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NNPC Weekly Review: Stakeholders Hail PIA as Economic Game-Changer

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The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited (NNPC) started the week with the commendation of stakeholders in the nation’s political and industrial sectors on the successful activation of the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA 2021).

It would be recalled that the Act was signed into law by President Muhammadu Buhari on Aug.

16, as an economic game-changer.

The stakeholders who include the Governor of Akwa Ibom State, Mr Udom Emmanuel, the Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of NNPC, Malam Mele Kyari, and former Managing Director of Seplat Petroleum Mr Austin Avuru, gave the commendation at the just concluded 27th Nigerian Economic Summit (NES).

The summit was a public-private sector dialogue organised by the Nigerian Economic Summit Group (NESG).

In a virtual presentation, Gov. Emmanuel applauded President Buhari’s timely assent to the PIA, saying that the law has given a sense of belonging to all stakeholders, especially the host communities.

The Governor who was represented by the Secretary to the State Government (SSG), Dr Emmanuel Ekuwem, said that the provisions regarding frontier exploration would help revisit the oil wells that had been capped and would improve the state’s economy.

On his part, the former Managing Director of Seplat Petroleum, Mr. Austin Avuru, said the PIA would change NNPC’s mode of operations as it had empowered the Company to do business according to rules rather than discretion.

He further noted that NNPC operating under the Company and Allied Matters Act (CAMA) would strengthen the petroleum industry.

In his presentation titled: “PIA 2021 Is a New Day”, the CEO of NNPC, Malam Mele Kyari, gave an overview of the structure of the new NNPC Limited as provided in the PIA.

Kyari who was represented by the Chief Financial Officer of the Company, Mr Umar Ajiya, said that according to the PIA, NNPC would operate under CAMA, declare dividends to its shareholders and retain 20 per cent of its profits to grow its businesses.

The PIA was enacted to provide legal, governance, regulatory and fiscal frameworks as well as provide guidelines for the development of host communities and other related matters in the upstream, midstream and downstream sectors of the Nigerian Petroleum Industry.

The Act is made up of five Chapters, 319 Sections, and 8 Schedules.

Still in the week under review, the NNPC said the country’s petroleum product demand would expectedly grow by 14.57 per cent to 17.3million metric tons by 2025 from 15.1million metric tons in 2020.

This projection was made by the company’s CEO, Mele Kyari, at the opening of the 15th Oil Trading and Logistics (OTL) Africa Downstream Week which took place in Lagos.

In a keynote address at the event, Kyari disclosed that the country required about 3.097billion dollars worth of investment in condensate refineries to meet the projected demand for petroleum products.

According to Kyari who was represented by the Group Executive Director, Downstream, NNPC, Engr. Adeyemi Adetunji, the NNPC requires between 1.6billion dollars and 2.7billion dollars to improve the supply and distribution of petroleum products, revamp Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) infrastructure, and build Compressed Natural Gas (CNG) plants in the country.

Speaking on the theme of the conference “Downstream in Transition: Getting Set”, the NNPC helmsman said that the country would need a refining capacity of about 1.52million barrels per stream day (MBPSD) to meet its petrol requirement in the next four years.

He also projected that the demand for natural gas could grow about four times over the next decade from 4.8billion cubic feet per day (bcf/d) in 2020 to between 10 and 23bcf/d in 2030.

He said that the current supply to the domestic market was about 8bcf/d to power, 0.77bcf/d to industries, and 3.2bcf/d for export through the LNG and the West Africa Gas Pipeline (WAGP), while about 54bcf/d was flared.

According to him, the expected demand growth would come from the increase in the wheeling capacity of existing national power grid in line with the Presidential Power Initiative, major fertilizer projects (Dangote, Brass), and industrial demand for natural gas in the northern axis of the country.

On the global oil market outlook, Kyari said: “Some 10.4trillion dollars global stimulus in response to the COVID-19 pandemic led to the rebound in consumers’ spending while incentives for long-term investments in hydrocarbon had waned.”

Quoting the recent data by the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Kyari stated that hydrocarbon would continue to be relevant in the global energy mix for the next two decades.

He slao quoted OPEC date saying that the world oil demand is expected to rise from a pandemic stricken 90.6million barrels per day (mbpd) in 2020 to 108.2mbpd in 2045, thereby accounting for 28 per cent of global energy needs.

