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OPINION

2027, Coalition and ADC’s Potency

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By ‘Wale Sadeeq

After months of speculations, behind-the-scenes meetings and shifting political alliances, the National Opposition Coalition Movement has officially adopted the African Democratic Congress (ADC) as its platform.The movement, led by former Vice-President Atiku Abubakar, aims to further its political interests and contest the 2027 general elections.

The announcement was made at a high-profile meeting recently held in Abuja, where prominent political figures gathered to unveil the coalition’s new direction.
At the meeting, former Senate President David Mark was named Interim National Chairman, while former Osun Governor, Rauf Aregbesola, emerged as Interim National Secretary.
Additionally, former Minister of Youth and Sports, Bolaji Abdullahi, was appointed as the coalition’s Spokesperson; propelling ADC from relative obscurity to the national stage.Aside from Atiku, the meeting drew a formidable lineup of opposition stalwarts, including the 2023 Labour Party presidential candidate Peter Obi and his running mate, Datti Baba-Ahmed.Also in attendance were former Transportation Minister Rotimi Amaechi and ex-Governor Nasir El-Rufai of Kaduna state.The coalition’s roll call extended to other political figures such as former Justice Minister Abubakar Malami; ex-Governors Aminu Tambuwal (Sokoto), Liyel Imoke (Cross River), Gabriel Suswam (Benue), Emeka Ihedioha (Imo), and Celestine Omehia (Rivers).Former APC National Chairman John Oyegun, ex-IGP Mohammed Abubakar, and Sen. Ireti Kingibe were also present.Further strengthening the political weight of the coalition were notable personalities like Babachir Lawal, former SGF; Sen. Aishatu Binani; media entrepreneur Dele Momodu; Sen. Dino Melaye; Prof. Olusola Eleka; and Sen. Ishaku Abbo, among others.In his acceptance speech, Aregbesola, a former close ally of President Bola Tinubu, underscored the need for a paradigm shift in party politics.He emphasised that ADC must distinguish itself from other parties by being ideologically driven.“Our political landscape is plagued by parties that lack ideological depth. They are empty shells, merging and splitting not over policy or principle, but over power and personality,” he said.Calling for accountability and commitment, Aregbesola urged members to support the party’s rebirth and reclaim the soul of Nigerian politics as a service to the people.Backing that stance, Mark, the interim national chairman, outlined the coalition as more than a political strategy for 2027.Rather, he presented it as a national rescue mission aimed at offering Nigerians a path to peace, prosperity, and good governance.Mark, a retired army general and former Communications Minister, described the decision to adopt ADC as the outcome of extensive consultations, promising to transform the party into a “fortress” of revived democracy.“It will be a party of equal stakeholders, equal joiners and equal owners. It will uphold internal democracy and give voice to both the youth and the experienced,” he said.Indicating the seriousness of the coalition, several key figures have begun resigning from their former parties.Mark led the charge by quitting the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), citing its decline and internal divisions.In his resignation letter dated July 27 and addressed to PDP’s Otukpo Ward 1 Chairman in Benue, Mark lamented the party’s loss of vision, stating that albeit past efforts to rebuild it, recent developments had reduced it to a “shadow of its former self”,Joining him in the mass exodus were Peter Obi, Amaechi, and Malami, all of whom have publicly aligned with the ADC.More defections are expected in the coming weeks, according to insiders.However, not all stakeholders in ADC are pleased with the coalition’s takeover.A group led by Dr Musa Matara, who identified as the party’s National Publicity Secretary, criticised the process that produced Aregbesola as interim secretary.Matara, speaking on behalf of youth leaders, women representatives, and state party executives, alleged that the appointments lacked transparency and due process.He queried the legitimacy of the decisions, asking, “Who appointed Aregbesola? Was the NEC involved? Were state executives consulted?”In a swift rebuttal, outgoing National Chairman Ralph Nwosu dismissed Matara’s claims, describing him as an impostor.“He’s unknown to the party. Mabel Oboh is our recognised national publicity secretary,” Nwosu insisted.Dumebi Kachikwu, ADC’s 2023 presidential candidate, also expressed skepticism over the coalition’s sincerity.He accused its promoters of reviving discredited political models and mocked the alliance as a gathering of “mostly geriatrics” bent on continuing their hold on power.“Nigerians are not fooled. These are the same individuals who held sway for decades and left the country in a sorry state,” Kachikwu said, adding that the coalition had no new vision to offer.Expectedly, the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) responded with scorn.Its National Publicity Secretary, Felix Morka, dismissed the coalition as a “hollow display of desperation and self-interest” lacking both substance and a clear vision.“It is a roll call of me-or-nothing politicians who thrive on guile and subterfuge. What real value do they offer Nigerians?” Morka asked.Similarly, former Nigerian Ambassador to the Philippines, Dr Yemi Farounbi, expressed doubts about ADC’s ability to dislodge Tinubu.He warned that internal wrangling, lack of grassroots support, and competing ambitions could undermine the effort.“When APC was formed in 2013, major parties collapsed their structures into one. In this case, ADC has no comparable foundation,” Farounbi noted.Adding to the chorus of caution, Prof. Gbade Ojo, a comparative politics scholar from the University of Ilorin, said the coalition’s internal contradictions may derail its prospects.“They haven’t agreed on who will fly the presidential flag. Also, legal battles may emerge over the legitimacy of this coalition,” he warned.Popular social media activist, Martins Otse, better known as VeryDarkMan, also criticised the coalition, accusing its members of hypocrisy.“These same people contributed to Nigeria’s decline. Now that the current administration isn’t favouring them, they’re forming a coalition out of bitterness,” he alleged.He questioned El-Rufai’s involvement, suggesting the former governor only joined out of perceived betrayal by Tinubu.“What happens when he’s no longer favoured by the coalition? More betrayal?” he asked.Reacting on behalf of the presidency, Sunday Dare, Special Adviser on Media and Public Communication to the President, described the coalition as an “opportunistic alliance” led by isolated politicians nursing personal ambitions.He cautioned against drawing parallels with APC’s historic coalition in 2013, saying, “This is not 2013—and this is certainly not the APC”.In spite the initial fanfare, analysts say the ADC-coalition alliance must overcome major hurdles, ranging from internal legitimacy crises to credibility concerns and structural gaps.A Public affairs analyst, Chukwuemerie Uduchukwu noted that while the inclusion of respected figures like Mark and El-Rufai may lend credibility to the effort, their involvement alone cannot guarantee success.As Nigeria inches closer to the 2027 elections, it remains to be seen whether this new coalition can galvanise public support, overcome internal resistance and present a credible challenge to the ruling party.For now, political observers are watching, and waiting. (NAN)

