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Inflating Away Our Miserly Economic Gains

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By Uddin Ifeanyi

Most people often set aside data because of the complexity of wrapping their heads round it. Governments, on the other hand, would rather not deal with the implications for policy, of poor data on the economy’s performance. In the matter of domestic inflation, both of these objections are quite easily met.

To understand what is afoot, just take a walk along any of our streets.
And it doesn’t matter which town you pick.
But there is no longer any doubt that poverty walks across Nigeria with reckless abandon. It is as much evident in the riot of young people loitering at major intersections. As it is in the increasingly elevated levels of violence, from muggings all the way through communal attacks, to wholesale, industrial, kidnappings, plaguing our diverse communities.

Rising prices matter, both as cause and consequence of these. One effect of the pandemic has been the cull of jobs in contact sensitive sectors of the economy. Where those with a paying job would have been expected to see silver linings in this cloud, rising prices continue to wipe out their purchasing power. In calculating domestic inflation, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) tries to capture the all-in cost to the man on the street, of rising prices. As a result, food, on which people spend an increasingly large share of their earnings as one descends the income ladder, is a disproportionately large share of the official basket for computing domestic price movements.

All of which is why the northward trend of domestic prices which begun in September 2019 matters a great deal. At an average of a little under 18 per cent annually over the last five months, the headline number is clearly unsupportable if the official goal of significantly reducing the incidence of poverty is to be met. With the food component even higher (averaging a little over 22 per cent over the same period), one can only imagine how burdened the poor and vulnerable segments of our population have been of late. Should we, therefore, not welcome the moderation in prices over the last two months? According to the NBS, annual headline inflation last month (17.93 per cent) fell by 0.19 percentage points from April’s 18.12 per cent. In April, the headline trajectory bucked an 18-month trend, falling to 18.12 per cent from 18.17 per cent in March.

Because the rate at which inflation rose all through last year was pretty steep (around 100 basis points on average higher than the comparable period in 2019), most analysts had called a moderation in price rises this year. In other words, inflation would have had to rise faster than it did last year if the headline numbers were to remain elevated. In the event, the Federal Government’s decision to open the country’s land borders, and the working out of the pressure from the January 2020 increase in VAT rates, may have helped slow down the year-on-year increase.

That said, the worsening security situation may continue to tip the scales against food prices, as farmers abandon the tending of their crops for safer havens. Conversely, the Federal Government’s attempt to reform pricing in the downstream section of the oil and gas sector may further push prices up later this year. Nonetheless, we ought to take the moderating inflation rate narrative with a pinch of salt. While compared with last year’s levels, the headline inflation rate has slowed for two months back-to-back, on a monthly basis, yet the picture is less salutary. Over the April number, inflation appeared to have gone up in May ― for the headline gauge from 0.97 per cent to 1.01 per cent; for the core gauge, from 0.99 per cent to 1.24 per cent; and for the food gauge, from 0.99 per cent to 1.05 per cent.

On this evidence, it is only fair to assume that: the onus of our poor economy on the vulnerable segments of our population will continue to increase; and the riot of young unemployed persons that we see across our cities might soon become a melee. The Federal Government, on the other hand, should worry less about how adverse the numbers look because a large part of the problem is the consequence of policy failures. Take rising public debts. Ostensibly we are neck-deep in borrowing because of the Federal Government’s urgent need to strengthen public infrastructure. Yet, the pertinent question is whether the benefits from the infrastructure spend compensates for the costs over the next 20 years, of servicing and ultimately paying down the loans we have incurred. Put differently, and to take but just one example, do we think that the productivity levels from the rail infrastructure currently in place will be enough to pay the debt incurred on it?

Uddin Ifeanyi, journalist manqué and retired civil servant, can be reached @IfeanyiUddin.

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Fury Fails in Revenge Mission Against Usyk

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Tyson Fury’s mission to avenge his only professional defeat ended in crushing disappointment Saturday evening as he lost on a unanimous points decision to unified heavyweight champion Oleksandr Usyk.Another classic encounter between the well-matched rivals ended in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia with Usyk retaining his world championship belts by finishing 116-112 ahead on all three judges’ scorecards.

