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The Battle before the 2027 Ballots
By Dakuku Peterside
By the time Nigerians file into polling units in 2027, the most consequential battle for the nation’s democracy may already have been fought — and perhaps won or lost. Elections are merely democracy’s public ceremony, the visible culmination of political choices shaped long before the first ballot is cast.
The real test of democratic health lies elsewhere: in the independence of institutions, the conduct of political actors, the resilience of the rule of law, the protection of dissent, and the willingness of those entrusted with power to submit themselves to the same constitutional restraints they expect others to obey.
It is in these quiet, often-overlooked arenas — not on Election Day — that democracies either flourish or gradually unravel. This distinction is essential in the months ahead. Nigeria has every reason to take pride in sustaining uninterrupted civilian rule since 1999.
In a continent where constitutional disruptions and democratic reversals have become increasingly common, the country’s record of regular elections represents an achievement worthy of recognition. Governments have changed through the ballot box, opposition parties have occasionally defeated incumbents, and democratic institutions have matured with each electoral cycle. Yet, democratic longevity should never be mistaken for democratic consolidation.
Conducting elections repeatedly does not, by itself, guarantee the deepening of democracy. A nation may become increasingly proficient at organising elections, while simultaneously becoming less committed to the democratic principles that give those elections meaning.
Democracy is not measured simply by the regularity of voting; it is measured by the openness of political competition, the impartiality of institutions, the protection of fundamental freedoms, and the confidence of citizens that every political actor competes under the same constitutional rules. That distinction matters profoundly as Nigeria begins its long march towards another defining election, in which the health of democracy will be tested beyond the ballot box.
Across the political landscape, internal crises have become almost routine. Leadership disputes, factional struggles, and prolonged litigation have weakened several opposition parties, while internal disagreements have hardly been absent within the ruling party itself. Such tensions are not unique to Nigeria; political parties everywhere experience internal contestation.
What should concern every democrat, however, is the growing public perception that institutions established to arbitrate political disputes are increasingly viewed through partisan lenses. Whether that perception is entirely justified is, in many respects, secondary. Public confidence matters, even when the facts remain contested.
Democracy depends as much on public confidence as it does on constitutional procedure. Institutions derive legitimacy, not only from the powers vested in them by law but also from the trust citizens place in their neutrality.
When confidence in institutional independence erodes, democratic stability becomes increasingly fragile, even where formal constitutional processes remain intact. Trust, once diminished, is far more difficult to restore than to preserve.
History repeatedly teaches the same sobering lesson: democracies rarely collapse in dramatic fashion. They seldom disappear overnight through military intervention or constitutional abolition. More often, they weaken gradually through the slow erosion of institutional checks, the shrinking of the political space, the selective application of laws, the normalisation of unequal political competition, and the quiet acceptance of practices that would once have been considered unacceptable. That is why vigilance before elections is infinitely more valuable than regret after them, especially when warning signs appear gradually.
Equally troubling is the deterioration of political discourse itself. Increasingly, public debate rewards outrage over reason, suspicion over dialogue, and personal attacks over policy alternatives. Social media has amplified misinformation, deepened political polarisation, and accelerated the spread of narratives designed more to inflame emotions than illuminate facts.
Political opponents are too often portrayed not as legitimate competitors but as existential enemies whose very participation in national life is treated with hostility. Such a political culture impoverishes democracy, because pluralism is not democracy’s greatest weakness; it is its defining strength.
The freedom to disagree peacefully, to challenge authority, and to present alternative visions of national development is not a threat to constitutional order. It is the mechanism through which democracy renews itself. Nations do not become weaker because citizens disagree.
They become weaker when disagreement itself becomes unacceptable. The months ahead, therefore, demand a renewed commitment to democratic restraint, beginning with the use of public power.
Public resources must never become instruments of partisan advantage. The constitutional separation between the state and the governing party is one of democracy’s most important guardrails. In mature democracies such as the United Kingdom, the long-established “purdah” convention restricts governments from using official resources to secure electoral advantage during sensitive pre-election periods. The principle is straightforward: governments govern on behalf of all citizens, while political parties campaign on their own behalf.