Analysis

Much Ado About the PBAT Door-to-Door Movement

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By Catherine Agbo 

In the unfolding drama of Nigerian political discourse, few things excite the commentary circuit quite like a prominent figure stepping decisively into the political arena.

The recent media frenzy surrounding the activities of the High Chief Government Ekpemupolo-led PBAT Door-to-Door Movement is a classic study in selective outrage.

Ekpemupolo, popularly known as Tompolo, is the Grand Patron of the movement.

 

From editorial columns in national dailies to online commentary, critics have been relentless in dishing out opinions about the group’s activities targeted at mobilising support for President Bola Tinubu’s re-election campaign.

Yet, beneath the righteous indignation lies a fundamental misinterpretation of constitutional rights and democratic principles.

The narratives being spun across several opinion pieces, such as those asking why Tompolo should be actively involved in partisan politics or phoney groups labelling his endorsement as “deceptive,” are all built on shaky foundation.

Critics point to his role as a major security stakeholder in the Niger Delta and argue that a person of his background should remain politically passive or detached from party politics. Others question the deployment of operational vehicles and logistics to coordinators of the movement across states for the campaign, framing legitimate political mobilisation as an overreach.

However, this wave of criticism ignores a fundamental truth, that Nigeria is a constitutional democracy governed by the rule of law.

Section 39 and 40 of the 1999 Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria (as amended) guarantee every citizen the right to freedom of expression and the right to peaceful assembly and association.

These rights are not reserved exclusively for career politicians, armchair intellectuals, or media commentators, they belong to every Nigerian citizen in equal measure.

Critics who have raised the alarm over campaign spending have also conveniently ignored the provisions of Nigeria’s statutory electoral framework.

The way I see it, High Chief Ekpemupolo has not gone against the Electoral Act 2026 in any way.

The Electoral Act 2026 sets clear financial caps on direct spending by individual candidates and limits on direct monetary donations to political parties or candidates’ accounts.

