Connect with us

Oil & Gas

Goldman Sachs Predicts Brent Crude Oil to Fall to $60 By Late 2026

Published

on

Share

Goldman Sachs lifted its fourth-quarter 2026 oil price forecasts, citing tighter Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD)inventories, while the bank maintained its view of a sizable global surplus.

Brent crude has rallied to about $71 as Iran-related supply concerns boosted positioning and the risk premium while OECD inventories have failed to build as expected.

This reflects January supply disruptions and the fact that much of the global surplus is accumulating as sanctioned crude “stuck at sea,” strategists led by Daan Struyven said.

Against that backdrop, Goldman raised its 2026 fourth-quarter Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) forecasts by $6 to $60 and $56 per barrel, respectively.

The bank still expects Brent to fall to $60 by late 2026 — which it sees as the cycle low — as the risk premium fades and inventories eventually rise.

The revision comes despite Goldman maintaining its global oil surplus forecast of 2.3 million barrels per day for 2026. Strategists said lower OECD inventories matter more for pricing and now assume only 19 per cent of global inventory builds will materialize in OECD commercial stocks, down from 27 per cent previously.

Instead, they expect about 25 per cent of the surplus to accumulate as Russia and Iran crude stored at sea, reflecting persistent demand shortfalls for sanctioned barrels. Excluding those floating barrels, the effective surplus would shrink to 1.7 million barrels per day.

On supply, Goldman still sees strong growth outpacing demand next year. It maintained its 2026 surplus view assuming no major supply disruption and no Russia-Ukraine peace, noting that January disruptions in Kazakhstan and Venezuela appear mostly temporary.

Looking further out, the Wall Street firm expects oil prices to strengthen from 2027 as markets rebalance. Strategists forecast Brent and WTI to average $65 and $61 in 2027 and to reach $70 and $66 by December 2027 on “solid demand growth and slowing non-OPEC supply growth.”

Geopolitics remain a key swing factor. The strategists said risks to their outlook are “two-sided but skewed to the upside,” with scenarios such as a 1 million barrel-per-day hit to Iranian supply potentially lifting Brent to around $68 in late 2026

Oil & Gas

NNPCL Cuts Petrol Pump Price by N100 in Lagos, N95 in Abuja

Published

on

Share

The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited has reduced the pump price of petrol at its retail outlets to N1,130 per litre in Lagos and N1,165 per litre in Abuja.

The new pricing reflects a N100 reduction from the previous N1,230 per litre in Lagos and a N95 decrease from N1,260 per litre in Abuja.

Checks showed that the revised price was being dispensed at several NNPC retail stations in Lagos, including outlets along Isheri Oshun Road, Apple Junction and Ago Palace Way.

Similarly, some stations operated by the national oil company in the Federal Capital Territory were selling petrol at N1,165 per litre, including outlets in Jabi, Lifecamp, Wuse Zone 5 and Wuse Zone 4.

The price adjustment follows a recent reduction in the ex-gantry price of petrol by the Dangote Refinery, which lowered its rate to N1,075 per litre amid easing global oil prices.

According to OilPrice.com, Brent crude prices recorded a sharp reversal on Tuesday, falling by nearly 27 per cent from the previous day’s high of $119 per barrel to about $87 per barrel.

Similarly, diesel is now priced at N1,430 per litre at the gantry, representing a N190 reduction from the earlier price of N1,620 per litre.

Continue Reading

Oil & Gas

Dangote Slashes Fuel Price by N100 as Global Crude Slumps

Published

on

Share

The Dangote Refinery on Tuesday reduced its petrol gantry price by N100, from N1,175 to N1,075 per litre.

The move followed a slump in global oil prices, with Brent crude dropping to $89 per barrel from over $100 on Monday.

Officials of the refinery confirmed the development to our correspondent, adding that diesel prices have also been reduced.

They stated that petrol supplied via coastal distribution channels will now sell for N1,050 per litre, reflecting a slight differential for marine logistics.

Similarly, diesel is now N1,430 per litre at the gantry, representing a N190 reduction from the earlier price of N1,620 per litre.

According to oilprice.com, Brent crude prices witnessed a dramatic reversal on Tuesday, plunging nearly 27 per cent from the previous day’s high of $119 per barrel to as low as $87 per barrel.

The Dangote Refinery reportedly blamed global crude volatility for the repeated price hikes, citing tensions arising from the US-Iran conflict.

Continue Reading

Oil & Gas

Petrol Price Jumps to N1,175 as Dangote Effects Third Hike in One Week

Published

on

Share

By David Torough, Abuja

The Dangote Petroleum Refinery has increased the gantry price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS), popularly known as petrol, to ₦1,175 per litre, marking the third upward adjustment in fuel prices within one week and raising fresh concerns over a possible sharp escalation in pump prices nationwide.

The latest revision, communicated to marketers and depot operators on Monday, represents an increase of ₦180 from the ₦995 per litre ex-depot price announced on Friday, translating to an 18.

1 per cent rise in just three days.

Industry sources said the refinery also reviewed the gantry price of Automotive Gas Oil (AGO), commonly known as diesel, upward to ₦1,620 per litre.

