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OPINION

Ibadan, Okija, Abuja, and the Deathly Fate of Mekunus

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By Tunde Olusunle

Our ambassadors in the national parliament on Wednesday, December 18, 2024, spontaneously broke into a chant, serenading Bola Tinubu Nigeria’s President when he presented the 2025 draft budget to the bicameral body. On your mandate we shall stand gained ascendancy ahead of the 2022 presidential primary of the All Progressives Congress, (APC).

Today, it is probably at par with Nigeria’s national anthem in the circuit of the ruling political party.

Recall the viral video of the Minister for the Federal Capital Territory, (FCT), when he performed to the rhythm on one occasion of his visit to the office of the Chief of Staff to the President, Femi Gbajabiamila a few months ago.
The reflex resort of the congressmen to the “mandate” tune on that occasion was in reaction to Tinubu’s joke at the presentation of the budget for 2025.

The President had erroneously announced that he was presenting a draft expenditure proposal to the “11th” assembly! He was promptly reminded that we are still in the 10th assembly, in 2024. Tinubu quickly humoured that it could just as well mean that the entire parliament had been reelected for the 11th assembly which begins in 2027.

Tinubu’s budgetary presentation had to be staggered by 24 hours for undisclosed reasons. Reports after the Wednesday December 18 eventual outing, however, suggested that the executive arm of government needed the 24 hours between Tuesday December 17 and the eventual presentation, for very robust, backstage engagements with the legislature. There were feelers to the effect that Tinubu’s budget would be expressly shut down because of his recent propositions on tax reforms which has not gone down well with sections of the country and their representatives.

There are purported reports to the effect that while Members of the House of Representatives were advanced one billion naira each to augment the budgets for their “constituency projects,” Senators allegedly received a minimum of over 100 per cent more under the same nebulous heading. Such largesse should of necessity merit some singing.

While our parliamentarians decked in billowing robes and skyscraping headgears were clapping and caterwauling, giggling and guffawing that Wednesday December 18, 2024, deathly disaster struck in Ibadan, capital of Oyo State. The plan by a nongovernmental organisation led by Naomi Silekunola, a former wife of the Ooni of Ife, Adeyeye Enitan Ogunwusi which proposed to put smiles on the faces of a number of people this yuletide season, had gone awry.

Silekunola and her team intended to gift 5000 children below 13 years of age with a cash gift of N5000 each and offer each of them a food pack. There was a stampede at venue of the programme at Islamic High School, Bashorun District, Ibadan. Poor planning which precluded adequate security cordon, the absence of a standby medical team, among others, precipitated the death of 40 children. Many injured people are still hospitalised.

As though an angel of death was on a yuletide prowl, Okija in Anambra State was its next destination. A magnanimous well-to-do, Ernest Obiejesi, under the auspices of his Obi Jackson Foundation, availed the community of a rice consignment to be shared amongst the womenfolk in the morning of Saturday December 21, 2024, for the commemoration of Christmas. The raw ration came in 10 kilogramme bags of rice, out of which many people received just handfuls in bowls and cups. In the ensuing melee, 36 lives were lost, bodies littering the scene. Many limbs were bruised and broken, they are being patched up in various hospitals.

Despite popular assumptions that the streets of Abuja are paved with gold, the Okija tragedy was replicated, real-time, right at the very heart of Maitama, abode of the nouveau riche. Still in the spirit of the season, the Holy Trinity Catholic Church arranged to distribute food items to the less privileged as Christmas knocks on doors.

The Abuja Command of the Nigeria Police confirms that 13 people including four children died from the surging and trampling at the scene. Over a thousand people have been evacuated from the church, many of the wounded receiving medical attention at the proximal Maitama Hospital, just metres away from the church. Hunger for sure is a deconstructor of geography. Within four days in Nigeria this harmattan season, over 89 lives have lost while foraging for what to eat.

