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Nigerian Equities N Gains 602bn Despite Lull

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After rallying N7.76 trillion in net capital gains in two successive years, Nigerian equities are set for their third year with net capital gains of N602.02 billion at the weekend, bucking a generally negative opening trend in the global stock markets.

Benchmark indices at the stock market at the weekend showed average return of 2.

66 per cent for the four-day opening trading week for the year, equivalent to net capital gains of N602.
02 billion.
The rally was driven by upsurge in open market orders for large and mid-cap stocks as companies begin preparations to release their audited reports and dividends for the 2021 business year.

The benchmark index for the Nigerian stock market, the All Share Index (ASI) of the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) closed weekend at 43,854.

42 points as against 42,716.44 points recorded at the beginning of the week. The ASI is a value-based common index that tracks all share prices at the NGX. It is regarded as the Nigerian sovereign equities index, a broad measure of the stock market.

Most analysts at the weekend said there were strong possibilities that share prices would continue to rise in the meantime citing the onset of the earnings season and increasing attractiveness of Nigerian equities to global investors.

Analysts at Afrinvest Securities said they expected “the positive performance to be sustained as more investors take position ahead of the dividend season”.

“In the new week, we expect the equities market to remain upbeat as investors continue to position in readiness for dividend distributions in the first quarter of 2022,” investment analysts at Cowry Asset Management stated.

Analysts at Cordros Capital also supported a bullish outlook for Nigerian equities.

“In the near term, we believe positioning for 2021 full year dividends will continue to support buying activities in the market even as institutional investors continue to search for clues on the direction of yields in the fixed income market.

“However, we advise investors to take positions in only fundamentally justified stocks as the weak macro environment remains a significant headwind for corporate earnings,” Cordros Capital stated.

The upwardly performance of the Nigerian stocks was contrary to the general decline at the global stock market. From America to Europe, Asia and Middle East, global stocks closed the first trading week of 2022 negative. In United States, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) dropped by 0.3 per cent while the S & P 500 Index depreciated by 1.5 per cent. Europe’s broad index, STOXX Europe declined by 0.2 per cent. Japan’s Nikkei 225 Index dropped by 1.1 per cent while China’s SSE Index dipped by 1.7 per cent. The MSCI EM, which tracks global emerging markets dropped by 1.2 per cent while the MSCI FM which tracks frontier markets posted average negative return of -0.9 per cent. However, United Kingdom’s FTSE 100 Index recorded average positive return of 0.8 per cent.

Aggregate market value of quoted companies at the NGX rose by 5.97 per cent or N1.33 trillion to close weekend at N23.628 trillion as against the year’s opening value of N22.297 trillion. The difference between the ASI and market value growth rates was due to the listing of BUA Foods Plc during the week and the delisting of Studio Press Nigeria Plc and Union Diagnostic and Clinical Services Plc. A total of 18 billion ordinary shares of 50 kobo each of BUA Foods were listed at N40 per share, adding N720 billion to market capitalisation.

Total turnover at the NGX stood 2.03 billion shares worth N59.01 billion in 15,750 deals compared with a total of 995.36 million shares valued at N13.21 billion traded in 10,264 deals two weeks ago.

Newly listed BUA Foods lifted the consumer goods sector atop activity chart with 1.255 billion shares valued at N 51.973 billion in 2,581 deals; thus contributing 61.90 per cent and 88.07 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value. The financial services sector followed with 537.96 million shares worth N4.627 billion in 8,015 deals while information and communication technology (ICT) sector placed third with a turnover of 76.906 million shares worth N704.346 million in 933 deals.

The three most active stocks were BUA Foods Plc, Wema Bank Plc, and Transnational Corporation of Nigeria Plc. They accounted for 1.349 billion shares worth N51.253 billion in 1,120 deals, contributing 67 per cent and 86.85 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively.

Economy

FIRS’ Boss Tipped to Transform Oyo IGR if He Runs for Governor

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The Oyo State Stakeholder Forum says Chairman of Federal Inland Revenue, Mr  Zeech Adedeji, will revamp Oyo State Internally Generated Revenue (IGR) if contests and wins the 2027 governorship election.

Mr Jelili Akande, the convener of the Forum, said this at a news conference in Abuja on Tuesday.

According to him, as Governor, Adedeji will modernise Oyo State’s tax administration system, making it more inclusive, transparent, and technology-driven.

