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OPINION

Let There Be Light: Why Energy Must Be President Tinubu’s Urgent Priority

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By Nick Agule

When President Tinubu was elected in 2023, I was genuinely optimistic that energy would top his agenda. The expectations were well-founded – President Tinubu’s background as both an oil industry professional and a finance expert is a rare and potent combination for transforming Nigeria’s energy landscape.

During his tenure as Governor of Lagos State, he initiated one of Nigeria’s most ambitious energy projects – the Enron Power Project, designed to generate 270 megawatts of electricity for Lagos.

Unfortunately, that initiative was halted by the Federal Government under President Obasanjo, as electricity then remained on the exclusive legislative list, preventing states from operating independently in that sector.

Given this pedigree, my confidence was high that President Tinubu would finally confront the deep-rooted challenges in Nigeria’s energy sector and unlock the immense potential that lies within it.

However, more than two years into his administration, the energy sector remains one of his weakest areas of performance, and the reasons are not difficult to identify:

Petrol Subsidy Removal and Refinery Inaction

President Tinubu was right to remove the petrol subsidy – it was unsustainable and long overdue. However, the absence of any decisive action on refinery rehabilitation or replacement has severely undermined the benefits of that reform.

Policy direction has been inconsistent. The NNPCL GMD initially hinted at a possible sale of the refineries, only to retract under pressure. Now, while he speaks of “technical partnerships,” the President’s adviser on energy continues to advocate outright privatisation. This lack of coherence has created uncertainty.

After two and a half years in office, the administration still hasn’t settled on a clear path forward for the refineries, leaving Nigerians to bear the brunt of a N1,000-per-litre petrol price. The President must restore clarity, coordination, and urgency in this area.

Power Sector Paralysis

President Tinubu’s administration has not done enough to address the failed privatisation of the power sector under President Jonathan. That process was deeply flawed from the start and cannot be fixed by mere patches – it requires a complete overhaul, following the telecommunications reform model that successfully opened up that industry.

Leaving transmission in government control effectively crippled the entire power value chain: private generating companies can’t produce what the grid can’t transmit, and distributors can’t sell what they don’t receive.

President Tinubu inherited roughly 5,000 MW of generation capacity, and after 2.5 years, there have been no major new projects to expand supply. Without fresh capacity, tariff adjustments alone cannot solve the crisis.

Underperformance in Oil and Gas Production

Although there have been some modest achievements in the oil and gas sector, the pace of investment remains far below Nigeria’s potential.

The contrast is stark:

The United States has reserves of around 50 billion barrels and produces about 20 million barrels per day.

Nigeria, with 38 billion barrels in reserves (about 76% of U.S. reserves), produces under 2 million barrels per day (barely 10% of U.S. output).

Additionally, Nigeria holds over 200 trillion standard cubic feet of natural gas, largely untapped. Unlocking this resource base requires bold reforms, investor confidence, and credible leadership at the sectoral level.

Leadership and Expertise Deficit

One of the administration’s most consequential missteps was the President’s decision to retain the Petroleum portfolio. While understandable from a position of oversight, it has inevitably limited the attention the sector requires, given the President’s wide-ranging responsibilities.

Moreover, the ministers appointed to oversee the key energy portfolios lack deep industry experience:

The Minister of State for Petroleum is a lawyer and lifelong politician with no oil industry experience whatsoever!

The Minister of State for Gas is a biologist, also without oil and gas experience.

The Minister of Power comes from a finance background and appears focused on revenue collection rather than generation expansion.

Technical sectors require technical leadership – individuals with both local understanding and global networks capable of attracting large-scale investments.

The Way Forward

President Tinubu must reset his energy team, starting with relinquishing the Petroleum portfolio to a competent, reform-minded energy industry professional, which Nigeria has in abundance. He should bring in seasoned experts to head the Petroleum, Gas, and Power ministries – people who can translate policy intent into measurable outcomes.

Without powering the economy, the vision of a trillion-dollar Nigeria will remain aspirational. Even in the divine order, light came first before progress – God said – “Let there be light.”

President Tinubu’s quest to build a modern economy cannot succeed in darkness. Energy is the foundation of development – and it’s time to make it Nigeria’s top priority.