The OPEC data further stated that the rise in demand would be driven by growth in world population, which is set to expand to 9.5 billion by 2045, and the huge potential for expanding access to modern energy services for the under-served.

He noted that the downstream sector of Nigerian oil and gas industry had been in transition prior to the passage of the PIA.

This he said, was in response to the global energy transition and decarbonisation initiatives.

Kyari maintained that it would be difficult to discuss the transition in the downstream sub-sector in isolation from the overall evolution that is happening in the industry, adding that NNPC had diversified its portfolio over the years towards transiting to an energy company with new investments in gas, power, and renewables.

He said that key pipeline projects were on-going to assure delivery of gas to the demand nodes, stressing that the corporation has also progressed with the Refineries Rehabilitation Programme to enhance its participation in the Oil and Gas value chain.

Kyari explained that the transition in Nigeria’s oil and gas sector was being driven by the global decarbonisation efforts to switch to renewables in response to environmental concerns.

As investments in hydrocarbon continued to wane due to energy transition and geopolitics, Kyari said the world economy faced shortages, high energy prices, rising inflation and sluggish growth.

Meanwhile, the NNPC has revealed the cost of the 21 road it plans to rehabilitate under the Federal Government Road Infrastructure Development and Refurbishment Investment Tax Credit Scheme in pursuant to Presidential Executive Order 007 of 2019.

Following the approval by the Federal Executive Council (FEC), the NNPC would construct a total of 1,804.6km of roads at a total cost of N621,237,143,897.35 (Six Hundred & Twenty-One Billion, Two Hundred & Thirty Seven Million, One Hundred & Forty Three Thousand, Eight Hundred & Ninety Seven Naira, Thirty Five Kobo).

The breakdown is as shown below in a statement issued by Mr Garba Deen Muhammad, Group General Manager, Group Public Affairs Division of the NNPC.

S/NoZONEKMs TO BE COVEREDCOST (BILLION NAIRA)
1.North Central791.10244,872,518,149.29
2.North East273.3556,126,741,692.11
3.North West283.523,057,338,426.61
4.South East122.043,281,895,080.04
5.South South81.9172,027,737,903.32
6.South West252.781,870,912,645.98
Total6 Zones1,804.6kmN621,237,143,897.35

Oil & Gas

NUPRC, Indonesia Open Talks on Oil Investments as Pertamina Eyes 2026 Licensing Round

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The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) has opened discussions with Indonesia on petroleum investments, with Indonesian national oil company Pertamina expressing interest in Nigeria’s 2026 Licensing Round.

The development followed a meeting between the NUPRC Chief Executive, Oritsemeyiwa Eyesan, Indonesia’s Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs, Arif Havas Oegroseno, and Toriq Abdat, Vice President, Upstream Business Development, Pertamina.

Head, Corporate Communications and Media, NUPRC, Eniola Akinkuotu, made this known in a statement on Sunday.

Nigeria and Indonesia shared similar priorities, including energy security, resource utilisation and investments into the sector as both countries seek to increase oil production, with Nigeria targeting three million barrels per day (bpd) by 2030.

Nigeria currently produces about 1.6 million to 1.7 million bpd, while Indonesia produces about 600,000 bpd and is also seeking to increase output.

Abdat said Pertamina had been mandated to expand its operations internationally and was exploring opportunities in countries including Malaysia, Iraq and Nigeria.

“In Indonesia, we are producing only around 600,000 barrels. We are working on exploration towards deepwater but we found more gas than oil.

“That is why we go outside Indonesia, Malaysia, then the Middle East, Iraq and Nigeria,” he said.

Abdat said Pertamina was seeking producing assets, projects nearing production or opportunities ahead of Final Investment Decision (FID).

He said the company was open to both competitive bidding and bilateral arrangements with governments.

“We would like to be in projects with governments, producing assets, near production or before FID.

“Now we are looking at how we can help you reach the three million, and also help us provide more energy for our own consumption,” Abdat said.

He expressed interest in opportunities beyond crude oil and natural gas, particularly in the fertiliser sector, adding that Pertamina was developing a fertiliser plant to reduce Indonesia’s dependence on supplies from the Middle East amid disruptions caused by global conflicts.

