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IMF, TUC Analysts Fault Nigeria’s Debt Service Plan

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By Mathew Dadiya, Abuja

The International Monetary Fund (IMF), Trade Union Congress (TUC) and other financial analysts have expressed concerns over the plan being put in place by the Nigerian government to service the country’s rising debts.

The Federal Government has plans to borrow about $30 billion and has earmarked N2.

7trillion in the 2020 budget for servicing, which analysts have criticized.

The IMF has warned Nigeria  over what it described as “a looming debt overhang,” advising that government should scale down the amount spent on debt servicing so as not crowd out other developmental projects.

According to the IMF, “while we do not encourage the government to default indebt servicing, appropriate plans should be put in place to ensure that thedebts are timely serviced. This is why government must broaden the revenue base.”

The Federal government had budgeted N10.33 trillion for the 2020 fiscal year. 

With an expected revenue of 8.155trillion, comprising oilrevenue of N2.64trillion, non-oil tax revenues of N1.81trillion and otherrevenues of N3.7trillion. While N2.46trillion was earmarked for capital projects, N2.45 trillion is for debt servicing and another N296billion as sinking fund.

According to the Debt Management Office (DMO), total public debt, comprising the Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN), the 36 states and Federal Capital Territory (FCT) stood at N26.215 trillion as at September2019.

Reacting, National President of TUC, Comrade Olaleye, said that it was regrettable that over 30 percent of the country’s budget for 2020 would be spent on servicing debts.

Comrade Ololeye said that besides the $29.96billion which has gained the approval of the National Assembly, thecountry has so far allegedly borrowed $1billion from African Development Bank;$1billion Eurobond, with additional $500million expected from Global MediumTerm Note Programme.

“How can we use as much as N2.7trillion to service debtand budget a paltry N2.4trillionn on expenditure? It is hard to come to termswith the position of the Information Minister, Mr. Lai Muhammed who toldNigerians that $84 billion loan is nothing to worry about. We are tempted tofeel that politicians are not in tune with the plight of the masses,” he said.

Similarly, both the African Development Bank (AfDB) andthe International Monetary Fund (IMF) both agreed that Nigeria spends a chunkof its revenue on debt servicing.

The AfDB warned that the rapid increase in Nigeria’sexternal indebtedness remain a huge challenge, especially given the shift toward non-concessional   external debt.

In addition, it said debt service payments have increasedsince 2010 and are projected to remain high in the medium term, a situation that could heighten the fiscal burden in an already fiscally and growth-constrained environment.

Also reacting, the Head, Department of Banking and Finance,Nasarawa State University, Keffi, Prof. Uche Uwaleke, the huge payment on debt servicing was at the expense of investment in critical infrastructure.

Uwaleke, said, “The implication is that the huge debt service is at theexpense of investment in critical infrastructure. So, the opportunity cost isvery high for the country. The fact that it is crowding out public spending oncompeting   development needs is a greatsource of concern.

According to CBN, the external debt service payment stoodat $1.31 billion at the end of November 2019, compared to $1.47 billion spentin the corresponding period of 2018. Nigeria’s external debt profile continuesto snowball and its attendant cost is worrisome.

This means external debt service payment alone rose by245.9per cent between 2015 and 2019 while an accumulated $3.95 billion was paidbetween the periods.

As contained in the budget, the Federal Government budgeted N2.45 trillion to service debt this year. This is just slightly belowN2.78 trillion budgeted for the total capital expenditure.

It should be noted that in the 2020 budget, the overall budget deficit is N2.175 trillion. This means the 2020 budget deficit is largely due to debt service payment as it gulps 23.1per cent of Nigeria’s budget.

It is in recognition of the huge resources being expended on debt servicing that the Federal Government plans to borrow more from foreign sources in order to rebalance the ratio between foreign and domestic debt.

In its Strategic Debt Management Plan 2018 – 2022, the DMO stated that the move towards contracting more foreign loans is to take advantage of cheaper lending rates abroad and a bid to free the local debt market to enable the private sector to access more funds.

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Afreximbank Closes $282 million India-focused Club Deal

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By Tony Obiechina, Abuja 

The African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank) has announced the successful completion of a first-of-its-kind India-focussed club deal for US$282.00 million.

Initiated for the exclusive participation of Indian lenders, and arranged by Bank of Africa UK PLC, the primary syndicated club deal saw participation from Indian lenders through their overseas branches and subsidiaries in the Dubai International Financial Centre in the United Arab Emirates, Singapore and Mauritius.

The facility, which was backed by six participating banks and financial institutions, including five that joined as first-time lenders to Afreximbank, helping the Bank achieve its objective of diversifying its funding sources, carries a three-year tenor.

At a commemorative event held in Dubai, U.A.E., to mark the conclusion of the deal, Haytham ElMaayergi, Executive Vice President at Afreximbank, said that the conclusion of the initiative represented a major milestone for the Bank as it sought to fulfil the key objectives of its funding programme.

Highlighting the importance of investing in, and for, Africa, Mr. ElMaayergi said: “this facility will help Afreximbank to continue to play a major role in the development of intra-African trade and trade between Africa and the rest of the world, particularly with India. 

