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Nigeria’s Path to Net Zero Using Green, Blue Economy & Forestry

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By Tony Obiechina

On Friday, 9th September 2022, the Nigerian Economic Summit Group (NESG) and the Federal Ministry of Finance, Budget and National Planning held a pre- 28th Nigerian Economic Summit (#NES28) event with the theme “Roadmap to Nigeria’s COP: A Pragmatic Path to Net Zero Using the Green Economy, Blue Economy & Forestry.

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In her welcome remarks, a Board member of the NESG, Ms Ndidi Nwuneli, said that following the Kyoto Protocol, Nigeria developed a policy document for climate activities in 2012 titled the National Climate Change Policy Response and Strategy, which was later revised to define a new framework to guide the country’s response to the developmental challenges of climate change.

“Africa accounts for 6 percent of global energy consumption, and climate change significantly affects the environment and economy, especially in Africa. However, Africa emits less than 4 percent of greenhouse gas emissions, but the continent seems to be receiving the brunt of the effect of climate change through flooding, severe storms, drought, and others,” she stated.

Furthermore, Ms Nwuneli noted the importance of securing a pragmatic path to NET zero and addressing the energy transition path to Net zero. She reiterated the importance of tracking Nigeria’s commitment e country meets up to her end of the bargain, considering the current food crises and the link between climate and food production. 

In her goodwill message, Dr Magdalene Ajani, Permanent Secretary, Federal Ministry of Transportation, stated that it was essential to mitigate the impact of climate change and Nigeria has not determined a sectoral action plan, and it is imperative to utilise resources, time and opportunity. Construction and energy infrastructure. 

Achieving net zero will require prioritised funding. She said that the vision behind Nigeria’s transport policy is to provide fast, efficient services that will reduce greenhouse emissions through developing policies and provide links between different modes to promote intermodalism for transportation. 

Dr Ajani revealed that the ministry of transportation is encouraging states to exhibit green innovations, enforcement of compliance and road transport sanitisation through an actionable roadmap to achieve net zero using the green economy, blue economy and forestry.

Dr Anthony Nyong, Director of Climate Change and Green Growth Department African Development Bank (Climate Change), said that Nigeria can address its NetZero mission by utilising Climate change & Green Economy, Blue Economy and Forestry to achieve its objective. 

He noted that this can be accomplished by transitioning to more efficient energy sources that focus on industrialisation via scaling up the use of gas and blue hydrogen in the short to medium term and ultimately transitioning to green hydrogen as the primary industrial fuel by 2060.

On his part, founder and CEO of AO Blue Economy & Energy Consulting, Mr Adekola Oyenuga, said that domestic and international climate change policies and deliberate steps towards energy transition have grown in leaps since the establishment of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) in 1992.

 He stated that there is a need for Nigeria to take complementary actions needed to tackle ocean plastics that threaten all life; therefore, plastics manufacturers, civil society organisations, coastal dwellers and the need for government regulatory agencies to collaborate to minimise and control plastics use.

The director Centre for Climate Change & Development, Professor Chukwumerije Okereke, said that there is a need to understand the seriousness of climate change as it severely impacts the Nigerian economy. He reiterated the need for Nigeria to leverage existing models to develop a system of energy use and storage needed to boost the trajectory of the transition to NetZero.

Director-general and CEO of National Environmental Standards and Regulations Enforcement Agency (NESREA), Professor Aliyu Jauro, stated that NESREA issues permits and guidelines for emissions to ensure they don’t exceed limits, including environmental auditing to ensure they are environmentally friendly. 

He noted that another way to achieve NetZero is via the blue economy, which is expanding in terms of viability, needs and opportunities. He reiterated the need for Nigeria to reach NetZero by targeting natural capital development in mangroves and building projects to deliver sustainable livelihoods in communities while utilising the available energy transition plan – based on the abundance of gas or bioenergy- to support energy needs for industries.  

Mr Bankole Oloruntoba, CEO of Nigeria Climate Innovation Centre (NCIC), said that Nigeria has only extracted a fraction of her tourist space, saying that there is a need for considerable advocacy through incorporating indigenous knowledge and awareness creation to reduce water pollution.

 Furthermore, he stated that using renewable energy to transition to NetZero and the Energy transition plan seeks to deliver 100% power in some sectors like EVs, and eventually, LPG cooking will be scaled to 80% by 2060. Therefore, it is crucial to focus on energy for industrialization by 2030 whilst also preparing for blue hydrogen and, ultimately Green hydrogen and EV in the medium to long term. 