He linked food security to the oil and gas sector, noting the importance of phosphate and other elements used in fertiliser production.

Responding, Eyesan said Nigeria’s production target was ambitious, adding that the 2026 Licensing Round was one of the strategies being deployed to achieve it.

“We have very aggressive targets, three million barrels per day by 2030, and today we are at 1.6, 1.7.

“We are committed to the objective and the licensing round is one of the strategies we are utilising,” she said.

Eyesan said licensing rounds had become a recurring exercise in Nigeria rather than an occasional process, following their institutionalisation under the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) 2021.

She said the most recent commercial bid conference, held in July, featured 50 assets, with 37 awarded.

The NUPRC boss said Nigeria had also reviewed its fiscal terms in response to competition for the same pool of global investment capital.

She said the country had reduced entry barriers, including signature bonuses, to encourage investment in the upstream sector.

Nigeria, in turn, is diversifying its phosphate sources, including through a long-term transatlantic pipeline project with Morocco aimed at serving West Africa.

The meeting ended with both sides agreeing to sustain commercial and diplomatic engagements on potential areas of cooperation.(NAN)

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Oil & Gas

RMAFC Inaugurates Planning Committee for China Oil & Gas Investment Forum

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By Tony Obiechina, Abuja

The Revenue Mobilisation Allocation and Fiscal Commission (RMAFC) has inaugurated a Planning Committee to coordinate preparations for the forthcoming Oil and Gas Investment forum scheduled to take place in China later this year.

The Chairman of the Commission Dr.

Mohammed Bello Shehu represented the Investment Monitoring Committee and Federal Commissioner representing Anambra State, Hon.
Ekene Enefe, chaired the inaugural meeting held at the Commission’s headquarters in Abuja.

In his remarks, Dr. Shehu underscored the importance of strategic planning, effective coordination and strong institutional collaboration in ensuring the successful implementation of the program.

He noted that the forum would provide a credible platform for showcasing Nigeria’s investment opportunities across the oil and gas value chain and attracting meaningful investments into the country.

He charged the Planning Committee to develop a comprehensive framework for the event, identify priority investment opportunities, coordinate stakeholder participation, and facilitate strategic engagements with prospective investors and partners in China.

According to him, the Investment forum would feature business-to-business engagements, investment matchmaking, technical presentations and policy dialogue aimed at promoting sustainable partnerships and strengthening cooperation between Nigeria and China in the oil and gas sector.

The Chairman reaffirmed the Commission’s commitment to collaborating with relevant institutions and stakeholders within its constitutional mandate, to support initiatives that strengthen investment, improve revenue generation and promote sustainable economic development.

According to a statement by Maryam Umar Yusuf, Head, Information and Public Relations Unit the inauguration of the Planning Committee marks an important step towards the9 coordinated preparation for the China oil and gas Investment forum aimed at promoting Nigeria’s investment opportunities in the international oil and gas market.

The Committee comprises representatives of the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), Nigerian Investment Promotion Commission (NIPC), Federal Ministry of Industry, Trade and Investment, Oil and Gas Free Zone Authority, Nigeria-China Business Council, the Director of the Gas and Investment Department, RMAFC, and staff members of the Department.

Also in attendance were the Federal Commissioner representing Kogi State, Hon. Abdulaziz Idris King and other members of the Investment Monitoring Committee.

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Oil & Gas

Nigeria Cuts Local Petroleum Refining Cost through Crude Swap Initiative

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The Federal Government is firming an initiative that will boost oil and gas swap plan, embedded with a regulator-mandated netting mechanism, the first of its kind around the world, to enable refiners to bring down refining costs.

The finer details of this complicated swap mechanism, pitched forward by the present administration, are being worked out by the various stakeholders

The spur is volatility in retail petrol prices, which have rocketed more than sixfold since President Bola Tinubu terminated decades-old fuel subsidies on his inauguration day in May 2023, and the promise the move holds for the affordability of the product, and other fuels.

Retail petrol has been defenceless against external pressures that have driven it to extreme price levels in Nigeria, since the US-Iran war started in February, up by 22.7 per cent.

