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Petrol Price Climbs N960 in Abuja, Lagos Sells N935  Per Litre

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By Tony Obiechina, Abuja

The escalating military confrontation involving the United States, Israel and Iran has begun to bite hard on Nigeria’s economy, with petrol prices surging across major cities as global crude oil markets react sharply to the conflict.

In Abuja, retail outlets owned by the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPCL) adjusted pump prices to N960 per litre, up from N875.

In Lagos, independent marketers such as Bovas raised prices from N835 to N935 per litre, while several NNPCL stations were not dispensing as of Tuesday.

The latest spike followed a N100 increase in ex-depot price by Dangote Refinery, which raised its gantry rate from N774 to N874 per litre amid rising global crude prices.

International oil benchmarks surged as fears mounted over supply disruptions in the Middle East. Brent crude climbed above $84 per barrel on Tuesday, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose past $76, marking an 8 per cent jump in a single trading session.

The spike followed renewed hostilities, including joint U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iranian targets and threats by Tehran to shut down the strategic Strait of Hormuz, a narrow waterway between Iran and Oman through which roughly 20 per cent of global oil and gas shipments pass daily.

Though U.S. officials disputed claims that the strait had been fully closed, tanker movements have slowed significantly amid heightened security fears. Analysts warn that oil prices could surge to $100 or even $120 per barrel if disruptions persist.

While higher crude prices could boost Nigeria’s oil revenue, the immediate impact is a sharp rise in domestic fuel costs under the deregulated downstream regime, where pump prices reflect global oil benchmarks and foreign exchange rates.

The Petroleum Products Retail Outlets Owners Association of Nigeria (PETROAN) described the situation as a serious threat to energy-importing countries like Nigeria.

In a statement signed by Dr. Joseph Obele, PETROAN’s National President, Dr. Billy Gillis-Harry, warned that sustained geopolitical tensions could further weaken the naira, intensify inflationary pressures, and raise transportation and logistics costs nationwide.

He stressed that Nigeria’s heavy reliance on imported refined petroleum products makes it highly vulnerable to external shocks, particularly as instability affects maritime activity and energy infrastructure in the Gulf region.

PETROAN urged the Federal Government to prioritise domestic refining capacity as a buffer against global volatility. The association called for sustained crude supply to local refineries, full operationalisation of Nigeria’s four state-owned refineries, and continued implementation of the naira-for-crude policy to reduce foreign exchange exposure.

Marketers warned that without urgent structural reforms and diplomatic resolution of the Middle East conflict, petrol prices in Nigeria could rise beyond N1,000 per litre in the coming weeks.

As tensions show no immediate sign of easing, Nigerians brace for further economic shocks, with the fuel price surge threatening to deepen inflation and strain household incomes nationwide.

Oil & Gas

Over 2,000 PhD Candidates Jostle for PTDF Overseas Scholarship

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The Petroleum Technology Development Fund (PTDF) has commenced the second phase of interviews for the 2026/2027 PhD award under its Overseas Scholarship Scheme (OSS), targeting 2,102 PhD applicants across Nigeria.

Speaking during the screening on Monday in Abuja, Dr.

Bello Mustapha, Deputy General Manager, Education and Training, PTDF said the ongoing exercise followed the completion of MSc interviews conducted in four centres nationwide.

According to him, Abuja accounts for 912 candidates, scheduled for interviews over a five-day period, out of the 2,102 shortlisted nationwide.

Mustapha said the selection process followed the Federal Character principle, ensuring that candidates compete within their respective states, with top-performing applicants emerging based on merit.

He said the number of successful candidates to be awarded scholarships would depend strictly on budgetary provisions, with final decisions to be made by PTDF management after the interview process.

The PTDF official also disclosed that while the UK remains a destination for MSc scholars, the Fund has domesticated its PhD programme through a split-site arrangement involving partner universities, with candidates spending part of their study period abroad.

“Other countries participating in the scheme include Malaysia, Germany and France.

“The fund received over 30,000 applications for both MSc and PhD programmes, from which about 5,800 candidates were shortlisted for interviews,’’ he said.

The delegation from the Federal Character Commission (FCC) was on ground to monitor the ongoing PTDF 2026/2027 Scholarship selection for fairness

During the monitoring visit, the State Coordinator of the commission, John Uchara, accompanied by the Commissioner representing Benue State, Prof. Eugene Aleba, lauded PTDF for demonstrating compliance with federal character principles in the ongoing exercise.

Uchara said the commission’s presence was to ensure transparency, equity, and balance in the process, noting that the oversight was necessary to address concerns about marginalisation and imbalance in national opportunities.

“The exercise is open to candidates from all states of the federation, reinforcing inclusiveness in the selection process.

“Our duty is to ensure that what is being done here reflects the federal character principles, to avoid complaints from any part of Nigeria.

“From what we have seen, there is serious compliance with the principles. However, the final assessment will be based on the overall intake and how well it reflects national balance,” he said.

The FCC official, while reaffirming its commitment for continuous monitoring to ensure fairness and transparency, urged PTDF to consider expanding the scope of the programme to accommodate more qualified applicants.

A panelist at the ongoing interviews, Prof. Bashir Aliyu, from Modibbo Adama University, Yola, described the quality of candidates as highly impressive, noting that the process was progressing smoothly and transparently.

“We have started the interviews very well, and the exercise is progressing smoothly with candidates demonstrating strong academic and research potential.