Instructively, a day before the Ibadan tragedy, loyalists and former aides of former President Muhammadu Buhari, flew to his hometown in Daura, to accord him an 82nd birthday surprise. Former Ogun State Governor, Ibikunle Amosun; Secretary to the Government of the Federation, (SGF), in Buhari’s regime, Mustapha Boss; Africa’s richest man, Aliko Dangote, all visited a man largely credited with plunging Nigeria into its seemingly irrecoverable abyss.

Femi Adesina, Buhari’s media minder also sang his boss’ praises on the occasion. He described him as ore mekunu, a friend of the poor, an ascription I found totally out of sync with the realities of his boss’s stewardship. Let’s hope Adesina is seeing on the streets, the hordes of Nigerians, instalmentally transmogrified into pitiable sub- mekunus by Buhari’s eight-year dysfunctional leadership. About 100 Nigerians perished in four day not because of a natural disaster, nor at the theatres of insurgency and military curtailment. They died looking for just that measure of rice to placate their growling stomachs. They died just hours and days after Buhari’s beatification by beneficiaries of his prodigal rulership.

Nigeria has been plunged into the worst economic situation in a whole generation, since the advent of the All Progressives Congress, (APC) at the centre. Poverty has never been as grim and piercing as we’ve witnessed beginning from Buhari’s coming in 2015. Poverty has been ruthlessly weaponised, the poor ready to dance to the drum of a currency note, even a scoop of peanuts. The indicators have determinedly and consistently pointed southwards these past decade.

Inflation is spiralling towards the 35 per cent mark, the unaffordability of basic food items driving mekunus to assured Golgotha in cross-country scrounging, scrambles and stampedes. The same way Nigerians hustle to scoop petroleum products when a tanker falls to the ground, is the same way they throw decorum through perimeters when they are being insulted with sachets of pasta in the name of “palliatives” and “stomach infrastructure.”

The Nigerian Bureau of Statistics, (NBS), is allegedly being bullied by the state to recant on its former announcement that N2.3 Trillion was paid out as ransom to bandits, criminals and kidnappers in the first 10 months of this year. The NBS which has belatedly announced that its systems were hacked, is in good company with the Independent National Electoral Commission, (INEC). INEC’s servers and terrestrial equipment are perennially compromised when election figures tend towards victory for the opposition.

The President recently hailed the peaceful and transparent conduct of the presidential election in Ghana, recommending it as a model for Nigeria. Sadly, it should be the other way round. Other countries should take inspiration from the way we conduct our affairs in Nigeria.

Nigeria prides itself as the giant of Africa. Many African countries look up to Nigeria for guidance, for leadership. Our exploits in the liberation of countries like South Africa from apartheid, and the restoration of peace and democracy to neighbouring Gambia, Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone, are well documented. We recently offset our outstanding dues to the Economic Community of West African States, (ECOWAS), totalling over N150Billion.

We do well at bragging and flexing our muscles, but fail where it matters the most. An essential characteristic of Ghanaian elections over the years, is the fact that the ruling party can be displaced by the opposition today. This allows the party so ousted to go re-strategise for the future. What do we do in Nigeria where election results are predetermined, where the electoral process is wholly corrupted, where true winners are intentionally dispossessed of their mandates and encouraged to seek redress in the judiciary? Didn’t a senior government official say in relation to Ghana’s exemplary election that a sitting government cannot be unseated in Nigeria? The stories of the backstage electoral thieveries anchored by INEC over the years will be told someday.

President Tinubu cancelled his official engagements for Saturday December 21, 2024, in honour of victims of the Ibadan, Okija and Abuja tragedies. Nigeria’s leadership must transcend the culinary indulgence and the merry-making occasioned by the yuletide to undertake very imperative introspection. There must be less dangerous, less dehumanising and less deathly avenues for lifting up the poor and indigent in our ranks.

The President is celebrated as some economic whiz kid. Enough of the demeaning, insulting and dubious handouts always purportedly passed on to the less-endowed by ways of very opaque “cash transfers” and the “lorry loads of palliatives.” Can someone please show me a register of transfers to my constituents back home in my community?