Preserving that distinction protects both public trust and electoral legitimacy. Every naira appropriated through the national treasury belongs to the Nigerian people, not to any political party. Government property, public institutions, official communication platforms, and state infrastructure exist to serve the Republic, rather than those who temporarily administer it.
Power invariably tempts those who hold it to mistake temporary authority for permanent entitlement. Yet the greatness of democratic leadership lies not in the unfettered exercise of power but in the discipline to restrain it.
History remembers leaders not simply for the authority they wielded but for the constitutional limits they respected while wielding it. The responsibility for protecting democracy, however, does not rest exclusively with those in government; it also falls on the opposition, the media, civil society, and citizens.
Opposition parties cannot demand stronger democratic institutions while neglecting democracy within their own ranks. Persistent factionalism, opaque candidate selection, leadership instability, and organisational indiscipline undermine public confidence just as surely as institutional overreach.
Political parties serve as the training grounds of democratic leadership. When internal democracy collapses, national democracy is inevitably weakened.
Nor can the media and civil society abdicate their responsibilities. Journalism fulfils its highest calling when it subjects power to rigorous scrutiny, while remaining faithful to the facts, rather than to political preferences.
Civil society, likewise, must defend constitutional principles consistently, resisting the temptation to become selectively outraged, depending on which political interests are affected. Principles acquire moral authority only when they are applied impartially.
Ultimately, however, the destiny of Nigerian democracy rests with its citizens, whose choices shape every democratic outcome. The 2023 Nigerian general election itself underscored this responsibility. Beyond debates over technology, logistics and institutional performance, it revealed a politically engaged electorate that increasingly demanded transparency, accountability, and credible electoral processes.
That civic awakening remains one of the country’s greatest democratic assets. Institutions matter enormously, but informed and vigilant citizens remain democracy’s ultimate custodians. No electoral commission can compensate for an electorate that normalises vote-buying.
No constitutional amendment can eliminate ethnic or religious prejudice from political decision-making. No judicial pronouncement can replace civic responsibility.
Democracy reflects the political culture of its people. Citizens who reward competence, integrity and ideas strengthen democratic institutions. Those who elevate ethnicity, patronage, misinformation, or immediate material inducement above national interest weaken the very system upon which their own freedoms ultimately depend.
As 2027 approaches, Nigeria should resist the temptation to reduce political debate to a simple calculation of who will emerge victorious. The larger question is what kind of democracy will remain.
Every administration eventually leaves office. Every governing party eventually confronts the possibility of opposition. Every election eventually becomes history.
What endures are institutions, constitutional conventions and the democratic norms that outlive individual leaders and political movements. Those enduring foundations deserve greater protection than the temporary ambitions of any political generation.
Nigeria has repeatedly demonstrated extraordinary resilience, but this should never become an excuse for complacency. It has survived military dictatorship, constitutional crises, economic upheaval, and periods of profound national uncertainty.
Those experiences testify to the remarkable endurance of the Nigerian state. Democracy survives not because it is indestructible, but because every generation consciously chooses to defend it.
That choice confronts Nigeria once again. The months before the 2027 elections will reveal far more about the nation’s democratic maturity than election day itself, showing whether political actors value constitutional restraint above partisan expediency; whether institutions remain faithful to the Republic rather than to political interests; whether leadership is exercised with humility rather than entitlement; and whether citizens recognise that democracy is sustained not by perpetual victory but by the certainty that power can change hands peacefully, fairly and legitimately. Nigeria must pass this test.
The battle before the 2027 ballots is therefore not fundamentally between political parties, personalities or regions. It is a contest between principle and expediency, between institutional integrity and institutional capture, between democratic restraint and excess. Nigeria must choose which side of that contest it will stand on.
The election will last only a day. The character of Nigeria’s democracy will endure long after the final votes have been counted, and that enduring character will reveal whether the months before the election strengthened principle, restraint and public confidence.
What remains is whether Nigerians will defend it now, before the ballots are cast. History will remember not simply who won in 2027 but whether the nation preserved the democratic values that made victory worth having in the first place.
