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Economy

Rewane Predicts High Inflation Rate in 2022

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Chief Executive Officer of Financial Derivatives Company, Mr. Bismarck Rewane, says Nigeria’s inflation rate will remain structurally high at a full-year average of 13.3 percent in 2022.

Rewane said this at the Nigerian-British Chamber of Commerce (NBCC) January breakfast meeting on Thursday in Lagos.

In November 2021, Nigeria’s inflation rate declined marginally to 15.

40 percent from 15.
99 percent in October — the 8th consecutive monthly decline and the lowest inflation rate recorded in 2021.

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) is expected to release the last inflation report for 2021 this week.

Rewane predicted that economic activity in 2022 will be similar to 2021, owing to global inflationary trends linked to COVID-19, such as the lingering global supply shortage.

“We can expect to see sustained cost-push factors, including a planned fuel subsidy removal, new electricity tariffs and additional taxes; alongside legacy issues, such as increased debt service burden and exchange rate conversion. Inflation will remain structurally high at an average of 13.3%, with an increase in Q1 and Q2,” Rewane said.

The economist, however, noted that the economic outlook for the country is not gloomy, despite its continued dependence on oil.

He pegged Nigeria’s economic growth for 2022 at 3.4 percent on sustained growth in the information and communications technology (ICT) and the financial services sector.

“Nigeria would be richer and better off in 2022, and key sectors to drive the expected growth are ICT and the financials because other sectors use it to drive productivity,” he said.

“The economy will see a 90 percent surge in e-payment as well as an increased adoption of technology and digitisation.”

Rewane said Nigeria’s gross external reserves would decline towards $39 billion as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) increased foreign exchange supply and allowed naira convergence.

He added that the government would increase borrowing to meet deficit financing needs and may result in a sovereign debt default.

“The World Bank projects economic growth of 2.5% for Nigeria, with a 3.4% annualised growth rate, driven by the ICT, Financial Services, Manufacturing, Trade and Construction sectors,” he said.

“Government expenditure will increase especially because of election spending, and the naira will effectively appreciate in the informal market.”

Bisi Adeyemi, NBCC president, said the essence of the event was to look at the opportunities and challenges that businesses should expect in 2022.

In his remarks, Ben Llewellyn-Jones, British deputy high commissioner to Nigeria, reiterated the United Kingdom’s commitment to strengthening existing trade relations, including its continued support for Nigeria’s efforts to diversify its economy and open up additional areas for potential investments.

Economy

SEC Set to Equip CEOs, Compliance Officers on FATF

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The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) says it is organising a compliance summit for Chief Executive Officers (CEOs) and Compliance Officers to address Financial Action Task Force (FATF) and related issues.

The Director-General of SEC, Dr Emomotimi Agama, said this in a statement made available on Saturday in Lagos.

He said that the summit, with the theme, “Navigating regulatory challenges: Aligning with changes in FATF in the era of VASPS,” would be in Lagos on Oct.

21 and Oct. 22.

According to him, SEC aims to equip capital market operators with the necessary tools and knowledge to thrive in a complex regulatory environment.

Agama said that the Nigerian Capital Market Institute (NCMI), a subsidiary of SEC, would hold the summit.

He noted that the summit would ultimately foster a culture of compliance and integrity in the operations of the participants.

“The aim is to equip capital market operators with essential insights and strategies to effectively navigate the evolving regulatory landscape.

“Attendees are to gain knowledge of understanding regulatory changes, clarity on the latest updates to FATF standards and how these impact Virtual Asset Service Providers (VASPs).

“They will also learn best practices for aligning their compliance programmes with new regulations, ensuring they meet international standards that enhance compliance frameworks in their organisations,” he said.

According to him, key objectives of the summit are regulatory compliance, understanding and implementing Anti-Money Laundering (AML) and Combating the Financing of Terrorism (CFT) regulations.

Others, he added, would include risk management, which encompasses identify, assess and mitigate risks associated with virtual assets and operational efficiency which would lead to enhanced internal controls, governance and compliance frameworks.

The director-general mentioned that the benefits of the summit include regulatory clarity, risk reduction, enhanced governance,  competitive advantage and networking opportunities.

The welcome address at the summit is expected to be presented by Ms Frana Chukwuogor, Executive Commissioner, Legal and Enforcement, SEC Nigeria.

The opening remarks and overview of the summit will be delivered by Dr Agama while Ms Hafsat Bakari, Director, Nigeria Fraud Intelligence Unit(NFIU) will present a goodwill message.

Among the speakers expected at the event are, Mr Obinna Iwuno, Chairman, Stakeholders in BlockChain Association of Nigeria (SiBAN) and Certified Cryptocurrency Compliance Specialist and Investigator, Mr Ade Bajomo.