That scheme is wholly and totally a scam. Nigeria is not Somalia or Chad and similar countries ravaged by war and hunger, where the United Nations, (UN) and the Red Cross, drop dry rations from hovering helicopters into the hands of starving populations. Nigerians deserve a much, much better deal away from the most despairing status quo. Nigeria is too endowed to wilfully preside over the sustained pauperisation of its people.

Olusunle, PhD, Fellow of the Association of Nigerian Authors, (FANA), teaches Creative Writing at the University of Abuja.

OPINION

Benue APC Denies Defection Rumours Over Members’ Attendance at Pro-Tinubu Meeting

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The factional chapter of the All Progressives Congress (APC) in Benue State has dismissed speculation that some of its prominent members have defected after attending a political meeting held at the residence of former governor Samuel Ortom.

In a statement issued on Sunday in Makurdi by the party’s State Publicity Secretary, Daniel Ihomun, the party clarified that the meeting—organized by the Strategic Partnership Group—was aimed at supporting the second-term aspirations of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

The gathering, which took place at Ortom’s residence, reportedly had in attendance several notable Benue indigenes, including Dr. Mathias Byuan, Executive Director (Housing Finance and Accounts) at the Federal Housing Authority, as well as Michael Kaase Aondokaa (SAN), Pius Akutah (PhD), Jeffrey Kuraun, and Sebastian Hon (SAN).

Ihomun said the attendance of APC members at the meeting should not be misconstrued as a sign of defection from the party. He stressed that members of the APC remain open to engaging with groups and stakeholders committed to the success of Tinubu’s administration and the implementation of his Renewed Hope Agenda.

According to the statement, the party believes that national development requires collaboration that transcends political affiliations, noting that the APC welcomes a growing coalition of Nigerians supporting the president’s policies.

The Benue APC further stated that it would continue mobilizing residents of the state—regardless of party loyalty—to support and vote for Tinubu in the 2027 presidential election.

The party also described claims that those who attended the meeting had abandoned the APC for other political platforms as “falsehoods being peddled by mischief makers,” insisting that such insinuations were baseless.

Ihomun reaffirmed the party’s confidence in the Renewed Hope Agenda, saying it would continue to deliver progress and prosperity for Nigeria.

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OPINION

Nuhu Ribadu and the New Security Order:

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By Aaron Mike Odeh

Nigeria’s security environment has, for decades, remained one of the most complex governance challenges confronting successive administrations. From insurgency in the North-East to banditry in the North-West, separatist agitations in the South-East, and piracy in the Gulf of Guinea, the nation has struggled to maintain a coherent and coordinated security strategy.

Within this difficult context, the office of the National Security Adviser has emerged as a central pillar in shaping the country’s security architecture.
Today, under the leadership of Nuhu Ribadu, many analysts believe Nigeria is witnessing the emergence of a new security order driven by intelligence coordination, institutional reforms, and strategic partnerships.

The Office of the National Security Adviser has evolved significantly since Nigeria’s return to democratic governance in 1999. Several distinguished personalities have served in the role, each facing different security realities. Among the most influential was Aliyu Mohammed Gusau, a respected intelligence strategist who served multiple times and played a significant role in strengthening Nigeria’s intelligence coordination during the early democratic period. His tenure helped institutionalize the strategic importance of intelligence agencies in supporting presidential decision-making.

Following him were individuals such as Abdullahi Sarki Mukhtar and Owoye Andrew Azazi who served during turbulent periods marked by rising militancy and the early stages of insurgency in the North-East. Their tenures highlighted the increasing complexity of Nigeria’s security challenges as non-state actors began to challenge the authority of the state.

The administration of former President Goodluck Jonathan later saw the appointment of Sambo Dasuki, whose tenure coincided with the most intense phase of the Boko Haram insurgency. Although significant security operations were conducted during that period, controversies surrounding arms procurement funds later overshadowed the office and sparked national debates on transparency and accountability in security management.

