Oil & Gas
Nigeria Tops W’Africa’s Crude Refining as Other Countries Stage Competition
Nigeria is expanding its crude refining footprint in the face of apparent asset acquisition and development by other countries in West Africa.
West Africa is developing into a regional refining and trading hub, backed by state authorities which aims to achieve greater refined product self-sufficiency and export capacity.
The extent of further change in 2026 will be defined by the fortunes of existing and fledgling refining projects, including Nigeria’s 650,000 barrels a at (b/d)Dangote and a clutch of smaller plants.
The Dangote refinery continues to upend regional and global refined product markets, reducing west Africa’s reliance on imports.
Since Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) also called petrol production began at the refinery in September 2024, Nigeria the region’s largest petrol importer has seen net petrol imports steadily fall to a historic low of 40,000 b/d in September this year, from 332,000 b/d just a year earlier, Kpler data show.Meanwhile, Nigeria’s net middle distillate exports hit a record 145,000 b/d in July, up from 82,000 b/d on the year, and the country has broadly been a net exporter of these products since May 2024, according to Argus media.
As a result, Nigeria and West Africa as a whole are pulling on considerably less gasoline and middle distillates such as petrol and jet fuel.
Year-to-date, the region spanning Mauritania to Angola has seen petrol imports drop by a quarter on the year to 337,000 b/d, while jet imports have collapsed to 4,000 b/d, both the lowest since at least 2016 when Kpler records began. West African petrol imports have fallen to a five-year low of 162,000 b/d.
Dangote has inarguably transformed regional oil product market dynamics, having proven robust through multiple bouts of maintenance works, and there is room for it to capture more of the domestic petrol market in the year ahead.
The same cannot be said for Nigerian state-owned NNPC’s refining assets.
The company restarted a 60,000 b/d section of the 210,000 b/d Port Harcourt refinery late in 2024 only to shut it again in May this year, while the 125,000 b/d Warri plant restarted in December 2024 before going offline the following month.
This underscores the challenges of modernizing or rehabilitating long-mothballed facilities along the West African coast.
Refiners in other West African countries are expanding their offerings to regional consumers, further eroding market share previously claimed by European traders.
Angola’s 30,000 b/d Cabinda refinery is up and running producing mainly petrol and jet fuel for the domestic market from its first phase.
This is likely to curb Angolan middle distillate import demand, with the refinery a 90:10 joint venture between UK-based Gemcorp and state-owned Sonangol — meeting 10 per cent of domestic demand.
Cabinda’s second phase will add gasoline production, but not until around 2028.
Angola imported 20,000 b/d of petrol in January-August, according to Kpler, around 40,000 b/d of diesel and gasoil, and negligible amounts of jet fuel.
In Ghana, the 45,000 b/d Tema Oil Refinery (TOR) continues works to restore nameplate capacity.
The privately-owned 120,000 b/d Sentuo Oil Refinery and the country’s smaller Platon and Akwaaba modular refineries operate sporadically. TOR’s return may be a surprise for 2026, with the operator reporting in October that turnaround activities were taking place “aimed at preparing the refinery for a safe and efficient restart”.
The refinery’s prospects look stronger than those of Ghana’s Petroleum Hub Development Corporation (PDHC), which appears to have postponed construction of the first three planned 300,000 b/d refineries since John Mahama returned to power in January for a non-consecutive second term.
The PDHC delays highlight the long lead times typical for large-scale refining projects. Dangote itself took nearly a decade to move from its first loan agreement to eventual start-up.
Other projects announced this year are unlikely to advance in 2026, making operating or near-complete refineries in Nigeria, Angola and Ghana critical for the region’s push towards a bigger role in the downstream market.
Oil & Gas
Chevron Says Competitive Local Capacity Devt to Define Nigeria’s Energy Future
The Managing Director of Chevron Nigeria Limited, Jim Swartz, has highlighted key areas that would sustain Nigeria’s energy transition growth pathway.
Swartz, is of the opinion that strong collaboration and partnership are key to sustain the country’s energy needs.
Speaking at the just-concluded 49th Nigerian Annual International Conference and Exhibition (NAICE) in Lagos, Swartz, said no one player can deliver the scale of projects required to achieve the goals set by the country alone.
He declared that Collaboration is essential because no single company, institution, or stakeholder can address the opportunities and challenges of the intersector alone.
And technology will remain a key driver of safer operations, stronger performance, and the future that we will deliver. For Nigeria, the opportunity is significant.The conference with the theme “Thriving in the Evolving Global Energy Landscape: Collaborative Growth and Resilience,” focused on how Nigeria can compete for capital and sustain production amid global volatility.
The managing director listed four pillars he believed are essential to define a resilient energy future.
These include continued investment, enabling long-term policies, competitive local capacity development, and strong partnerships.
He continued, “Building a resilient energy future requires continued investment, enabling policies that are resilient for the long-term, local capacity development that’s competitive and durable as well, and strong partnerships across governments, regulators, industry, and the technical community,”.
He said Chevron has invested in Nigeria for more than six decades, noting the company’s role in building the foundation of the industry and in developing technical capacity.
