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Ndigbo: What If Peter Obi Does Not Win the 2023 Presidential Election?

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By Ugo Chukwuka

Ndigbo in Nigeria owe to themselves a sincere and unemotional answer to this question before it is too late: what if Peter Obi does not win the 2023 presidential election? This is precisely the question the governor of Anambra state, Professor Chukwuma Soludo, courageously confronted in his piece which he titled, ‘History Beckons and I will not be Silent (Part 1)’.

But rather than sit back and ponder over the strong possibility of Obi not emerging and the attendant implication for Ndigbo, the issue was treated with sentiment driven by media frenzy and attacks.

The emotional outbursts that greeted Soludo’s timely intervention can be summarized as an insinuation that the governor of Anambra state does not want Peter Obi to become President of Nigeria.

Such outbursts remain a classic case of ad hominem – insulting and making insults against the person while ignoring the issues put forth.

When people abandon the message to attack the messenger, it becomes dangerously diversionary and this is now a rising political culture that is further alienating Ndigbo from mainstream politics in Nigeria. This was the aim of those who pushed the narrative that Soludo does not want Peter Obi to become president of Nigeria and drove the media razzmatazz to an attempt to drown out the real issues contained in the erudite professor’s well-thought-out treatise and advice to Peter Obi in particular and Ndigbo in general.

Nonetheless, truth is both eternal and sacred. Though Peter Obi has managed to thrust himself forth as one of the four contenders to the office of the president of Nigeria, it is still obvious that he is the one playing catch-up and hasn’t quite reached the level where he and his Labour party can be rationally evaluated as having developed the capacity already possessed by the ruling APC, and the main opposition PDP.

The capacity in question is what the two behemoth political parties (PDP and APC) gained from their inception and experience in the field since 1998. (Note that APC is as old as PDP because the legacy political blocks that formed the APC are as old as the PDP and like the PDP, PAC has held the office of the President, State governors, and LG Chairmen. Yes, PDP and APC have produced Governors, Senators, the Senate President, the Speaker of the House of Reps/members, State assembly members, and Local government chairmen. Labour has not).

Sadly, Nigerians keep hearing the Labour party and its candidate shouting at every turn, ‘people are the structure’. This claim is not only fallacious but also smacks of deep ignorance of party democracy as well as how political parties function in an election. By their admission, by the time Peter Obi joined the Labour party, the party was adjudged as not being present in up to 10% of Nigeria, particularly in the Wards and Polling units where voting and initial coalition take place.

Today, barely 70 days to the presidential election, Labour though has made some progress and inroads, evidently has not advanced beyond 30% in covering the wards and polling units in Nigeria, whereas up to 80% of the grounds needed to be covered effectively by any political party that hopes to produce the president of Nigeria. Confirmatory of this position is that days ago, an open appeal by the Labour party for volunteers as LG Ward and Polling units’ coordinators for the party surfaced online.

So, when Soludo says that Peter Obi is not positioned or primed to win, he is right and knows what he is talking about. Peter Obi is without a doubt popular, particularly in the Southern part of Nigeria. But the core north, which controls over 40% of the votes, has not heard much of Peter Obi. A few who have heard are not likely to abandon their regional strategic interests to support a Peter Obi presidency that has not shown how such interests would be protected. What is more, Obi and Labour are not reaching out enough or negotiating enough with the critical stakeholders. They rely on the social media-generated frenzy to create the false impression that an Obi victory is already fait accompli.

Ndigbo, including Soludo, genuinely want Peter Obi to win. But the question – what if Obi does not win? – must not also be swept under the carpet. Unless they have completely been misled and lost their way in Nigerian politics, there are very existential conditions, which Ndigbo must put in perspective while taking political decisions at this moment. These are issues that shape their very existence and impact their future. Being emotional about such a lifesaving decision can only exacerbate an already bad situation and make the future bleaker, as happened to Ndigbo in 2015 and 2019 when Ohanaeze led the Igbo people to shut the door against President Muhammadu Buhari.