BUSINESS

Digital Bank PalmPay Gets Recognition

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Torough David

Digital bank PalmPay has once again secured global recognition, earning a place on CNBC and Statista’s 2025 Top 300 Fintech Companies in the World list.

This marks the second consecutive year the fintech platform has been listed among the world’s most innovative and impactful financial technology firms, placing it alongside global giants such as Revolut, Nubank, and Ant Group.

In a statement on Tuesday, the Founding Chief Marketing Officer at PalmPay, Sofia Zab, described the recognition as a strong validation of the company’s commitment to financial inclusion across emerging markets.

“To be recognised as one of the world’s top fintech companies by CNBC and Statista is a powerful affirmation of our mission to build a more inclusive financial system,” she said.

Zab noted that PalmPay’s strategy combines cutting-edge technology with deep local distribution to meet the needs of underserved communities.

“Through a customer-first mindset, we’ve built Nigeria’s leading neobank,” she added.

PalmPay currently serves over 35 million registered users, processing up to 15 million transactions daily. In Nigeria, its core market, PalmPay operates as a full-service neobank, offering services such as transfers, bill payments, credit, savings, and insurance, all available through its user-friendly mobile app.

The company also maintains a nationwide network of over one million agents and merchant partners and provides POS and API-driven solutions for merchants and enterprise clients.

Group Chief Commercial Officer at PalmPay, Jiapei Yan, said the fintech platform is building a neobanking infrastructure that aligns with the realities of emerging markets.

“We are creating the infrastructure for a connected digital economy where people and businesses can thrive through reliable, inclusive financial tools,” Yan said.

He added that the CNBC and Statista ranking not only affirms PalmPay’s progress but also highlights the scale of opportunity in emerging markets.

PalmPay recently expanded into Tanzania and Bangladesh, using smartphone device financing as a gateway to digital financial services for new users in these regions.

 “Our focus remains on closing financial access gaps for everyday consumers and businesses, while expanding the partner ecosystem that fuels our reach and impact,” Zab said.

 Earlier this year, PalmPay was also ranked #2 overall and #1 in financial services on the Financial Times Africa’s Fastest-Growing Companies 2025 list. The ranking reflected the company’s rapid scale and market traction, based on revenue growth between 2020 and 2023.

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BUSINESS

CBN’s Rates Hold Anticipated, New Strategies Important against Downsides – CPPE

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The Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE) said the decision of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to hold the interest rates was anticipated.

Chief Executive Officer of CPPE, Dr. Muda Yusuf said this in an interview on Wednesday in Lagos.

Yusuf said that although the decisions of the MPC were not surprising, the apex bank and managers of the nation’s economy must evolve additional strategies, including trade policy shifts against inflation.

He was responding to the outcome of the 301st MMPC meeting.

The MPC retained the rates for the third consecutive time, holding the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR) at 27.

5 per cent.

The Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) was retained at 50 percent for deposit money banks and 16 per cent for merchant banks.

It also retained Liquidity Ratio at 30 per cent and the Asymmetric Corridor at +500/-100 basis points around the MPR.

Yusuf said that the outcome was anticipated based on current realities, adding that the decision had both positive and negative consequences for the nation’s economy.

He said it was expected that current rates would be maintained due to CBN’s consistent approach of not cutting rates until inflation significantly moderates.

He said that inspite of marginal deceleration in annual inflation to 22.22 per cent, month-on-month headline, food, and core inflation all increased in June.

According to him, the CBN cited inflationary trends coupled with persistent factors like high energy costs, insecurity, exchange rate volatility and logistics expenses as reasons for its decision.

He stressed the need for more affordable funds to boost economic growth and investment, noting that interest rates exceeding 30 per cent are highly prohibitive.

The CPPE boss, however, said that economic management involved trade-offs.

He said that CBN’s tight monetary stance, characterised by high interest rates, had successfully attracted an inflow of foreign exchange through portfolio investments.

Yusuf said that the influx of forex was a key positive outcome that justified CBN’s decision to maintain monetary tightness, even if it appears to hinder direct investment and growth.

He said that CBN’s decision had several implications, adding that financial instruments will continue to offer attractive returns, benefiting investors in these areas.

Yusuf said that the country needed factors that could bring down the cost of production, distribution, and the cost of importation of critical input for production.

“There are already some actions, we need more effective and impactful actions on insecurity, so that our food production can also be scaled up.

“These are some of the additional things that need to take place on the policy front to complement whatever the monetary policy authorities are doing.