The Ukrainian thus continues on as holder of the titles belonging to the World Boxing Council (WBC), World Boxing Association (WBA) and World Boxing Organisation (WBO).
The result was a fair reflection of the Ukrainian’s control of the rematch given he set the pace for most of the 12 rounds.He was the harder worker, landing more frequently and with greater impact.
Fury described his grim-faced demeanour this week as “beast mode” and while his greater focus was evident on a night when there was no showboating.Simply, he was unable to make a dent on the extraordinary Usyk.Usyk’s performance confirmed his status as an all-time great and the 37-year-old will now look to become undisputed champion for the second time.This will be by toppling International Boxing Federation (IBF) champion Daniel Dubois.Fury entered the fight at a fully-clothed 20stones 1lbs, almost four stones heavier than Usyk.Right from the start he took to the centre of the ring, showing more intent to carry the fight to his opponent.Towering over the champion, the Briton spat out his jab but he was also taking shots to the body.By the second round he was being stalked around the ring by Usyk -– a theme of the first fight.The pace was being set by Usyk but both fighters were landing in a lively start to the clash with Fury’s jab causing problems.Usyk connected with two big left hands in a fourth round that ebbed and flowed and as the fight approached the halfway stage it was desperately close.Fury staggered the Ukrainian with a short left uppercut and, having taken a flurry of blows to his body, he hit back with intent.Unlike their first meeting which saw the Briton suffer the first loss of his career, there was no grandstanding from the challenger.The fifth was the Gypsy King’s best round yet as he imposed his size and power, all while working behind his pinpoint jab.But he was caught several times in the sixth.Fury’s output began to drop and he was being driven backwards with Usyk’s left hand giving him plenty of problems.It was relentless pressure from Usyk, who put together a lovely sequence of shots in the eighth and finished the three minutes by backing Fury up against the ropes.The ninth round was the turning point in May when 36-year-old Fury was saved by the bell.While those dramatics were missing this time, Usyk was showing similar purpose as he continued to build momentum.He swarmed over the bigger man in the 10th, but also took shots himself.As the last two rounds arrived, it was Fury who needed to do something special to catch the judges’ eyes.A storming final round saw the rivals exchange blows with each having their moments in a high quality finish full of courage and skill.Once again the judges were called upon to separate the two and there could be no complaints.Usyk emerged a conclusive winner on each card to continue his reign as the division’s dominant force.(dpa/NAN)

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PenCom Issues Over 38,000 Pension Clearance Certificates – D-G

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The National Pension Commission (PenCom) on Thursday said it had issued over 38,000 Pension Clearance Certificates (PCC) so far to organisations, in 2024.

The Director-General of PenCom, Ms Omolola Oloworaran, said this at a workshop organised by PenCom for journalists covering the pension industry in Lagos.

The theme of the workshop was,  “Tech-Driven Transformation: Shaping the Pension Landscape”.

Report says that in 2023, PenCom issued 30,293 PCCs to firms.

PCC is an evidence of compliance with the Pension Act.

it serves as a prerequisite for all suppliers, contractors, or consultants soliciting contract or business from Ministries, Departmentss, and Agencies  (MDAs)  of the  Federal  Government.

PenCom commenced the issuance of PCC to organisations in 2012 in line with the Pension Reform Act,  (PRA), which mandates all organisations with at least three employees to participate in the Contributory Pension Scheme (CPS).

However, the certificate  is valid up to Dec. 31 of the year it was obtained, irrespective of the date it was issued within the year.

Organisations are, thus,  required to apply for new PCC’s each year.

Oloworaran said that the commission also achieved a major milestone with the launch of the e-Application Portal for the PPC in October.

She said that the initiative replaced the previous manual process, enabling companies to seamlessly apply for and receive PCCs online, significantly enhancing ease of doing business and ensuring compliance.