Dakuku Peterside is a renowned author of two bestselling books, Leading in a Storm and Beneath the Surface.
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Post-evacuation: Nigeria’s Continuous Ebola Surveillance
By Folasade Akpan
With Nigeria’s imported Bundibugyo Ebola patient now evacuated to Switzerland, the country’s health response has pivoted from active patient care to long-term monitoring, community engagement, and systemic readiness.
Nigeria confirmed its first imported case of Ebola (Bundibugyo strain) from a traveler arriving from Uganda on Oct.
20; the patient was stabilised before the evacuation.It is worth noting that the Nigeria Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (NCDC) says suspected cases reported in Yola, Adamawa, on Oct.
30, turned out negative for EVD after two rounds of testing.In spite of having no active cases left in the country, experts say public health authorities must maintain rigorous contact tracing, evaluate new alerts, and ensure the healthcare network remains equipped to detect any potential infections immediately.
The Coordinating Minister of Health and Social Welfare, Prof. Muhammad Pate, said Nigeria could potentially declare the outbreak over by Dec. 7, provided no further confirmed or probable cases emerge.
He said the date remained provisional, subject to validation of the 42-day countdown by the NCDC and the World Health Organisation (WHO).
“Any further case would require a fresh countdown in accordance with those criteria,” Pate said in a post on his official X handle.
The countdown therefore represents more than a date on the public health calendar.
It places continued contact monitoring, prompt investigation and the ability to detect new cases at the centre of Nigeria’s response.
The WHO Regional Director for Africa, Dr Mohamed Janabi, said Nigeria would continue monitoring 52 contacts, while Switzerland would manage the patient and follow up her husband.
The husband, who travelled with the patient during the medical evacuation, was placed in isolation at University Hospital Zurich, while she received treatment at Geneva University Hospitals.
The transfer followed clinical improvement after Nigerian health workers managed the patient through the acute phase of the illness.
However, the Academy of Medical Sciences of Nigeria (AMedS) cautioned that clinical improvement did not necessarily mean the patient was no longer infectious.
Its President, Prof. Osato Giwa-Osagie, urged the authorities to sustain contact monitoring and complete the prescribed 21-day follow-up for exposed persons, including health workers and domestic staff.
The academy’s position underscores a central feature of infectious disease control: removing a patient from the country does not remove the need to investigate potential exposures.
The NCDC Director-General, Dr Jide Idris, said public health teams had identified people who might have been exposed and monitoring them for 21 days after their last possible exposure.
“Being identified as a contact does not mean that you have Ebola,” Idris said.
The Minister of Information and National Orientation, Alhaji Mohammed Idris, has also directed agencies under his ministry to intensify public education on Ebola.
He said accurate information should reach communities in languages they understood, with clear guidance on transmission, prevention and where to report suspected cases.
The minister directed the National Orientation Agency, Nigerian Television Authority, Federal Radio Corporation of Nigeria, Voice of Nigeria and the News Agency of Nigeria to work with health authorities on public information.
He also urged Nigerians to rely on official information and avoid spreading unverified claims.
“The Federal Government is taking every necessary step to protect Nigerians.
“Accurate and timely information is one of our strongest defences,” the minister said.
Health observers say there is a need for a response system that enables healthcare workers to recognise possible exposure risks, separate suspected cases from other patients, and notify public health authorities without waiting for laboratory confirmation.
To this end, the NCDC has also mobilised Infection Prevention and Control (IPC) professionals and media fellows to support preparedness and improve communication.
Idris stressed the need for active rather than passive containment.
“We want active containment. We don’t want to be passive at all. We want to go at it with all that we have,” he said.
Prof. Sade Ogunsola, Vice-Chancellor of the University of Lagos, said infection prevention needed to remain part of routine healthcare practice rather than an emergency measure.
“IPC is really about the routine, I would say the boring work we do in healthcare facilities every day, where, like soldiers, you prepare for war in peacetime,” she said.