Under the presidency of Muhammadu Buhari, the role was occupied by Babagana Monguno, a retired military general who coordinated Nigeria’s counter-insurgency efforts for nearly eight years. His tenure was characterized by large-scale military operations against insurgent groups and the continued struggle to contain banditry and kidnapping across several regions of the country.

The appointment of Nuhu Ribadu in 2023 by President Bola Ahmed Tinubu marked a significant shift in Nigeria’s security leadership profile. Unlike many of his predecessors who emerged primarily from the military establishment, Ribadu’s background combines law enforcement expertise, anti-corruption activism, and international policy experience.

Ribadu first rose to national prominence as the pioneer chairman of the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission where he led one of the most aggressive anti-corruption campaigns in Nigeria’s history. His efforts earned international recognition and helped reposition Nigeria’s reputation in global financial governance circles. Beyond Nigeria, he later engaged with international institutions and policy research networks, expanding his exposure to global security and governance frameworks.

One of Ribadu’s most notable contributions since assuming office has been the strengthening of intelligence-driven security operations. Instead of relying solely on military force, his approach emphasizes intelligence gathering, strategic coordination among security agencies, and preventive security measures. This shift has improved communication between the military, intelligence services, and law-enforcement agencies, creating a more integrated national security framework.

Another critical dimension of Ribadu’s strategy is technological modernization. Security operations are increasingly supported by surveillance technologies, data analysis tools, and modern intelligence systems that enhance early threat detection and operational efficiency. In an era where security threats evolve rapidly, such technological integration is essential for maintaining national stability.

Equally important is Ribadu’s emphasis on international cooperation. Nigeria’s security challenges are not isolated from regional and global dynamics. Terrorism, arms trafficking, cybercrime, and financial crimes often operate across national borders. Through diplomatic engagement and intelligence collaboration with international partners, Ribadu has strengthened Nigeria’s ability to confront transnational security threats.

His political experience has also played a role in shaping his strategic outlook. Having previously contested elections and participated in democratic politics, Ribadu possesses an understanding of governance, political negotiation, and public accountability. This political awareness complements his security background and helps bridge the gap between national security policy and democratic governance.

However, the success of any national security framework ultimately depends on collective national support. Security challenges do not discriminate based on religion, ethnicity, or political affiliation. Terrorism, banditry, and organized crime threaten all Nigerians regardless of background. For this reason, building a stable and secure Nigeria requires unity of purpose across political parties, religious communities, and ethnic groups.

Supporting capable leadership in national security institutions is therefore a patriotic responsibility. While no system is perfect and challenges remain, the emerging security strategy under Ribadu represents a renewed effort to modernize Nigeria’s security architecture and restore public confidence in state institutions.

In many ways, Nigeria appears to be witnessing the emergence of a new security order—one that integrates intelligence, technology, diplomacy, and community engagement. If sustained with strong institutional backing and national unity, this approach could significantly strengthen Nigeria’s ability to protect its citizens and safeguard its democratic future.

Aaron Mike Odeh, A Public Affairs Analyst, Media Consultant and Community Development Advocate wrote from Post Army Housing Estate Kurudu Abuja.

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OPINION

Peculiarity and Dangers of Nigeria’s Politics of Fear

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By Richard Ikiebe

Some politicians depend on massive turnout to win, while others thrive when citizens are too afraid to leave their homes to vote. The recent stream of videos from Benin City, of attacks on politicians and the vandalism of a party state secretariat, reprises a familiar script in Nigeria’s fear-based politics.

They are harrowing reminders that this second logic is still an active strategy.

In political theory, “politics of fear” refers to the deliberate production and amplification of fear to secure power, shape opinion and justify the measures. In a landscape already saturated by insecurity and weak institutions, violence against segments of the electorate and opposition figures is a cheap and effective way to intimidate, exhaust and demobilise the opposition.

