’s efforts in exiting the previous “ways and means” model, asserting that the government now operates under financial control and fiscal discipline.
He added, “We have more revenue being generated and distributed.”
Tinubu described the autonomy granted local governments as a milestone.
He linked this development to his long-standing advocacy for grassroots empowerment, referencing his tenure as Lagos State Governor and his clashes with the Obasanjo administration over the creation of additional local councils.
Tinubu acknowledged ongoing challenges but expressed optimism about the Nigeria’s progress.
He responded to critics who described his cabinet as “bloated” by saying he is unprepared to reduce the size of his 48-man cabinet.
“I’m not ready to shrink” the size of my cabinet, Tinubu said during. I’m not prepared to bring down the size of my cabinet,” arguing that “efficiency” has been at the core of his selection of ministers.
“Regardless of critics, Nigeria is on the path of recovery. We can’t finish the job in one calendar year, and I’m not giving myself an excuse—it’s only been 18 months,” he stated.
On the contentious tax reforms, the president said he is ready to make concessions to address the controversies surrounding the tax bills before the National Assembly.
He was asked if he was willing to make concessions to address some concerns, particularly over the VAT component of the bills.
He said tax amendments require negotiations and concessions and he was open to such.
Many Nigerians listened to the media engagement, which is expected to spark widespread discussions on the administration’s policies and future plans.