Her observation points to the importance of maintaining trained personnel, protective equipment, safe waste management and functional isolation arrangements before another suspected case arrives.
Medical laboratory expert Stephen Oricha also called for adequate protective equipment in health facilities, including those at the grassroots.
Oricha who is the Deputy Director, Medical Laboratory, University of Abuja Teaching Hospital, warned that healthcare workers could be exposed if protective equipment and infection prevention measures were inadequate.
“As a healthcare worker we must exercise caution when attending to patients, we must ensure that preventive measures are taken,” Oricha said.
He said protective equipment should not be limited to major government hospitals because workers in local facilities also needed protection.
Medical laboratory expert Stephen Oricha also called for adequate protective equipment in health facilities, including those at the grassroots.
Oricha, who is the Deputy Director, Medical Laboratory, University of Abuja Teaching Hospital, warned that healthcare workers could be exposed if protective equipment and infection prevention measures were inadequate.
“As a healthcare worker we must exercise caution when attending to patients, we must ensure that preventive measures are taken,” Oricha said.
Experts say the laboratory system is another part of the response that must remain functional beyond the immediate emergency.
In addition, stakeholders say community-based surveillance may also contribute to early detection.
To buttress this, the Association of Community Pharmacists of Nigeria urged the federal government to adopt a nationwide “Pharmacy First” protocol.
The association’s National Chairman, Mr Ezeh Ambrose, said community pharmacies could help identify suspected cases and refer patients promptly to designated facilities.
“We cannot afford to repeat past missteps where delayed grassroots surveillance allowed outbreaks to spiral out of control,” he said.
The proposal would require clear clinical guidance, referral pathways, surveillance procedures and coordination with public health authorities.
Its effectiveness would depend on how well these arrangements were designed and implemented.
Nigeria’s eventual success depends not just on treating the initial patient, but on maintaining long-term surveillance and reacting swiftly to new data.
While the tentative Dec. 7 countdown sets a timeline, it does not lessen the need for constant alertness.
To retain public trust, health officials must communicate transparently, support monitored individuals, and prove their readiness through action rather than rhetoric.
The imported case tested the nation’s defense; the upcoming challenge is keeping these response systems well-funded, effective, and trusted.
All in all, stakeholders say the patient’s evacuation must signal a shift into tighter containment, not the conclusion of preventive efforts.(NAN)
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Attempted Suicide in Nigeria: Legislative Reform, Economic Hardship and the Right to Human Dignity
By Oluwaleye Adedoyin Grace
Should a person who survives a suicide attempt be punished or helped? This question challenges Nigeria’s continued criminalization of attempted suicide under section 327 of the Criminal Code Act and section 231 of the applicable Penal Code.
In a society grappling with economic hardship, unemployment, poverty and limited access to mental-health services, the appropriateness of criminal punishment deserves serious reconsideration.
Although these challenges do not explain every suicide attempt, they highlight the need to examine the circumstances in which people experience severe distress.This article argues that Nigeria should replace criminal punishment for attempted suicide with a support-centered approach that prioritizes prevention, medical care and rehabilitation, while maintaining appropriate safeguards and accountability.
THE HUMAN COST OF ECONOMIC HARDSHIP
Behind the debate on attempted suicide lies a painful reality that the law must not ignore: the struggle to survive. Imagine a father who wakes up every morning wanting to provide for his family but has been laid off and can no longer afford their basic needs. Imagine a single mother who spends the entire day selling pepper by the roadside, yet returns home unable to provide enough food for her four children. Imagine a graduate who spent years studying, holding on to the promise of a better future, only to face endless job applications, rejection and uncertainty. Imagine people sleeping under bridges, not because they have chosen such a life, but because they have nowhere else to go.
For some Nigerians, survival has become a daily struggle against hunger, homelessness and hopelessness. Behind closed doors, people carry burdens that are invisible to the public: unpaid bills, empty kitchens, disappointed children and the painful feeling of being unable to provide for those who depend on them. Although economic hardship does not explain every suicide attempt, its possible contribution to severe emotional distress cannot be dismissed.