The goal is not to win the argument before the people. It scares enough people off the path to the polling booth so that a small group of loyalists remains. Those forced to abdicate their civic role reconsider and say, “Politics no concern me.” Thus, indifference becomes the first layer.

The next layer is cautious observation. This involves citizens who still watch, talk, and complain. They “sidon look,” attentive but disengaged. They have not entirely abandoned the system they no longer believe in; fear hardens their posture into resignation.

Stories of past electoral violence, thuggery at polling units, ballot snatching, and clashes with security forces add to the mix. Stay away begins to appear quite reasonable and justifiable: nothing will change, they will rig it anyway, and you might get hurt trying. At that point, “sidon look” turns fear and private cynicism into self-preservation and public silence.

Political fear is largely manufactured, crafted and transmitted through headlines, rumour and threats. Around every election, gruesome violence stories multiply about “unknown gunmen,” and neighbourhoods that had been “taught a lesson.” The discreet advice: today is not the day to move around.

With thugs and “area boys” at polling centres, masked security officers with uncertain loyalties, every citizen walking towards the polling unit is forced to ask themselves: is my single vote worth this risk? And the absence of credible protection reinforces the feeling. For many, even the determined, the answer is no. The result is low, skewed turnout, a quiet victory for the architects of fear.

In Nigeria’s patron-client landscape, fear largely travels through intermediaries. Traditional rulers, market leaders, transport union bosses and community gatekeepers sit between political elites and ordinary citizens, wielding mostly economic authority. In a healthy democracy, they would mobilise people to participate freely and defend their rights.

In our reality, these intermediaries “advise” citizens on which candidates must win to “deliver” results, and which parties must not gain a foothold in the community. The pressure for them ranges from loss of access to removal from office, or worse – physical harm. Under such conditions, their instructions become menacing signals not to come out at all. Bloc voting and mass apathy are the unlikely twins, the result of organised fear.

Fear-based politics has a simple electoral logic. High turnout creates uncertainty and genuine possibilities for change; low, selective turnout protects those already in control. When urban youth, minorities, or disillusioned swing voters decide it is safer to stay home, the electorate is filtered.

Those who remain are loyalists, dependants in patronage networks, or people mobilised by local intermediaries who can guarantee safety in return for forced obedience. In that narrower Nigeria, a winner need not be broadly popular. Fear has already structured the electorate in their favour.

As the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) releases the timetable for next year’s elections, fear-based politics risks hardening into the system’s default setting. Voters betrayed or endangered in 2015 and 2023 are already inclined to withdraw. Every election cycle that rewards intimidation and demobilisation tells politicians, this works, do more of it.

If this continues, elections will rest on the consent of a shrinking, skewed slice of the population, and state legitimacy will continue to erode steadily. Over time, a culture of learned helplessness takes root; the people assume that “they” will always rig elections, and the alternative begins to feel impossible. And democracy is devoid of popular choice.

Breaking this cycle requires justified outrage and a deliberate effort to change both the emotional climate of elections and the structures that make fear politically profitable. First, physical risks must be visibly reduced. Election security cannot be an afterthought or a mere show of force; it must credibly guarantee that voters can come and go unharmed, and that perpetrators and sponsors of violence face real consequences.

Second, intermediaries must be protected. Traditional rulers, religious leaders, and market associations will stay influential, while law and public scrutiny must limit how their authority is coerced or weaponised.

Third, fear narrative must shift through counterstrokes of courage, solidarity and efficacy. Civic and political education must speak directly to fear and “sidon look,” helping citizens recognise demobilisation tactics and see abstention as a costly choice, and not neutral self-protection.

If fear remains a most reliable political instrument, each election will become another expression of a paper-thin democracy that evaporates at the polling unit. The challenge is to move from rule by fear to rule by consent, from a politics defined by who stays away to one genuinely shaped by who dares to show up.

Dr Richard Ikiebe is a Media and Management Consultant and Teacher.

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