It also limits the amount a donor can make to a candidate or political party to N500 million. 

The Electoral Act 2026 does not, however, specify, mandate, or place any financial spending ceiling for independent third-party support groups, non-governmental movements, or citizen-led mobilisation platforms.

Because the law contains no statutory cap on what an independent group can spend to mobilise voters, logistically equip its coordinators, or advocate for a candidate, Tompolo’s support group operates entirely within the legal limits of the Nigerian electoral law. 

To invent non-existent legal infractions simply to tar a political support group is a disingenuous exercise in bad faith.

Tompolo has not been indicted by any court of competent jurisdiction, nor has he violated any law of the land by supporting a presidential candidate of his choice. 

He has not been found wanting in any legal measure whatsoever for exercising his democratic suffrage and organising a political support group. 

To, therefore, suggest that he should sit on the sidelines while other private citizens and influencers exercise their constitutionally guaranteed right to endorse and fund candidates is to demand a double standard that borders on hypocrisy.

Political association in a democratic society is rooted in choice, conviction, and interest.

If Tompolo believes that the current administration’s policies, particularly in stabilised oil production, maritime security, infrastructure, increased allocation to states, security, especially the State Police bill which 25 state Houses of Assembly have already approved, among others, align with the long-term prosperity of his constituency and the nation, he is within his full constitutional rights to persuade others to share that vision.

Mobilising grassroots support at the ward, household, and polling-unit levels through peaceful door-to-door engagement is the very essence of citizen participation in governance. It is political organising at its most fundamental level.

Those rushing to judge him prematurely are mistaking political enthusiasm for wrongdoing.

A citizen’s choice to donate campaign vehicles, set up organisational structures, and hold political rallies across different geopolitical zones is standard practice in presidential politics globally. In democratic climates, such actions are celebrated as evidence of civic investment and grassroots empowerment. Why should a different standard be constructed when the participant happens to be an influential opinion leader like Tompolo?

The online backlash and critical editorials reveal a deeper prejudice.

Nigeria’s democracy matures when citizens participate freely without fear of unwarranted public trial by the media.

The PBAT Door-to-Door Movement is operating entirely within the boundaries of civil political engagement and statutory electoral law. Rather than attacking the messenger, critics would do well to focus their energy on robust policy debates, engaging the electorate on ideas rather than seeking to curtail the lawful rights of individuals.

Tompolo has broken no law, breached no electoral act provision, and violated no constitutional mandate. He is simply exercising his fundamental right as a free citizen of Nigeria to associate, express his preference, and campaign for the candidate he trusts to lead the country. The misplaced outrage and hasty judgments filling opinion pages ought to be laid to rest.

In a free nation, the right to choose belongs to everyone and Tompolo is no exception.

Agbo, a strategic and development communication expert writes from Abuja. 

agbocatherine@yahoo.com

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OPINION

Restoring the Naira as a Store of Value

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By Uddin Ifeanyi

Much of the palaver over the recent meeting of the Central Bank of Nigeria’s policy committee was exercised by how well the apex bank is doing its job. Against its primary goal of maintaining price stability, the CBN’s Monetary Policy Committee’s decision to recalibrate its monetary policy rate (MPR) in order to align it with the market invited the most attention.

First, there is the question of what the MPR anchors.

In reality, nothing. Ideally, however, the CBN’s policy rate should transmit price signals through the financial system, influencing saving, borrowing, liquidity, inflation expectations, and in the end, the naira’s exchange rate.
It should, in other words, signal the central bank’s intentions. Yet, we have had years in which the MPR stoically remained unchanged even as inflation ran riot, and the naira’s exchange rate came under severe downward pressure.

The CBN has regularly papered over this crack with an often-bewildering arsenal of tools — including some eccentric flimflams that it has deployed in recent times. But this only raises further questions as to how useful even these are. Take the cash reserve requirement.

At 45 percent for deposit money banks, it means that nearly half of banks’ qualifying deposits are warehoused with the central bank at any given time. While these sums may not, therefore, be available to build bubbles in the foreign exchange and equity markets, they are not likewise available for lending. Even if we argue that long-term lending ought properly to be funded by equity, banks and not shareholders should bear the burden of financing businesses’ working capital needs. Then, there is the small matter of how the CBN’s cash reserve requirement might be just as orphaned as its policy rate.