“The panel focuses primarily on assessing the overall quality of candidates, including their academic background, research capacity, and the relevance of their proposed PhD work to national development.

“We look at their first degree, their master’s performance, their ability, and the quality of the work they present, especially in terms of innovation, potential for patenting, and usefulness to the country,” he explained.

He said while preliminary screening such as verification of academic records and credentials had already been conducted by PTDF, the panel’s role was to evaluate the strength and originality of candidates’ PhD proposals, as well as their professional conduct and research experience.

On the integrity of the process, Aliyu disclosed that PTDF has put in place robust verification mechanisms, including document authentication and checks on publications, to ensure only credible candidates are selected.

Tanko Fwadwabea, a Chemical Engineer, said his proposed PhD research focused on process simulation for blue hydrogen production, with the goal of adding value to Nigeria’s vast natural gas resources while reducing carbon emissions.

He expressed optimism that the scholarship opportunity would enable him to realise his research ambitions and contribute meaningfully to Nigeria’s energy future.

A returning candidate, Cornelia Collins-Onoha, a geosciences-based researcher while expressing optimism said her proposed PhD study focused on the spread and persistence of antimicrobial-resistant genes in aquatic environments, particularly in communities affected by oil pollution.

“I was here in 2025 but didn’t make the final list. However, I remain hopeful that this time around it will work out. This year, the process is prompter and more structured,” she said.

Collins-Onoha expressed confidence that her research and determination would contribute meaningfully to both environmental sustainability and public health in Nigeria.

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Analysts Warn Brent Crude Price Could Surge To $200 A Barrel

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Analysts have warned of significant crude oil price hikes which would further erode global economic prospects.

Top grade Brent crude could surge to $200 a barrel if the Iran conflict drags on through the end of June and the Strait of Hormuz remains largely closed to shipping traffic, Macquarie strategists warned in a note.

These fears were echoed by Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, who warned at an energy conference in Cairo that supply disruptions and rising prices could push oil above $200 per barrel, calling such projections realistic rather than exaggerated.

Egypt, which maintains close ties with the U.

S. and Gulf states, has condemned Iran’s attacks on Gulf Arab nations and is actively supporting diplomatic efforts to prevent a broader regional conflict.

Macquarie laid out two scenarios for the oil market. In the more likely case, assigned a 60 per cent probability, the war winds down soon, prices fall relatively quickly from current levels near $108 a barrel, and the economic damage remains contained.

But in the second scenario, which Macquarie puts at a 40 per cent chance, the disruption proves far more durable, with consequences the strategists describe as historically unprecedented.

“With the global economy much less oil-intensive than 50 years ago, we would not be surprised if that would require historically high real prices ($200) for a time,” strategists led by Peter Taylor said in the note.

The scale of the supply disruption is already striking. With the Strait of Hormuz mostly closed, Macquarie estimates around 13% of global oil production will be shut in by end of March, a hit already larger than the peak seen in either of the 1970s oil shocks or the first two Gulf Wars. In 2025, the world consumed almost 105 million barrels per day of oil and products.

Emergency stockpiles held by IEA members over 1.2 billion barrels would provide some buffer, but the strategists note these can only be released slowly. Some countries in Asia are already facing physical shortages of diesel and jet fuel.

“If the Strait were to stay closed for an extended period, prices would need to move high enough to destroy an historically large amount of global oil demand,” the strategists wrote.

Should prices reach $200, the team projects that talk would quickly turn to global recession, with growth slowing by around one percentage point relative to 2025. Central banks would face a stagflationary environment with weak growth alongside elevated inflation with echoes of the 1970s.

In the U.S., the Fed would be confronted with near-zero or negative employment growth alongside rising prices, according to Macquarie.

That said, the strategists suspect a full global recession could be narrowly avoided, partly because governments would likely step in to subsidize energy costs, as several already have. Japan and Italy have already moved in that direction.

Overall, Macquarie’s base case remains a relatively swift resolution. With around 15% of global oil supply at risk of being held back indefinitely, the economic incentive to reach a deal is enormous.

“It is that reality that underpins our view that a deal must eventually be made,” the strategists said.

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Sri Lanka Issues Fuel, Energy Conservation Guidelines amid Mideast Tensions

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Sri Lanka has issued guidelines to government institutions on the prudent use of fuel and energy amid possible disruptions to fuel imports caused by escalating tensions in the Middle East.

The Office of the Commissioner General of Essential Services issued the guidelines to ministry secretaries, provincial and district secretaries, and heads of government and statutory institutions and called for measures to reduce fuel and electricity consumption across the public sector.

Officials have been advised to avoid using individual vehicles to commute to work and instead use public transport or group transport whenever possible, according to the office.

Government institutions have also been instructed to prepare daily transport plans to reduce the number of vehicles used for field duties.

The guidelines set out steps to conserve electricity and energy, including maximising natural lighting, reducing the use of air conditioning by relying more on electric fans, and limiting elevator use by encouraging people to take the stairs.

Local government authorities have been directed to switch off street lights during unnecessary hours and temporarily turn off street lighting in non-high-security areas as a precautionary measure, the office said.

The guidelines further encourage heads of institutions to allow staff to work remotely where technological facilities are available instead of requiring physical attendance.

The office urged all public officials to act responsibly, set an example for the public, and extend maximum support to national energy conservation and security efforts. 

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