“His strategy will involve the deployment of innovative tools to identify untapped revenue streams, expand the tax base, and ensure that every taxable entity contributes fairly to the state’s development’’, he told newsmen.

He said central to the transformation would be a shift from the traditional reliance on federal allocations to a robust IGR framework.

According to him, by leveraging data analytics and automation, Adedeji would aim to reduce leakages, improve compliance, and make the tax process seamless for individuals and businesses alike.

Akande urged the state government to embrace the template of FIRS chairman to improve the IGR.

He said Adedeji’s tenure at FIRS was marked by strategic reforms that had improved efficiency and transparency.

“Key among these achievements is the introduction of a digital tax filing system, which has streamlined tax processes and minimised leakages.

“This technological transformation has made compliance easier for businesses and individuals alike, leading to a significant increase in tax revenues,’’ he said.

According to him, Adedeji championed public-private-partnerships to create awareness about tax compliance, ensuring that more businesses became part of the formal economy.

He said the FIRS boss’s efforts had not only widened the tax net but had also restored public confidence in how tax revenues are utilised. (NAN)

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Economy

Equity Market Closes Negative, Sheds N168bn

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The Nigerian equity market on Friday closed the week on a negative note, recording N168 billion loss for investors.

Losses in Seplat, Guaranty Trust Holding Company, Oando Plc, among other declined stocks dragged the market performance down.

Specifically, the market capitalisation which opened at N59.

275 trillion, lost N168 billion or 0.
28 per cent, to close at N59.107 trillion.

The All-Share Index also shed 0.

28 per cent or 277 points,to close at 97,506.87, against 97,783.81 recorded on Thursday.

As a result, the Year-To-Date return decreased to 30.40 per cent.

Market breadth also closed negative with 26 losers and 22 gainers.

Regency Alliance Insurance led the losers table by 5k to close at 46k per share, while Haldane McCall led the losers’ table by 54k to close at N6.

20.per share.

Analysis of the market activities showed trade turnover settled higher relative to the previous session, with the value of transactions up by 39.51 per cent.

A total of 515.49 million shares valued at N15.08 billion were exchanged in 7,554 deals, compared with 632.74 million shares valued at N10.81 billion traded in 8,404 deals, posted in the previous session.

Meanwhile, FBN Holdings led the activity chart in volume with 126.02 million shares, while Seplat led in value of deals worth N7.74 billion.(NAN)

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Economy

CBN Likely to Raise Interest Rates Again – Uwaleke

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A Financial Expert, Prof. Uche Uwaleke, says the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) is likely to raise interest rates again.

Uwaleke, the Director, Institute of Capital Market at the Nasarawa State University, is also the President, Capital Market Academics of Nigeria.

He said this in an interview on Sunday in Abuja, against the backdrop of the 298th MPC meeting scheduled to hold on Monday and Tuesday.

According to him, for the first time in many months, both core and food inflation went up last month.

“Ditto for rural and urban, year-on-year and month-on-month inflation, further widening the negative real interest rate.

“The Fx market is still experiencing pressure going by the forward rates of the dollar. FAAC just shared more than N1.4 trillion for October, higher than the figures for previous months,” he said.

He said that there was also the approaching festivities’ period to consider often characterised by higher prices of goods and services.

“Against this backdrop, I will not be surprised if the MPC further jerks up the MPR by at least 50 basis points,” he said.

He, however, advised the committee to retain its prevailing monetary policy rates to moderate investment costs.

“Nevertheless, all considered, including the rising cost of funds for businesses, I would advise a hold position,” Uwaleke said.

NAN reports that the MPC raised the Monetary Policy Rate (MPR), which is the baseline interest rate, by 50 basis points to 27.25 per cent from 26.75 per cent in its 297th meeting in September

That decision marked the fifth consecutive hike of the rates since Yemi Cardoso took charge as CBN governor and chairman of the MPC.

“The first decision under Cardoso was an aggressive hike in the MPR by 400 basis points, from 18.75 per cent to 22.75 per cent in February.

In March, the committee, again increased the MPR by 200 basis points to 24 75 per cent, followed by subsequent hikes to 26.25 in May, and 26.75 per cent in July.

Cardoso has thus, increased the MPR by 850 basis points since the commencement of his tenure.

The aim, according to him, is to aggressively address Nigeria’s high inflation, particularly core and food inflation. (NAN)

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