Banks raising naira deposits end up paying the CRR tax. In an economy that has witnessed considerable dollarisation — “the process where a country uses a foreign currency (most often the greenback) alongside or completely in place of its own domestic currency” over the years, does it matter that deposits into domiciliary accounts are not CRR compliant? And how?

Might the “dollarisation” phenomenon hold the key to the CBN’s toolkit’s redundancies? Countries formally adopt the dollar in place of their domestic currencies when locals lose faith in the latter. This process restores the stability that struggling economies often find unable to achieve with their currencies and drives investment inflows.

 Nigeria’s dollarisation is only partial and barely adjacent. Yet, while the country may not have lost the gains — seigniorage — from printing its own currency that is one consequence of dollarisation, the CBN looks to have partially lost control of the monetary policy space, with the sums that Nigerians increasingly park in their dollar accounts.

There are, thankfully, many ways to regain this control without having to nationalise dollar deposits. Neither the CBN nor the government can talk their way out of this, though. You cannot tell Nigerians to keep their savings in naira while offering them a savings rate below inflation. The smart choice in this circumstance is for domestic economic actors to move their savings into dollars, property, equities, commodities, inventory, or other assets.

 Giving Nigerians a reason to save in naira should thus be the central goal of a policy reset. How to do this? We have got to keep inflation low. At 30% year-on-year a while back, the CPI numbers were an outrage. At a little over 15 percent today, it is still doing great injury to the naira. N100 today has roughly the purchasing power of only ₦50 after five years. The solution here goes beyond the CBN setting a credible, explicit medium-term inflation target.

 It also transcends the CBN laying out incentive structures that make deviations from this target costly both politically and institutionally. More than this, the national commitment to the CBN not financing fiscal deficits must be religious and total. While this means that monetary policy is no longer subordinate to the federal government’s financing requirements, it must aim at positive real interest rates for savers.

Still a spectre haunts monetary policy in Nigeria. It is unfortunately not in the CBN’s gift to exorcise the nightmare that the federal government’s financing requirements have become.

How do we persuade our public sector boffins that a government that persistently spends more than it can sustainably pay for creates pressure for any of higher taxation, additional borrowing, monetary accommodation, inflation, or the naira’s depreciation? If the naira is only as strong as Nigeria’s balance sheet, then the task of getting both the fiscal and monetary authorities to operate under a common nominal inflation anchor must begin with reducing recurrent expenditure, broadening the tax base instead of increasing the tax rate, returning off-budget borrowing back to the budget, publishing complete fiscal accounts, improving the quality of public investment, establishing a credible medium-term strategy, and ceasing to use the CBN as a piggy bank.

Hopefully, this should help the economy produce more tradable goods and services. Because the naira represents a claim on the economy by anyone holding it, we cannot permanently defend the currency’s exchange rate through interest rates and reserves, if the economy continually uses up more foreign exchange than it earns. In other words, then, the economy must work for the naira to work.

Uddin Ifeanyi, a journalist manqué and retired civil servant, can be reached @IfeanyiUddin.

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OPINION

Nigerian Disability; We Sold the Well, Charged for and Withheld the Water

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By Prince Charles Dickson Ph.D

There is an old story about a lawyer who sold his well to a teacher, then returned demanding payment for the water inside it. The teacher smiled. If the water still belonged to the lawyer, he replied, perhaps the lawyer should remove it or pay rent for storing it in somebody else’s well.

Suddenly, the lawyer remembered he had only been joking.

It is funny until we recognise ourselves as lawyers.

We tell people with disabilities that public spaces belong to everyone. Then we demand an additional price for entering them.

We give them citizenship, but charge for the ramp. We promise education, but make the classroom unreachable. We proclaim equal opportunity, then construct the doorway too narrow for their wheelchair.

That contradiction came home to me when Grace shared her story with me, she titled Public Place Accessible Report for Inclusion. It contained no sentimental appeal. It simply insisted that public places should allow everyone to enter, move, communicate, receive services and participate independently, safely and with dignity.

I listened to it in her voice once as a report. Then, I read it again as an indictment.

Behind every line was somebody’s ordinary day made unnecessarily difficult. A mother arrives at a hospital, already frightened for her child, discovering that the entrance has steps but no ramp. A young man preparing carefully for an interview, only to find his opportunity waiting upstairs without a lift. An older woman confronting a pavement that has forgotten her legs cannot move as quickly as they once did.