This has continued to weigh on consumer budgets so profoundly that regulators are now stepping up consultations more tenaciously to introduce reforms to ease the pressure on businesses and households.

In August, the idea of a crude oil and gas swap system that pairs domestic producers up with refineries with a view to compressing input costs and delivery time was discussed at a meeting between the midstream sector’s top watchdog and the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) in Abuja.

The structure is in the works. The proposal is currently engaging other players, with Eyesan noting that discussions on the crude oil component of the swap are still rudimentary.

The operational asset-exchange framework of the swap allows two distant producers, who are close to each other’s delivery points (refineries in this case), to switch volumes.

This gives them ample room to leverage the proximity of their bases to such destinations to save the massive logistics expenses involved in shipping crude across the supply chain.

The volume differences, quality API differentials, as well as delivery margins, are then netted off at a proposed commercial clearing house.

At the time, 27 of the 63 companies producing gas in the country had approved quotas to supply the market. However, just 23 of them were actively doing so.

The gas swap framework, on that score, permits operators unable to evacuate their gas for certain technical constraints to get a leg-up from counterparts with the facilities to supply the gas where it is needed.

It raises hope that the savings on logistics the swap is out to guarantee will directly impact the pump price of locally sold petrol, should the plan fly.

The scheme advances to the drafting stage, once consultation is over, where the energy sector’s technical committees will compose the credit-settlement laws, commercial netting-off guidelines and grade quality valuation standards, setting it up for adoption.

Implementation, if reasonably successful, might institutionalise a model from which oil-producing nations, especially those battling spikes in fuel costs internally, could borrow a leaf.

The netting-off feature of the scheme uniquely endows it with a luxury, which similar swap structures in other markets don’t offer.

Under the US crude location/quality swaps, which come closest, midstream operators can exchange cargoes of crude through clearing houses like ICE to avoid physical pipeline backhauls, based on mutual agreements between parties. However, regulation does not obligate such deals.

Dangote Petroleum Refinery, the continent’s largest, based in Lagos, added to the urgency to tame soaring refining costs recently when it revealed that involvement of middlemen raises feedstock costs by USD 3 to USD 4 per barrel in Nigeria.

That is so because crude pricing under Nigeria’s petroleum industry law is tied to Free-on-Board Dated Brent. Producers often claim that not factoring in international freight differentials while selling oil to the home market puts them at a disadvantage, unlike if it is exported.

Much as that is a regulation-backed practice, it unfairly leaves local refiners bearing a cost they are not actually liable for.

Beyond stretching logistics spending for refiners, the pass-on effect of the extra cost on fuel prices complicates affordability for consumers.

The refinery holds the biggest slice of the domestic fuel market, accounting for 87.6 per cent of petrol supply in May, according to the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA).

That affirms the overpowering implications a slight rise in the refining expenses of a refinery of that scale can have on the majority of Nigeria’s 242.4 million population, the continent’s largest.

The global costs of processing crude feedstock into finished products are accelerating to unprecedented levels across regions, due to a refining shortfall.

A note by Goldman Sachs, cited by Bloomberg in a report on August 31, suggested that the trouble has been compounded by attacks on refineries in the Middle East and Russia that are driving margins to new highs.

Russia had, in the last week of July, elongated its ban on petrol and diesel exports until January of the year ahead, making the global fuel market tighter.

Diesel is projected to be the worst-hit, with the New York-based investment bank anticipating the refining margins to reach $63 per barrel in the US and an average of USD 49 in the EU in 2027.

It marks a 133.3 per cent surge for US refiners and 157.9 per cent for their EU peers from previous forecasts.

As of August 26, the daily time rates of chartering a tanker from the Middle East to China had surpassed USD 600,000, the second time in history that has happened, Reuters stated, citing LSEG data, pressuring refining costs.

In India, a shortage of physical oil supply is pointing refiners to the expensive spot market as traders request premiums of USD 3 to USD 4 per barrel amid a narrow supply condition that shows no signal of improving soon.

The risk factor of transporting cargoes through troubled maritime routes is giving traders grounds to price crude higher.

Brazil’s state-owned oil company Petrobras, the largest in South America, reported in its half-year 2026 corporate results that average refining cost rose 15.1 per cent to USD 3.21 per barrel, compared to a year ago.

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