The development follows earlier price adjustments that saw the refinery raise petrol prices from ₦774 to ₦995 per litre last week, amid growing volatility in the global oil market.

Crude oil prices have also climbed sharply, hitting $104.4 per barrel from $92.69 recorded a day earlier, largely driven by escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

Reacting to the development, the Petroleum Products Retail Outlets Owners Association of Nigeria (PETROAN) warned that the price of petrol could rise to nearly ₦2,000 per litre, while diesel may approach ₦3,000 per litre if the ongoing conflict in the Middle East persists.

The National President of PETROAN, Billy Gillis-Harry, gave the warning on Monday in Port Harcourt while delivering a keynote address titled “Deconstructing Energy Trilemma” at an event organised by the Department of Petroleum Economics and Policy Studies, Ignatius Ajuru University of Education.

He cautioned that sustained increases in petroleum product prices could worsen inflation, trigger job losses, and deepen economic hardship for Nigerians, while significantly increasing transportation costs and the prices of goods and services across the country.

According to him, petrol sold at about ₦774 per litre before the current Middle East crisis but now sells for above ₦1,000 per litre, representing an increase of about 30 per cent.

Similarly, diesel, which previously sold at around ₦950 per litre, has risen to about ₦1,400 per litre and above, reflecting an increase of nearly 49 per cent.

Gillis-Harry attributed the surge in global oil prices to the ongoing conflict involving Israel, the United States, and Iran, noting that sustained drone and missile attacks are threatening key oil routes and infrastructure, thereby creating uncertainty in global energy supply chains.

“With no clear end to the conflict, petroleum product prices in both international and domestic markets are expected to rise sharply in the coming days,” he warned.

He urged the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC Ltd.) to urgently strengthen the country’s domestic refining capacity to shield Nigeria from global market shocks.

Specifically, he appealed to the Group Chief Executive Officer of NNPC Ltd., Bayo Ojulari, to facilitate the immediate resumption of operations at Nigeria’s government-owned refineries, particularly the Port Harcourt Refinery’s Area 5 plant and the Warri Refinery, which had earlier operated briefly before shutting down again for profitability assessments.

According to him, rehabilitating Nigeria’s refineries for domestic production would reduce the country’s exposure to international market volatility and enhance national energy security.

Despite the challenges, Gillis-Harry expressed optimism that ongoing economic reforms by the administration of President Bola Tinubu would eventually bring relief to Nigerians and stimulate long-term economic growth.

Continue Reading

Advertisement

Read Our ePaper

Top Stories

DEFENCE14 hours ago

Military Repels Attacks, Neutralizes Terrorists, Rescues Kidnap Victims in Nationwide Operations

ShareBy David Torough, Abuja The Armed Forces of Nigeria have recorded multiple operational successes across the country between March 7...

POLITICS14 hours ago

PDP Commissions New Secretariat in Bayelsa, Holds State Elective Congress

ShareFrom Mike Tayese, Yenagoa All is set for the leadership of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) in Bayelsa State to...

NEWS1 day ago

Benue Security Trust Fund Bill Passes Second Reading

ShareThe Benue State Security Trust Fund Bill, 2026, passes second reading on Thursday at the Benue State House of Assembly. Leading the debate, Thomas Dugeri, the Majority Leader, emphasised that the bill sought...

SPORTS1 day ago

Over 20 Schools Set for Third Athletics School Games in Lagos

ShareNo fewer than 20 schools are set to participate in the third edition of the Athletics School Games (TASG), a grassroots athletics competition for school children scheduled to be held in Lagos. The...

Foreign News1 day ago

Senegal Approves Tougher Anti-gay Law as Rights Groups Raise Concerns

ShareSenegal’s parliament has approved a new law doubling to 10 years the maximum prison term for sexual acts by same-sex couples and criminalising the...

Entertainment/Arts/Culture1 day ago

Have Children Out of Wedlock, Marriage Doesn’t Work – Timaya

ShareNigerian singer, Timaya has shared his opinion on having children out of wedlock and marriage. The Dem Mama crooner sparked...

Entertainment/Arts/Culture1 day ago

Ayra Starr Picks Wizkid, Tiwa Savage, Rema as Goats of Afrobeats

ShareNigerian singer, Ayra Starr has named her greatest Afrobeats artistes of all time, otherwise called “Afrobeats Big 3.” In a...

Health1 day ago

Leprosy Mission Boosts Patient Care in Niger with 25 Electronic Beds

ShareFrom Daniel Amasingha, Minna. As part of efforts to improve the treatment and welfare of leprosy patients, the Leprosy Mission Nigeria (TLMN) has...

Oil & Gas1 day ago

NNPCL Cuts Petrol Pump Price by N100 in Lagos, N95 in Abuja

ShareThe Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited has reduced the pump price of petrol at its retail outlets to N1,130 per...

POLITICS1 day ago

Abaribe, Umeh, Kingibe, Six Others Dump Parties, Boost ADC Rank in Senate

ShareBy Eze Okechukwu, Abuja Amid Opposition turmoil, no fewer than nine senators from different political parties formally announced their defection...