The director-general said that the Pension Industry Shared Service Initiative is in an  advanced stage of implementation.

She said that the initiative would digitise pension contributions and remittances, ensuring seamless processing of contributions and resolving discrepancies caused by incomplete remittance details.

“To further enhance contributors’ experiences, we have introduced a revised programme withdrawal template, simplifying access to voluntary contributions and revising the threshold for en-bloc payments in line with the new minimum wage.

“These measures are designed to make retirement processes more efficient and user-centric.

“But beyond policies and systems, what really excites me is the potential to transform lives,”she said.

According to her, technology has become the backbone of transformation across all sectors, and the pension industry is no exception, hence PenCom has embraced the transformation wholeheartedly.

Oloworaran said that there are over 10.5 million contributors, while pension assets are in excess of N21.9 trillion as at October.

She said that this progress demonstrated the strength of the CPS,  though not without challenges.

“Inflation, for instance, continues to erode the purchasing power of pensioners, and we are actively seeking innovative solutions to address this issue.

“We also continue to face the persistent issue of delays in the payment of accrued rights.

“Recently, N44 billion was approved under the 2024 budget appropriation to settle accrued pension rights for retirees from March to September 2023.

“Moving forward, we are working with the Federal Government to put in place a sustainable solution that ensures that retirees receive their benefits promptly and without undue stress,” she said.

She said that since assuming office, she  and her team had been focused on strengthening compliance, enhancing service delivery, diversifying pension assets to optimising returns.

She said that they had also been improving benefits and expanding coverage to include more Nigerians, especially those in the informal sector.

Oloworaran expressed passion over the micro-pension initiative, in particular, noting that it is the commission’s way of fostering financial inclusion, no matter how small an earning might be.

She said that the commission intended to use technology to scale the micro-pension plan.

“Technology plays a vital role in driving this inclusion from mobile enrollment to real-time account management,” she said.

She said that PenCom planned to rebrand the micro-pension scheme, and also target onboarding not less than 20 million Nigerians in the informal sector.

Oloworaran acknowledged the role of the media as stakeholders in the success of the pension system.

“As we integrate technology across every aspect of the pension industry, we are paving the way for a future where the CPS becomes more accessible, reliable, and sustainable.

“However, this transformation cannot succeed without your unwavering support as media practitioners.

“Your role in amplifying our initiatives and educating stakeholders across Nigeria is essential to achieving this vision,” she  said.

She  described the ability of  the  media  to inform, educate, and hold institutions  accountable as invaluable.

“Together, we can ensure that every Nigerian, including the most vulnerable, has access to a secure and dignified retirement,” she  said.(NAN)

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Price of Local Rice Drops in Enugu Markets

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The price of de-stoned local rice has dropped marginally by between six and 10 per cent in Enugu markets, causing many residents to shift patronage to the brand.

Report says that dealers in the commodity attributed the positive development to the harvest season for local rice.

A trader at the popular Ogbete Main Market, Mrs Rose Nwakwo, said that a 50-kg bag now goes for N78,000 as against N84,000 in November.

Another dealer at Garki Market, Enugu, Mr Chidi Orji, said that a five liter paint container goes for N6,500 as against N7,500.

Orji urged the residents to buy as much as they could before the price would shoot up again.

Daily Asset also observed that most rice retailers and hawkers, who sell in cups and bushels, are currently stockpiling the commodity.

Mrs Eunice Madu, a grain seller in Mayor Market, said that she was only stocking bags of the brand for the Yuletide.

“I must confess we are selling out almost all our available bags of de-stoned local rice, popularly known as ‘Abakaliki rice’, ahead of the Yuletide.

“Most people are turning to it due to its price drop and improved processing and de-stoning qualities,” she said.

Meanwhile, a buyer, Mr Edwin Okoh, expressed joy over the price drop, saying that his salary could get him more than a 50-kg of the brand for his family.

“It is a thing of joy that the price has gone down to some extent, at least I can get more than a bag for me and my extended family during this Yuletide,” he said. (NAN)

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