“Clearly, monetary policy alone or monetary policy instruments alone are not sufficient to effectively tackle inflation,” he said.

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IMF Predicts 0.5% GDP Revenue Loss for Nigeria

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Torough David, Abuja

The Federal Government may lose as much as 0.5 percent of the country’s Gross Domestic Product in revenue following its decision not to raise the Value Added Tax rate, the International Monetary Fund has disclosed.

In its latest Article IV Consultation Report on Nigeria, the IMF stated that although the recent tax reforms approved by the National Assembly and President Bola Tinubu represent a major step forward in modernising the VAT and Company Income Tax regimes, the choice to maintain the current VAT rate would lead to an immediate revenue shortfall.

“The decision not to raise the VAT rate now is reasonable, given high poverty and food insecurity, and with the cash transfer system to support the most vulnerable households not yet fully rolled out.

However, this will reduce consolidated government revenue by up to ½ per cent of GDP in the authorities’ estimates,” the report noted.

While the Federal Government is expected to be largely insulated from the fallout—thanks to expected gains from improved CIT compliance—the blow will be felt most by state and local governments.

According to the Fund, unless alternative financing options are found, subnational governments may be forced to either scale back spending or ramp up their own revenue efforts.

The IMF, however, acknowledged the government’s justification for delaying a VAT hike, particularly at a time of worsening poverty and food insecurity.

With only 5.5 million of the targeted 15 million households reached under the federal cash transfer programme, the Fund noted that raising VAT at this stage could further strain vulnerable households.

Nonetheless, it cautioned that the cost of delaying reform would fall on already stretched public finances, especially at the subnational level.

“Assuming no alternative financing sources, they [states and LGAs] would have to raise additional revenue or reduce spending, which is assumed in the baseline,” the report said.

Despite this challenge, the IMF welcomed the tax reform agenda being driven by the Presidential Committee on Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms, describing it as critical to reversing Nigeria’s poor revenue-to-GDP ratio, one of the lowest globally.

The reforms aim to boost compliance and enforcement, and the Fund believes they hold “significant medium-term revenue potential” once fully implemented.

Measures include modernising the VAT and CIT frameworks, tightening exemptions, and introducing digital tools to monitor compliance. Total revenue and grants reached 14.4 per cent of GDP in 2024, up from 9.8 per cent in 2023, buoyed by currency depreciation and improved administration.

However, public debt also rose, hitting 52.9 percent of GDP last year, with interest payments consuming 41.1 percent of Federal Government revenue. The IMF advised the government to maintain a neutral fiscal stance in 2025, stressing that revenue shortfalls should not lead to excessive borrowing.

It also urged the authorities to clearly set out a medium-term revenue plan, including timelines for further tax policy changes, to restore investor confidence and ensure policy credibility.

The report stated, “Pre-committing to an implementation timeline for further policy measures in an updated medium-term framework would support fiscal sustainability and provide guidance on available fiscal space for development spending and support for the most vulnerable households.”

Nigeria’s decision not to raise VAT comes at a time of heightened global and domestic uncertainty. Lower oil prices, rising financing costs, and mounting social pressures have narrowed the government’s fiscal space.

The IMF observed that while reforms since 2023—including fuel subsidy removal and the liberalisation of the foreign exchange market—have improved macroeconomic stability, their benefits have yet to trickle down to most Nigerians.

With inflation still elevated at 22.9 per cent as of May 2025, and poverty levels worsening, the government appears to be prioritising stability over revenue acceleration, for now.

However, the IMF warned that the long-term cost of inaction could be higher if reforms stall or if subnational governments struggle to adjust.

In the meantime, the IMF continues to support Nigeria’s reform efforts, including through capacity development and the deployment of a resident advisor to assist with revenue mobilisation strategies.

The Nigeria Economic Summit Group warned that the Federal Government could face revenue shortfalls if it does not increase the value-added tax rate as part of the ongoing tax reform process.

The Chief Executive Officer of NESG, Dr. Tayo Aduloju, made this statement during an interactive media session in Abuja. He emphasised that while reforms in the VAT system are essential, maintaining the current VAT rate without an increase could lead to a significant loss of revenue for the government.

Speaking on the issue, Aduloju said, “Without those rate hikes, it means that the government might lose some revenue.” Aduloju explained that the current tax reform process must strike a balance between simplifying the tax system and increasing the VAT rate to maintain revenue stability.

According to him, simply reducing the number of taxes without adjusting the VAT rate could weaken the government’s revenue base.

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