This raises a fundamental question: when a person reaches a point of despair, should the law respond primarily with punishment, or should it also examine the circumstances in which that person has been struggling to survive? Criminalizing attempted suicide without adequately addressing the need for medical care, psychological support and social protection risks treating the visible crisis while neglecting some of the conditions that may have contributed to it.
A society must ask itself whether it is doing enough to help people survive before it punishes those who have lost the strength to keep fighting. Protecting human life requires more than prohibiting suicide; it requires building a society in which people in distress can access meaningful support, dignity and hope.
LEGAL FRAMEWORK GOVERNING ATTEMPTED SUICIDE IN NIGERIA
Section 327 of the Criminal Code Act criminalizes attempted suicide as a misdemeanor punishable by imprisonment for up to one year. Section 231 of the applicable Penal Code also criminalizes attempted suicide, prescribing imprisonment, a fine, or both.
The Constitution of the Federal Republic of Nigeria 1999, particularly sections 33 and 34, protects the right to life and human dignity. Although these provisions do not automatically invalidate the criminalization of attempted suicide, they are relevant to debates about whether punishing a person in distress is consistent with a humane approach to protecting life.
The National Mental Health Act 2021 provides an important framework for mental-health care in Nigeria. However, its existence does not by itself resolve the conflict between criminal punishment and a healthcare-centered response.
Reforming the law therefore requires reviewing the relevant criminal provisions and strengthening mental-health services, and an improved economic system so that decriminalization is accompanied by practical support.
ECONOMIC HARDSHIP AND THE CIRCUMSTANCES BEHIND SUICIDE ATTEMPTS
Economic hardship, unemployment, homelessness and food insecurity may contribute to severe distress for some individuals. In Nigeria, the rising cost of living has intensified concerns about access to basic necessities, particularly among vulnerable households and children living on the streets.
However, suicide attempts do not have a single cause. Mental-health conditions, personal experiences and social circumstances may also play significant roles. It would therefore be inaccurate to attribute every attempt to poverty or economic hardship.
The important legal question is whether criminal punishment adequately addresses the circumstances surrounding suicidal distress. Where a person needs medical attention, psychological support or social assistance, prosecution alone may fail to address those needs.
Nigeria should consequently consider a broader response that combines appropriate healthcare with effective social protection, while recognizing that each person’s circumstances require individual assessment.
CRIMINAL PUNISHMENT OR MEDICAL INTERVENTION?
Supporters of criminalization may argue that punishment discourages suicide attempts and reinforces the value of human life. However, the effectiveness of imprisonment as a deterrent requires evidence, and protecting life should involve more than prohibiting harmful conduct.
Criminal prosecution may also expose vulnerable individuals to stigma and discourage them from seeking help. These are important concerns when considering whether the criminal justice system is the most appropriate response to a person who survives a suicide attempt.
A healthcare-centered approach would priorities medical assessment, crisis intervention, counselling and rehabilitation according to individual needs. Decriminalization, however, must not mean abandoning people in distress. It should be accompanied by accessible mental-health services and appropriate safeguards for personal liberty and dignity.
Nigeria should therefore reconsider whether criminal punishment achieves its intended purpose more effectively than a properly funded system of prevention and support.
DECRIMINALIZATION AND THE RISK OF ABUSE
One concern about decriminalization is that individuals might attempt to exploit government assistance programmes. However, without reliable evidence, it would be speculative to conclude that removing criminal penalties would encourage suicide attempts for financial gain.
Nigeria can address potential abuse through transparent eligibility criteria, proper verification and accountability in the administration of public assistance. Emergency medical care should remain separate from eligibility for financial benefits, ensuring that people in crisis receive appropriate treatment without automatically qualifying for cash assistance.
The possibility of fraud should not overshadow the need to protect vulnerable individuals. A well-designed system can safeguard public resources while ensuring that people experiencing suicidal distress receive appropriate care and support.
RECOMMENDATIONS AND THE WAY FORWARD
Nigeria should review the Criminal Code Act and the applicable Penal Code provisions to replace criminal punishment for attempted suicide with a support-centered approach.