The firm therefore called for stronger collaboration across government, regulators and industry operators as the foundation for building a resilient oil and gas sector that can deliver growth, jobs and energy security for Nigeria.
BUSINESS
NNPC Saves $3.4bn, Contributes N19.5tn Revenue in One Year
By David Torough, Abuja
The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC) said it saved $3.4bn through contract restructuring and optimisation over the past year, while increasing its contribution to government revenue to N19.
5tn and boosting crude oil and gas production.Group Chief Executive Officer, Bayo Ojulari, disclosed the figures on Tuesday while presenting the company’s one-year performance scorecard at the opening of the 25th NOG Energy Week in Abuja.
According to Ojulari, the contract optimisation programme reduced operating costs by $3.
4bn without disrupting operations, strengthening commercial efficiency and improving the competitiveness of Nigeria’s oil and gas industry.The scorecard showed that crude oil production rose by six per cent year-on-year to 569.7 million barrels, while gas production increased by 8.1 per cent to 2,576 billion standard cubic feet. NNPC’s contribution to government revenue also climbed by 21.8 per cent to N19.5tn.
Ojulari said Nigeria’s crude oil production has reached about 1.71 million barrels per day, the highest level in five years, while NNPC Exploration and Production Limited achieved a record output of 365,000 barrels per day.
He said the company aims to increase crude oil production to two million barrels per day by 2027 and three million barrels per day by 2030. Gas production is projected to rise from 7.62 billion cubic feet per day this year to 10 billion cubic feet per day in 2027 and 12 billion cubic feet per day by 2030.
The NNPC boss also reported significant improvements in export infrastructure, noting that crude export terminals recorded an average 98 per cent recovery factor between April 2025 and May 2026. He added that major evacuation pipelines, including the Trans Niger, Trans Escravos, Trans Ramos, Trans Forcados and Oando-Brass lines, are operating at 100 per cent availability.
Ojulari further disclosed that NNPC maintained 100 per cent compliance with its Joint Venture cash-call obligations throughout 2025 and into June 2026, although some partners remained in default, increasing the company’s funding responsibilities.
On the commercial front, he said NNPC signed gas sale and purchase agreements covering 1.29 billion standard cubic feet per day for long-term LNG feed gas and 750 million standard cubic feet per day for domestic industrial gas supply to DFL FZE and Dangote Refinery. The agreements are expected to attract more than $20bn in investments, with seven additional transactions under negotiation.
He also highlighted governance reforms, including the resumption of monthly remittances to the Federation Account in July 2025, the restoration of monthly business performance reporting and the company’s first earnings call in November 2025.
Ojulari urged governments, investors, regulators and operators across Africa to strengthen collaboration, arguing that strategic partnerships would be critical to unlocking the continent’s energy potential and attracting greater investment.
Oil & Gas
OPEC Projects Slower Drop in Crude Consumption by Advanced Economies
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), has revised downward its 2026 global oil demand growth estimates, citing expected slower consumption growth in advanced economies, where collective demand will rise by only 100,000 barrels per day.
The cartel said it now expects global oil demand growth to reach 1.
2 million barrels per day in 2026, down from its previous forecast of 1. 4 million barrels per day, explaining that the revision would bring total global oil consumption to 106.3 million barrels per day.In Europe, oil demand will decline by 30,000 barrels per day as weaker economic activity weighs on consumption, OPEC, said in its monthly oil market report.
The OPEC also expects some Asian economies, particularly Japan, to record slower demand growth. The organization forecast Japanese oil consumption to fall by 80,000 barrels per day.
However, strong demand from major emerging economies partly offset these weaker signals.
The OPEC said China would add 250,000 barrels per day to global demand, supported by its petrochemical industry. The organization also forecast India to increase demand by 200,000 barrels per day, driven by infrastructure spending and growth in vehicle ownership. Overall, OPEC expects emerging economies and developing countries to contribute an additional 1.1 million barrels per day to global oil consumption in 2026.
The OPEC’s revision aligns with a broader reassessment of global oil demand expectations.
In its May 2026 report, the International Energy Agency projected a much sharper downturn. The agency forecast a contraction of 420,000 barrels per day in global oil demand for the full year rather than a slowdown in growth.
The gap between the two institutions now exceeds 1 million barrels per day, highlighting the uncertainty surrounding the market outlook.
Both reports identified the near-closure of the Strait of Hormuz as a major factor behind market instability. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, six Gulf countries collectively reduced production by 10.5 million barrels per day in April, marking what the agency described as an unprecedented contraction outside pandemic periods.
As supply shortages intensified, oil producers outside the Middle East moved to increase production to offset part of the missing volumes. Several African producers, including Nigeria, Libya and Angola, benefited from rising demand for Atlantic Basin crude among Asian and European buyers that lost access to Gulf oil supplies, according to the IEA.
However, not all African producers can fully capitalize on the opportunity. Nigeria, Africa’s largest oil producer and an OPEC member, nonetheless showed encouraging momentum. According to provisional data published on May 15 by the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission, the country increased oil production from 1.546 million barrels per day in March to 1.663 million barrels per day in April 2026.