Also, Mr Zacch Adedeji, Executive Chairman, Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS), President, Fintech Association in Nigeria, Mr Peter Shodipo, and the President, Committee of Chief Compliance Officers of Capital Market Operators in Nigeria (CCCOCIN) among others.(NAN)

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NGX Closes Positive, Investors Gain N74bn

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To end the week, the stock market rebounded from previous losses, gaining N74 billion.

Investor interest in MTN Nigeria, FBN Holdings, Guaranty Trust Holding Company (GTCO) and other equities lifted the market.

Notably, the market capitalisation opened at N56.014 trillion, adding N74 billion or 0.

13 per cent to close at N56.088 trillion.

The All-Share Index also advanced by 0.

13 per cent, or 129.44 points, closing at 97,606.63, compared to 97,477.19 recorded on Thursday.

As a result, the Year-To-Date (YTD) return increased by 30.54 per cent.

The market breadth closed positive, with 31 gainers and 19 losers on the floor of the Exchange.

On the gainers’ chart, Consolidated Hallmark Plc and Sterling Nigeria led by 9.

45 per cent each to close at N1.39 and N4.98 per share respectively.

Mecure followed by 9.19 per cent to close at N10.10, Regency Alliance Insurance gained 9.09 per cent to close at 72k, while Fidson Healthcare Plc increased by 8.24 per cent to close at N15.10 per share.

Conversely, Deap Capital Management and Trust led the losers’ chart by 9.93 per cent to close at N1.36, NEM Insurance trailed by 9.71 per cent to close at N7.90 per share.

Daar Communications also lost 9.52 per cent to close at 57k, Tantalizers shed 9.09 per cent to close at 60k, while Dangote Sugar declined by 3.31 per cent to close at N31 per share.

Analysis of the market activities showed trade turnover settled higher relative to the previous session, with the value of transactions up by 20.33 per cent.

A total of 304.43 million shares valued at N5.60 billion were exchanged in 6,950 deals, compared with 277.75 million shares valued at N4.65 billon in 7,091 deals traded in the previous session.

Meanwhile, Access Corporation led the activity chart in volume and value with 68.26 million shares valued at N1.34 billon.(NAN)

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Economy

NES Decries Rising Inflation, Unemployment, Poverty, Others

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By David Torough, Abuja

The Nigerian Economic Society (NES) has decried Nigeria’s socioeconomic dilemmas, including; low personal incomes, dysfunctional education, healthcare systems, unemployment, rising inflation, poverty, amidst other critical issues.

This was part of the communique at the end of the association’s 65th annual conference held recently in Abuja with the theme: Socioeconomic Development in Nigeria: Imperatives, Implications, and Impacts.

It emphasised that the factors greatly contribute to insecurity, food scarcity, energy poverty, widening social inequality as macroeconomic instability and called on relevant stakeholders to urgently address the challenges.

President Bola Tinubu who was represented by the Vice President, Kashim Shettima through
Dr. Tope Fasua, underscored the
pivotal role of economists in shaping national development.

Tinubu reiterated the importance of their role to make the citizens feel integral and empowered, knowing that their contributions were crucial to the country’s development.

He urged them to approach the economy optimistically, stressing that their work was crucial, and that improvement was
always possible.

In his remarks, Minister of Budget and National Planning, Atiku Bagudu underscored the importance of socioeconomic resilience amidst global economic challenges.

He acknowledged the relevance of the conference theme, stating its timeliness in addressing Nigeria’s development needs.

On his part, Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Olawale Edun who delivered the keynote address on “Leveraging Economic Reforms to Leapfrog Nigeria’s Socioeconomic Development,” underscored the potential benefits of these reforms and stressed the need to better utilise Nigeria’s human and natural resources to spur socio-economic development.

He predicted that while structural reforms might cause short-term economic shocks, they would stabilise the economy in the long run, bringing hope for a brighter future.

In his presentation, the NES President, Professor Adeola Adenikinju who presented “Nigeria’s Socioeconomic Challenges: Lessons from the Structural Adjustment Programmes,” recommended:
Instituting an economic governance structure for the country, designating
some Ministries as economic ministries that qualified economists and allied professionals
must staff, adopting macroeconomic models to analyse the impacts of policies and assess
alternative scenarios.

Adenikinju also recommended; implementing export-led growth strategies by promoting value-
added exports and incentives for export-oriented industries and infrastructure, prioritising agro-allied industries to boost socioeconomic outcomes, implementing targeted subsidies or social safety nets to cushion vulnerable populations against the immediate impacts of reforms, amongst others.

The 65th NES Conference provided significant insights into Nigeria’s socioeconomic
development challenges and proposed actionable recommendations.

Participants emphasised the need for visionary leadership, policy synergy, and a commitment to long-term economic transformation to ensure sustainable development for Nigeria.

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