President Tinubu may be preoccupied with Donald Trump’s proposed intervention to combat bandits and terrorists in Nigeria. However, lasting peace and an end to insurgency and criminality will not come merely through military might – whether Nigerian or American. What will bring true and enduring stability is a strong, inclusive economy that generates jobs and fosters prosperity for all citizens.

This piece is a response to comments reportedly made by President Bola Tinubu’s Special Adviser on Energy, Olu Verheijen, that the Federal Government is considering selling the country’s refineries (see link below).

https://www.thestar.ng/fg-mulls-selling-port-harcourt-warri-kaduna-refineries/

_Nick Agule is an energy expert._Email: nick.agule@yahoo.co.uk
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OPINION

Oyo School Abductions: Time for Concrete Action Against Terrorism

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By Tochukwu Jimo Obi

The recent kidnapping of students and teachers in Oriire Local Government Area of Oyo State has once again exposed the frightening state of insecurity confronting Nigeria. Condemnations have continued to trail Friday’s bandits’ attack on three schools in the area, where an unspecified number of students and teachers were abducted, while two persons were reportedly killed.

The tragedy has left families devastated and communities gripped by fear, as another painful chapter is added to the growing list of violent attacks across the country.

The attack, which occurred on May 16, saw armed bandits storm the community and abduct staff, students, and pupils from three schools; Community Grammar School, Baptist Nursery and Primary School, and L.

A. Primary School. Eyewitness accounts revealed that the attackers operated for hours without resistance, moving freely through the area while terrified residents watched helplessly. The incident has raised serious concerns about the safety of schools and the preparedness of security agencies to respond swiftly to emergencies.

Worst of all, one of the teachers kidnapped during the attack was reportedly beheaded by the terrorists, a horrifying development that has deepened public outrage. Such brutality underscores the dangerous evolution of criminal activities in Nigeria, where terrorists and bandits now operate with alarming boldness and cruelty. The gruesome killing has further strengthened calls for urgent and decisive action from government authorities at all levels.

This unfortunate incident of school attacks is happening yet again despite repeated assurances from security agencies that schools across the country are safe. Nigerians have continued to hear promises of improved intelligence gathering, stronger patrols, and enhanced protection for vulnerable communities, yet attacks persist with devastating consequences. The contradiction between official assurances and the reality on the ground has weakened public confidence in the nation’s security architecture.

Another disturbing trend is that insecurity is rapidly spreading into the South-West region, an area once considered relatively safer compared to other parts of the country. Reports of Lakurawa terrorists and other armed groups establishing footholds in parts of the region have heightened fears that criminal networks are expanding their operations unchecked. The Oyo school kidnapping has therefore become more than a local tragedy; it is a warning sign that no region in Nigeria can afford to feel immune from terrorism and banditry.

Every now and then, government officials continue to assure citizens that security agencies are on top of the situation, yet many innocent people are still being killed and abducted with little or no arrests made afterward. More troubling is the fact that these attacks reportedly lasted for over two hours without any intervention from security operatives. This glaring security failure leaves Nigerians asking difficult but necessary questions about the nation’s emergency response capabilities.

How could terrorists, moving in large numbers on motorbikes, invade communities, abduct many people, and still escape without being tracked, stopped, or pursued effectively? What then are the military aircraft and advanced security equipment acquired with public funds meant for if they cannot be quickly deployed during emergencies? These are questions that citizens deserve answers to, especially as insecurity continues to consume lives and livelihoods across the country.

The Oyo incident has once again strengthened arguments for the establishment of state police across Nigeria. It is now obvious and evidently clear that the country’s centralized security structure requires urgent decentralization, similar to what operates in many secure nations around the world. State policing, if properly regulated and managed, could improve intelligence gathering, rapid response, and community-based security operations, particularly in rural areas that are often neglected under the current system.

It is no longer enough for leaders to merely condemn these attacks without taking concrete and sustained actions to secure the nation. President Bola Tinubu, as Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces, must urgently engage all stakeholders in the security sector, including international partners where necessary, to ensure that these terrorists are decisively defeated.