Recall that Ohanaeze leadership in 2014 under its former President General Chief Garry Igariwey and former Ohanaeze Ndigbo Secretary General, Dr. Joe Nworgu openly rejected the request by General Muhammadu Buhari to hold a meeting with the apex Igbo body. Ohanaeze’s leadership refused to engage, accusing Buhari of marginalizing the South-East as the Petroleum Trust Fund (PTF) chairman set up by the Sani Abacha regime. Ohanaeze sentimentally also noted they would not engage with Buhari because when Shehu Shagari was overthrown in 1983, Shagari, the number one person in that toppled civilian administration, was placed under house arrest while Ekwueme, the number two, who had no constitutional functions, was imprisoned.

Ohanaeze by taking this hard stand inadvertently declared Buhari an enemy of Ndigbo despite Buhari being a frontrunner and possible winner for the office of the President of Nigeria. The Igbo ethnic group thus refused to present their demands to the APC candidate who later won and turned his back also on Ndigbo. It is an impolitic move that the Igbo people later regrettably paid for and still pay dearly for.

As if that was not enough, again in 2019, Ohanaeze under Nnia Nwodo as President General did not only endorse the Atiku/Obi ticket of the PDP but again refused to give Buhari an audience despite being an incumbent president seeking reelection. Buhari was supposed to engage Ohanaeze the day he came down to Anambra state to commission Zik’s Mausoleum, which he completed.

Strangely, Ohanaeze PG rather than receive Buhari as a co-host to the historic moment, was at Nike Resorts in Enugu, endorsing Atiku Abubakar and Peter Obi’s ticket of the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP. Nnia Nwodo said then that after a critical and dispassionate appraisal of the issues and the visible fault lines in our polity, including the analysis of the election manifestos of the various contesting parties, especially with regards to the restructuring of the federation and continued relevance of the Ndigbo in the Nigerian geopolitical space, Ohanaeze resolved to endorse the Atiku/Obi ticket. Furthermore, PDP nominated an Igbo son, Peter Obi, as the vice presidential candidate to give Ndigbo an opportunity for inclusivity.

Ohanaeze as a socio-cultural organization has no business endorsing candidates. Whenever the Igbo apex body does that, it sends the message that Ndigbo do not want anything to do with other presidential candidates. This is very wrong and has contributed to the quagmire Ndigbo have found themselves in the current democratic dispensation.

This needless and provocative endorsement is repeating itself in 2022. Ohanaeze led by Prof. George Obiozor has just endorsed Peter Obi and is urging Ndigbo not to support any other presidential candidate. This is yet another strategic blunder given the fact both Atiku and Tinubu stand stronger chances of winning in the 2023 presidential election when the critical factors that combine to produce Nigeria’s president are dispassionately factored into the equation.

So, the nagging question again: in the likely event that Peter Obi does not win, what then will be the fate of Ndigbo in post-2023 Nigeria given the fact that the major ethnic group is not engaging and has indeed foreclosed engaging the two likely presidents of Nigeria, Atiku, and Tinubu? The ominous consequences of Atiku or Tinubu emerging with the impression that Ndigbo shut him out may continue the Buhari/APC policy of Igbo marginalization and exclusion, which as shown, is a self-inflicted injury.

Zik’s way remains the best way for Ndigbo. Dr. Nnamdi Azikiwe’s politics of diplomacy and compromise fetched the Old Eastern Region positions in the powerful executive, legislative, judicial, bureaucratic, and defence positions in the First Republic. The approach also secured the Southeast positions of the Vice President and Speaker of the House of Reps less than a decade after the civil war as well as several plum positions that ensured visibility and full representation of Ndigbo in the scheme of things as well as being the springboard for region-wide development.

All Igbo patriots should be extremely worried about the currently raging ‘nzogbu-nzogbu’ (do-or-die) mentality, which seems to have displaced the time-honoured Igbo culture of political engagement, consensus building, and common sense. There is an urgent need to turn away from the politics of self-adulation, uncritical echo chamber, and herd mentality and re-embrace once again the politics of dialogue and robust debate.

Igbo political leaders must back Soludo’s intervention and engage by opening up negotiations with the PDP and APC presidential candidates to ensure the Igbo pride of place and relevance in the coming government. This is the way to also ensure the youth restiveness, separatist agitations, and insecurity that has bedeviled the South-East of late is stopped from escalating beyond 2023.

No major ethnic group in Nigeria carries all its eggs in one basket or forecloses negotiations in an election where there is no clear likely winner. A word, they say, is enough for the wise.