These are imagined scenes, but the barriers Grace identified are painfully real. Poorly enforced building standards. Toilets that exclude. Transport that humiliates. Signs people cannot read. Public information people cannot hear. Facilities built without consulting those who will need to use them.

Grace’s intervention mattered because she did not reduce accessibility to a construction problem. Her story and experience understood something profound: every inaccessible entrance is also a message. Sometimes it says, “We did not think of you.” Sometimes, more cruelly, it says, “We thought of you, but you were not worth the expense.”

What does that message do to a child’s heart?

Imagine a girl with cerebral palsy watching other children rush into a school assembly while she waits outside for someone to carry her over the steps. Imagine her learning, year after year, that she must be grateful for help rather than entitled to access. Imagine how quietly a society can teach someone to apologise for existing.

On 3 October 2026, at GlowingStar Empowerment Initiative and Development’s World Cerebral Palsy Day commemoration in Bukuru, I delivered a keynote titled Beyond Therapy: Seeing the Whole Person, Not Just the Condition. Its central argument was simple: a person has cerebral palsy; cerebral palsy does not have the person.

A diagnosis is information, not identity. Therapy is necessary, valuable and sometimes life changing. But therapy is supposed to be a bridge into life, not the whole landscape of living. Beyond treatment are friendships, classrooms, jobs, ambitions, relationships, leadership, laughter, choices and dreams that deserve room to breathe.

We can celebrate a child’s progress in therapy while failing that same child at the school gate. We can praise a parent’s devotion while exhausting that parent with inaccessible transport, expensive care and the endless labour of explaining why their child deserves a chance. We can call ourselves compassionate while our architecture remains indifferent. At the commemoration, parents spoke of stigma, costly therapy and limited support. Their courage was unmistakable, but courage should not be the currency families must spend to secure ordinary human rights.

That was why I argued that admission is not inclusion. Allowing a child through the gate means little if the classroom, teaching methods, toilet, playground or attitudes inside still tell that child to remain on the margins.

And communication must never be confused with intelligence. When someone speaks differently or needs more time, our responsibility is neither impatience nor pity. Ask. Then wait. Listen without finishing their sentences. A human voice does not lose its authority because it travels by an unfamiliar route.

I returned to Grace’s story and noticed how practical her demands were: sensible ramps and handrails, usable toilets, safe pathways, accessible transport, clear signage, Braille, captions, audio information and regular audits. It called for architects, officials and contractors to understand universal design, and for people with disabilities themselves to help plan and evaluate the spaces they use.

Nothing about us without us. That principle is not a decorative language for conferences. It is what stops a well-meaning official from installing a ramp that is too steep, or declaring a school inclusive without asking the students to navigate its corridors.

Nigeria has legal commitments against disability discrimination. Yet a law that cannot travel from the statute book to a bus stop, hospital, workplace or classroom remains a promise stranded on paper. Rights should not require influential relatives, public sympathy or a viral photograph before anyone honours them.

Sometimes, as I said in that keynote, society needs therapy. Our buildings need rehabilitation. Our policies need rehabilitation. Our assumptions, professional habits and careless language need rehabilitation. We must stop asking only how a person can adapt to a hostile environment and begin asking why we made that environment hostile.

I keep thinking about Grace, my newfound friend. As she shared recommendations, their moral weight was larger than the suggestions itself. She reminded me that inclusion often begins when someone refuses to look away from what everyone else has learned to step over. It begins with the uncomfortable decision to measure progress not by the elegance of our speeches, but by who can actually enter the room.

The lawyer in the story wanted to sell the well while keeping its water hostage. Too often, our society offers people with disabilities belonging without access, opportunity without accommodation, dignity without choice. Then it calls every concession generosity.

But the water was never ours to withhold.

Every child deserves more than survival. Every caregiver deserves more than exhaustion. Every adult with a disability deserves the freedom to work, love, contribute and belong without performing gratitude for rights already theirs. The purpose of inclusion is not to make people feel fortunate to be tolerated. It is to build a country where nobody must beg to be considered human.

So, Grace, thank you for disturbing our comfort with something as unromantic, and as revolutionary, as sharing your story with me. May we answer it with budgets, redesigned spaces, enforced standards and genuine listening. May the next child approaching a public doorway find no argument waiting there, only an opening.

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