Government must also ensure that budgeted funds meant for security agencies, especially for the purchase of military hardware and equipment, are fully released and properly utilized. Beyond military action, authorities must intensify efforts to prevent the recruitment of vulnerable youths into criminal and terrorist groups. Nigerians are tired of mourning innocent victims. These killings must stop.

Tochukwu Jimo Obi, a concerned Nigerian writes from Obosi Anambra state.

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OPINION

Museveni’s Seventh Term and Africa’s Gerontocracy Debate

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By Fortune Abang

Uganda’s President Yoweri Museveni, 81, sworn in for a seventh term after nearly four decades in power, has once again intensified debate over gerontocracy and political succession in Africa.

Museveni, who first assumed office in 1986, has now extended his rule into a fifth decade, making him one of the world’s longest-serving heads of state.

His latest mandate, expected to run until 2031, follows the January 2026 election in which he secured about 71.65 per cent of the vote, according to official results, defeating opposition leader Robert Kyagulanyi, popularly known as Bobi Wine.

His continued stay in power has been enabled by key constitutional changes over time, including the removal of presidential term limits in 2005 and the abolition of the presidential age ceiling in 2017, reforms that effectively removed legal restrictions on tenure.

Across Africa, analysts say Uganda reflects a broader governance pattern in which long-serving leaders consolidate authority over extended periods.

Comparable examples often cited include Cameroon’s Paul Biya, in power since 1982, and Congo-Brazzaville’s Denis Sassou Nguesso, who first assumed office in 1979, both of whom have also presided over decades of uninterrupted or repeatedly renewed rule.

While Museveni’s supporters argue that his leadership has provided continuity and relative stability in a region frequently affected by conflict, critics say prolonged incumbency has gradually narrowed political competition and weakened institutional independence.

Uganda has maintained a degree of internal stability and played active roles in regional diplomacy and security operations in East and Central Africa.

Supporters point to these outcomes as evidence that long-term leadership can deliver policy continuity and state cohesion.

However, opposition voices and analysts argue that stability has come at a democratic cost, pointing to declining electoral competitiveness, constrained civic space and increasing centralisation of power around the executive.

The debate intensified after the removal of presidential term limits in 2005, followed by the scrapping of the age ceiling in 2017, which together removed two major constitutional barriers to leadership rotation.

These changes have been widely cited by governance analysts as pivotal in reshaping Uganda’s democratic structure.

In the January 2026 election, Museveni again defeated Bobi Wine, who garnered roughly 24.7 per cent of the vote, amid allegations from the opposition of irregularities and political repression during the electoral process.

Supporters of Museveni argue that his long rule has enabled economic transformation, infrastructure development and strengthened Uganda’s role in regional diplomacy.

Some regional leaders, including Burundi’s President Évariste Ndayishimiye, have previously described him as a stabilising figure in East Africa, crediting Uganda with supporting peace processes and regional cooperation.

Yet, critics argue that prolonged rule risks institutional stagnation, where governance structures become overly dependent on individual leadership rather than strong, independent institutions.

Analysts warn that this can weaken succession systems and limit democratic renewal.

A foreign policy analyst, speaking anonymously, said prolonged leadership can normalise “institutional dependence on individuals rather than systems,” arguing that such conditions undermine long-term democratic consolidation.

“No nation can sustainably develop when power remains concentrated in the same hands for decades while institutions fail to mature independently,” he said.

Beyond Uganda, Africa continues to record some of the world’s longest-serving leaders, reinforcing concerns about generational turnover in governance.

In several of these systems, electoral competition remains limited and constitutional reforms have often coincided with extended presidential tenure.

Foreign affairs commentator Collins Nweke argues that the central issue is not age itself, but accountability and leadership renewal, noting that political systems weaken when succession is delayed or constrained.

Other analysts emphasise the importance of civic awareness and institutional safeguards, particularly term limits, which they describe as critical tools for preventing excessive concentration of power.

A diplomat, also speaking on condition of anonymity, called for stronger electoral transparency mechanisms, including credible voter registration systems, independent election management bodies, and robust domestic and international observation frameworks.

An academic, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said stronger civic awareness could help societies resist unconstitutional tenure elongation.

“When citizens are politically informed and organised, sit-tight ambitions lose legitimacy and public support,” he said.