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Reps Ask NERC to Halt Implementation of Electricity Tariff Increase

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By Ubong Ukpong, Abuja

House of Representatives at its resumed plenary on Tuesday asked the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) to halt the implementation of the recently announced electricity tariff increase.In addition, the House ordered the suspension of other conditions in the newly issued review of the Multi-Year Tariff Order.

The House then set up a special committee comprising the Committees on Power, Commerce, Delegated Legislation, and National Planning to organize a well-structured hearing on the price regulation of the Nigerian Electricity Supply Industry (NESI).
The hearing would include the participation of the Minister of Power, Chairman and Commissioners of NERC, the chief executives of all electricity utilities in Nigeria, Presidents of the Nigeria Labour Congress and the Trade Union Congress (TUC), as well as leaders of chambers of commerce in Nigeria.
The House resolved to appoint a well-regarded former regulator as a technical consultant to develop templates for the determination of the legality and reasonableness of the procedures adopted by NERC in approving the tariff increase and establishing the performance benchmarks for the Discos.It also resolved to authorize the consultant to work with the special committee to draft a bill to provide for administrative procedures that entrench proper consultation and legislative review processes for tariff setting in the electricity and other public services in Nigeria.

These resolutions followed the adoption of a motion of urgent importance moved by Hon. Nkemkanma Kama at the plenary.While moving the motion, Hon. Kama said that the legislative motion on the increase in electricity tariff “seeks to address key issues surrounding the sudden hike in electricity prices in Nigeria.According to him, “It highlights concerns over due process, fairness, and the impact on consumers. The motion aims to restore public trust, protect consumer rights, and ensure regulatory accountability in the Nigerian Electricity Supply Industry (NESI).“The facts presented include the alarming tariff increase announced by the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) on April 1, 2023, resulting in a staggering 300% rise for certain consumers.“However, what’s more concerning are the reports indicating discrepancies in customer categorization and widespread complaints regarding inadequate service despite increased charges.“This situation has not just sparked national anxiety, but it also threatens regulatory certainty and investor confidence in the sector, demanding immediate attention.”He said the motion argues for legislative intervention, underlining the constitutional and moral obligations to address the crisis and alleviate the burden on Nigerian citizens.According to him, “it places a strong emphasis on the legislative oversight role over NERC and the electricity utilities, stressing the need for fair and just pricing and consultation with stakeholders in tariff determination processes. This is not just a responsibility but a duty we owe to our constituents.“Key issues highlighted include the failure of due process in approving the tariff increase, concerns over discriminatory practices, and the disputed nature of government subsidies to electricity distribution companies (DISCOs).“The motion proposes resolutions to suspend the recent tariff increases, establish a special committee for hearings involving relevant stakeholders, appoint a technical consultant to assess the legality and reasonableness of NERC’s procedures, and draft a bill to improve regulatory processes in tariff setting.“Overall, this motion underscores the importance of legislative action to address the challenges facing the electricity sector and ensure fair treatment of consumers while promoting transparency and accountability in regulatory decision-making.”When the motion was put to voice vote by the Speaker, Hon. Tajudeen Abbas, who presided over the plenary, it was unanimously supported by members.

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Agama Assumes Office as Acting SEC DG

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By Tony Obiechina, Abuja

The staff of the Securities and Exchange Commission were in great jubilation as newly appointed Director General Dr. Emomotimi Agama assumed office in an Acting capacity pending confirmation by the Senate.Agama who resumed at the Commission’s Head office Tuesday and was received by excited members of staff, promised to ensure that the capital market is well regulated and developed in a bid to contribute to the nation’s economy.