Government should strengthen mental-health services, emergency care, counselling and social protection for vulnerable individuals. Clear institutional responsibilities, adequate funding and safeguards against the misuse of public resources are also essential.
The government must look beyond criminal punishment and confront the economic conditions that leave many Nigerians struggling to survive. Tackling unemployment, reducing poverty, improving access to affordable food and housing, and creating sustainable employment opportunities should form part of a broader suicide-prevention strategy. A father who has lost his job, a mother struggling to feed her children and a graduate unable to secure employment need more than laws that punish suicidal behavior; they need practical opportunities and support to rebuild their lives.
Finally, reliable research and public awareness should guide policy decisions and help evaluate the effectiveness of suicide-prevention measures. Decriminalization must be accompanied by practical support to ensure that people in distress are not left without assistance.
CONCLUSION
Nigeria should reconsider the criminalization of attempted suicide and priorities prevention, medical care, rehabilitation and improved economic condition over punishment. Although protecting human life remains essential, criminal prosecution alone cannot adequately address the complex circumstances surrounding suicidal distress.
A support-centered approach, backed by accessible mental-health services, effective social protection and appropriate safeguards, would provide a more humane response. Ultimately, protecting life requires not merely punishing those who attempt to end theirs, but ensuring that help is available when they need it most.
Oluwaleye Adedoyin Grace, LLB. (Hons.)Join Rights Groups.
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Nigeria: Outsourcing the Presidency, One Infirmity at a Time
By Chidi Odinkalu
Nearly 20 years ago, while stumping for his party, the Peoples’ Democratic Party, out-going president, Olusegun Obasanjo, decided to confront head-on morbid rumours about the health of his hand-picked successor.
Umaru Musa Yar’Adua, then governor of Katsina State and the president’s man for the job, was said to be stricken in a hospital in Germany. From the podium, Obasanjo dialled before bellowing, “Umoru, are you dead?!” It was obviously not a question for a dead man.Yar’Adua was mercifully alive. He returned in time to be announced winner of a presidential election in 2007 widely described as “a charade”.
His tenure was dogged by concerns about ill-health until his death in May 2010.Presidential infirmity was not unknown to Nigeria.
Ibrahim Babangida was only 46 when he was flown out of the country for medical attention in 1986. The cause, Nigerians were informed, was “Radiculopathy”, a multi-syllabic tongue-twister that sent many newsrooms consulting diagnostic standard manuals.
In November 2009, President Yar’Adua required overseas hospitalization for “Acute Pericarditis.”
In the first 46 months of his first term as civilian president from 2015 to 2019, Muhammadu Buhari spent 407 days outside Nigeria, with about 242 days or nearly 60% of that devoted to health tourism overseas. He was 72 when he was inaugurated as civilian president, an age at which infirmity is not unknown in the ordinary course of human events.
Four things emerge from these instances. First, the wellbeing of a president is a legitimate matter of public and civic concern.
Second, like all human beings, Presidents can and do from time to time take ill. Babangida and Yar’Adua were much younger than President Tinubu is today, whatever his age may be.
Third, there was a time when presidential handlers believed they owed the country the benefit of some disclosure about the wellbeing of the President or lack of it. That, it seems, is history.
Fourth, irrespective of the health status of the president, the country must always avoid a leadership vacuum.
The twin crises of power and succession that accompanied the final months of the Umaru Musa Yar’Adua presidency brought this last point home with urgency.
In response, the National Assembly enacted a constitutional amendment designed to keep the country running when a president needs to take time off for running repairs. All it requires is for the president to temporarily transfer power to his Vice and notify the National Assembly appropriately.
On-going concerns about the health status of the incumbent suggest a presidency deeply enamoured of déjà vu or, as the Punch newspaper says, invested in treating constitutional provisions as an “ornamental” inconvenience.
In office for 41 months so far, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has spent over 270 days (about 22%) outside the country, including over 100 days spent on 13 different trips of varying descriptions to France alone. The reason for the frequency of his visits to France is credibly suspected to be medical.