Museveni’s seventh term therefore reflects a wider continental tension between political continuity and democratic renewal, raising questions about whether African democracies are evolving toward stronger institutions or settling into prolonged cycles of personalised rule.

For supporters, his leadership represents stability in a volatile region.

For critics, it signals the entrenchment of gerontocracy and weakening democratic competition.

Between these positions lies a structural challenge that extends beyond Uganda; whether institutions in African states are strong enough to outlast individuals and guarantee orderly political succession. (NAN)

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OPINION

Driving Africa’s Fair Energy Transition through Technology and Innovation

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By Bart Nnaji

Africa’s energy journey is often portrayed as a stark choice between climate responsibility and development. In reality, the continent faces a more nuanced challenge: finding a fair, gradual energy transition that matches its unique needs and ambitions.

Technology and innovation can drive this change, helping secure affordable and sustainable energy for all.

In the coming decades, Africa’s population is expected to soar to nearly 2.5 billion. Cities will grow. Industries will expand. Digital connections will multiply. The demand for energy will increase significantly.

Right now, expecting Africa to abandon fossil fuels overnight is neither realistic nor fair. In the near future, fossil fuels remain crucial for base power that is reliable, and affordable. In particular, natural gas is key transition fuel that will remain the base power solution for the next decade. Africa must not embrace renewable energy primarily when they have abundance of fossil fuel for their industrialization as other emerging and emerged nations have done. A just energy transition recognises these realities and seeks ways to build cleaner, more resilient systems over time.

Technology as the Enabler of Africa’s Energy Future

Exciting new technologies are already reshaping Africa’s energy landscape:

Decentralised solutions, like mini-grids, off-grid solar, and batteries, bring electricity to places traditional grids can’t reach. By 2030, these distributed renewables could provide most new connections in underserved communities.

Smart grids and AI-driven management can reduce waste. They help utilities serve people better.

Modern batteries ensure that solar and wind energy can be delivered steadily, even when the sun isn’t shining or the wind isn’t blowing.

Decentralised approaches are essential to Africa’s path toward universal energy access. While technology is not a fix-all solution, it is a crucial enabler of efficiency, resilience, and affordability, shaping Africa’s energy future.

African entrepreneurs are leading much of this change. They’re developing solutions that meet local needs, such as pay-as-you-go solar, community-run mini-grids, and mobile payment platforms. These innovations don’t just bring power; they create jobs, build skills, and reap economic benefits for the continent.

But innovation alone isn’t enough. Investment is critical. According to the International Energy Agency, Africa needs about $90 billion annually to achieve a successful energy transition, but current funding falls short. Governments can help by setting clear, supportive policies that attract investment and make projects more affordable. Organisations like the African Development Bank say grid investment must rise dramatically, and clean energy spending should double by 2030 to keep up with growing demand.

From Energy Access to Economic and Human Impact

Reliable energy is more than just a technical necessity – it’s what fuels industrial growth. Picture the continent’s factories buzzing with activity, transport networks connecting people and goods, and data centres powering a vibrant digital economy.

Expanding decentralised solutions brings light to places that have been left in the dark for too long. It’s about giving children a place to study at night, helping clinics store vaccines safely, and empowering entrepreneurs to launch new businesses.

Of course, none of this works in isolation. Supportive policies, strong regulations, and partnerships between governments and private companies are essential. When African countries harmonise their rules and work together, they can create bigger markets. This draws even more investment and innovation.

Ultimately, Africa’s energy transition must be shaped by Africans themselves. The path forward is about collaboration, pragmatism, and investing in homegrown solutions. Africa’s mobile phone revolution showed the world how quickly the continent can leapfrog old systems. The same can happen with energy; by embracing flexible, tech-driven models that serve today’s and tomorrow’s needs.

Now is the time to come together to act boldly and invest in Africa’s energy future. By uniting efforts, we can turn potential into progress, ensuring resilient, inclusive, and sustainable energy for generations to come. Let’s power Africa’s future, together.

Prof. Bart O. Nnaji FAS, FA Eng. CON, NNOM – Founder/Chairman, Geometric Power Limited and former Nigerian Minister of Power

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