Addressing the staff, the the Director General said, “I have come here today to serve you and the institution by sheer providence, we should work together to meet the yearnings and aspirations of the capital market, let us make this institution better and greater knowing that it is a place that feeds and gives us succor, united we stand, and divided we fall”.
According to him, “We are grateful to President Bola Tinubu for finding us worthy of this opportunity and we know that expectations of the market and the country are huge, it is our utmost determination to work together with the staff of the Commission to ensure that we deliver on this assignment”.The Acting DG also commended the staff of the Commission on their commitment to the SEC and assured that the incoming Management will work with the staff union to ensure all lingering staff issues are resolved“I have come here as your colleague because without you this institution won’t get anywhere. This institution has been built by you, your resilience even in trying times has brought us thus far. All of you have been symbols of hard work” “It’s been a wonderful journey knowing every one of us here. I have had the pleasure of being involved in people’s career here for the last 20 years. We have crossed many rivers, but each of us has added some value to this institution. When we leave we should be able to look back with joy at what we have done. I therefore solicit your support and cooperation to ensure that we all succeed” Agama said.Top executives and junior staff who spoke at the meeting pledged their commitment to support the Director General to achieve the lofty goals of making the Nigerian capital market better and greater.It would be recalled that Tinubu recently approved the appointment of a new Board for the SEC. This was contained in a statement issued by Ajuri Ngalale, a spokesperson to the President.The President also appointed the following professionals to the board of the Commission: Mr. Mairiga Aliyu Katuka as Chairman, Frana Chukwuogor – Executive Commissioner (Legal and Enforcement), and Mr Bola Ajomale as Executive Commissioner (Operations).Others are Mrs. Samiya Hassan Usman – Executive Commissioner (Corporate Services), Mr Lekan Belo, Non-Executive Commissioner, and Mr Kasimu Garba Kurfi, Non-Executive Commissioner.

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Again Gunmen Invade Bwari, Kidnap Four

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By Laide Akinboade, Abuja & Attah Ede, Makurdi

Four residents of Bmuko community at Dutse Baupma axis of Bwari Area Council in the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) were kidnapped late Monday by unknown gunmen.A resident of the community by name Isah said that the invasion started at about 11:50pm in the house of a certain Patrick who is an engineer.

His wife and brother were among the people kidnapped.
According to him, the kidnappers, who were more than 30 in number stormed Zone C, Road 5 of the community and shot sporadically in the air before they broke into the house of the engineer and abducted two of his family members.
”From the engineer’s house after carrying his wife and brother, they divided themselves into two groups.
One group went towards the riverside that leads to Kubwa and Bwari while the other group went towards the hillside.”It was the group going towards the hillside that stopped at a nearby house where they kidnapped a pastor and a young man. We could not do anything, we were scared to death during the period of the operation,” he said.One of the leaders of the community who preferred anonymity said that they heard gunshots a few minutes to 12 midnight and that was when one of the landlords living amongst them sent them a voice note on their platform that they were being attacked.”Swiftly, our security personnel came down and we made calls to the FCDA Police Station. Luckily, we had intervention from them and soldiers also came to our rescue.“However, the whole thing turned to something else as nobody was arrested.”The kidnappers went with three or four people and as we speak the soldiers that went in search of them have returned without rescuing them. The policemen are still in the bush searching for them.”We have been demanding for a police outpost here in the Bmuko community because this is a populated environment,” he explained.

He noted that if they had police patrol, at least three to four times in a week, their presence would have made a difference in the community.”We are trusting that those kidnapped would be rescued safely. They have not contacted anybody yet.”The wife and brother of one Engineer Patrick were also among the people that were kidnapped including a pastor.“The kidnappers came with AK47. During the night search we picked up about two or three bullets of AK47,” he said.FCT Police Public Relations Officer Josephine Adeh could not be reached to speak on this development.In January, gunmen numbering six broke into a home at Guita community, Chikakore, Kubwa, in same Bwari Area Council of FCT and took away two sisters, aged 16 and 14 years.Weeks earlier, kidnappers dumped the remains of four victims they executed around a former military checkpoint behind Idah Junction on the Bwari-Jere SCC Road in Kagarko LGA of Kaduna State.Similarly, gunmen suspected to be kidnappers on Sunday evening abducted a senior staff of the Benue State University Makurdi.The staff identified as Prince Matthew Chile whose department is yet unknown was reportedly kidnapped along the Makurdi-Naka road.It was gathered that the incident happened when Chile, in company of his wife and four of his siblings were driving to Makurdi from Naka in his Toyota Corolla vehicle.A family source who spoke with our correspondent on condition of anonymity, stated that all efforts to reach Chile on his phone number proved unsuccessful and no word has been heard from him.When contacted the University Head of Information, Mr. Tse Vanger confirmed it but said he did not have details of the incident.Police Public Relations Officer Catherine Anene said she got informed that one BSU staff was kidnapped.She said, “They call him Prince Chile. I do not know his department. But investigation is already on about the incident.”

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