It is a testament to the rapid growth in Africa’s economic relationship with India and is evidence of Afreximbank’s growing ability to harness resources into Africa and to fund trade finance related investments that would have a positive impact on trade between Africa and India.”

Chandi Mwenebungu, Director and Group Treasurer of Afreximbank, reviewing the Bank’s vision for Africa, said that its funding objectives included achieving the diversification of its liability book by geography, investor type and tenor.

Also addressing guests at the event were Said Adren, CEO of Bank of Africa UK PLC, who thanked the lenders for their participation, and Zineb Tamtaoui, General Manager of Bank of Africa, Dubai Branch, who expressed appreciation for the opportunity to put together “a landmark deal that would be a stepping stone to many India-focused club deals going forward.”

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Geregu Power Earns N50.4bn From Electricity Sales, Capacity Charges 

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By Tony Obiechina, Abuja 

Geregu Power Plc has generated N50.4bn on electricity sales and capacity charges to Nigerians in the first quarter of 2024.

The power company which is the first listed power company of the Nigerian Exchange Ltd disclosed the performance in its Q1, 2024 financial statement.

The company grew its Q1 revenue by 225 per cent from N14.

2bn in 2023 to N50.
4bn in 2023.

A breakdown reveals that Geregu Power sold energy worth N31bn and received N19bn as revenue from capacity charge.

Recall that the power company posted an annual revenue of N82.9bn in the full year of 2023 but it has covered half of the amount in Q1.

The revenue was above the company’s forecast for Q1 2024 when it projected its revenue to rise to N31.24bn.

Geregu Power recorded a profit before tax of N21.9bn up from the N5.3bn recorded in Q1 of last year, reflecting 307.8 per cent growth.

During the period underreview, the company saw its profit after tax rose by 307.3 per cent to N14.46bn from N3.54bn recorded in Q1 of last year. In the full year 2023, the company made N16.1bn net profit.

The net profit was above the company projection of N5.5bn. 

Geregu Power took an income tax charge of N7.43bn, up from the N1.8bn in Q1 2023. The tax charges were higher than the N2.7bn projected for Q1 2024.

The company also spent N21.5bn on the cost of sales involving gas supply and transportation, up from the N6.6bn spent on gas supply and transportation in Q1 2023.

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CBN Shakes Up Banking Sector: A Paradigm Shift Unveiled

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By Ademola Oyetunji 

In a surprising turn of events on Wednesday, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) dissolved the boards of three prominent commercial banks – Keystone, Polaris, and Union Bank. This move, although unanticipated, transpired despite the Central Bank’s recent endorsement of these banks’ financial soundness.

Governor Olayemi Cardoso, at his inaugural address during the Chartered Institute of Bankers of Nigeria (CIBN) annual dinner last year, had lauded Nigeria’s financial sector’s resilience in 2023.

Stress tests conducted on the banking industry indicated its strength under various economic scenarios. However, Cardoso highlighted the need for banks to reassess their responsible banking framework, a sentiment echoed by President Tinubu.

President Tinubu’s evident discontent with the Godwin Emefiele-led CBN triggered a comprehensive review of the financial system. A special investigator, Jim Obazee, was appointed to conduct a forensic investigation into Emefiele’s tenure, with damning revelations emerging. Recent developments suggest the initiation of a full-blown financial system reform.

The CBN’s dissolution announcement and the subsequent appointment of new executives for the affected banks, including Yetunde Oni, Mannir U. Ringim, Hassan Imam, Chioma A. Mang, Lawal M. Omokayode, and Chris Onyeka Ofikulu, might mark the beginning of implementing the investigation’s recommendations – a significant cleanup of the financial sector.

Allegations surfaced during the investigation, suggesting non-cooperation from some bank executives and Emefiele’s questionable acquisitions through proxies and cronies. Cardoso may have secured presidential approval for the CBN’s decisive action.

The CBN cited various infractions by the banks, including regulatory non-compliance, corporate governance failures, and activities threatening financial stability. Despite the challenges, the CBN assured the public of depositors’ fund safety and its commitment to upholding a safe, sound, and robust financial system.

The Special Investigator’s report revealed documents pointing to Emefiele’s involvement in Titan Trust Bank and Union Banks’ acquisitions with ill-gotten wealth. The CBN’s swift replacement of the ousted chief executives received widespread commendation, especially from high-net-worth stakeholders aiming to avert a crisis of confidence within the affected banks.

Adewale Aderounmu, an industrialist, applauded the CBN for implementing effective policies under Olayemi Cardoso’s leadership, despite detractors’ actions against the Naira. Ayomide Deepak, an Abuja-based stockbroker, welcomed the action but emphasized the need for caution in handling revelations from the investigation to prevent further economic challenges.

As the CBN wields its regulatory hammer on these banks, the hope is that other bank executives and investors will learn valuable lessons for the sake of the economy. The CBN’s action is perceived as a strategic move aimed at revitalizing the economy and financial system, not a mere vendetta.

*Ademola Oyetunji writes from Ibadan.

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