Rather than a temporary transfer of power as the constitution allows, it seems he may prefer instead to outsource it. To whom is not clear, but examples from other places could help.
In a study published in 1999, Herbert Abrams, writing about the United States, recounts that “Presidential infirmity, accompanied by a failure to fully inform the public, has been stamped indelibly on our history during the past two hundred years. Fourteen of the eighteen American presidents in the twentieth century had significant illnesses while in office….that were either concealed from the American people or underreported.”
Take for instance the case of Dr. Woodrow Wilson, the Nobel Prize-winning 28th president, who took the United States through the First World War and inspired the League of Nations. Returning home from Europe in July 1919 from signing the Treaty of Versailles which ended World War 1, Wilson preoccupied himself with the ultimately futile effort to persuade his country into the League.
In the middle of this effort, on October 2, 1919, President Wilson suffered a stroke. According to medical records released only in 1991, the stroke was so massive that it would have been “impossible for him ever to achieve more than a minimal state of recovery.”
Yet, as narrated by Christopher Andrew in his 1995 history of U.S. secret intelligence, For the President’s Eyes Only, Wilson’s second wife (the first died in 1914), Edith Galt, helped to “suppress accurate information about his health and to ensure that he continued as president for the remainder of his second term” until 1921.
On the other side of the Atlantic, the health of President Wilson’s contemporary and ideological adversary, Vladimir Ilich Lenin, was the subject of equally intense scheming between a shrewd wife and ruthless usurper. In 1922, Lenin elevated Josef Stalin to the position of General Secretary of the Central Committee of the Communist Party with sweeping powers over party matters. Shortly thereafter, Stalin drew Lenin’s ire when he (and another senior Central Committee member also from Georgia, Sergo Ordzonikidze) annexed Georgia.
Ill-health stayed in the hand of an angry Lenin who was struck down by a massive stroke in December 1922. To preserve the life of the Party’s greatest asset, the Politburo under Stalin’s influence restricted Lenin to working for a mere 10 minutes daily. Upon learning that Lenin was doing more, Stalin accosted Lenin’s wife, Nadezhda Krupskaya, warning her rather darkly, as recounted by Stalin’s biographer, Simon Sebag Montefiore, that if she did not ensure compliance “the Central Committee would appoint someone else as Lenin’s wife.”
In France, President Georges Pompidou repeatedly denied that he had anything less worrisome than a common cold until his death in office of cancer in 1974.
In 1981, Pompidou’s successor, Valéry Gisgard d’Estaing, lost in a close election to the inscrutable Francois Mitterrand. In the same year, President Mitterrand learnt that he had prostate cancer that had metastasized to the bones. Mitterrand promptly declared this a State Secret. Hiding it even from his wife, he ran for and won a second seven-year term in 1988, promising France that he was in robust health. In his debate with Jacques Chirac in 1988, Mitterrand infamously faced a more formidable challenge from an overwrought bladder in desperate need of relief.
As the Washington Post reported in January 1996, “Mitterrand’s cancer reached such a critical state in late 1994 that he was no longer able to carry out his duties and spent most of his time resting in bed.” The week after Mitterrand’s death in January 1996, his doctor, Claude Gubler, published a book, Le Grand Secret, detailing this grand deception. French authorities promptly banned the book because it allegedly breached medical confidentiality.
Closer home, Tunisia’s founding president for 32 years, Habib Bourgiba, chose to stay in office after being diagnosed with arteriosclerosis in 1983. In November 1987, Bourgiba, already enfeebled by dementia, gave his shocked compatriots a prime-time disquisition on the state of his testicles. His once-loyal prime-minister, General Zine Abdine Ben-Ali mercifully moved to confine Bourgiba under medical detention in the appropriately-named Monastir, where he died in 2000.
When he went on trial in 1994, shortly after his overthrow at the end of 31 years as Malawi’s leader, the court ruled Dr. Hastings Banda physically and mentally unfit to attend his own trial. He had in fact been “senile for years”. Yet, for 31 years until his ouster earlier in the same year, Dr. Banda held Malawians in thrall as the all-knowing Ngwazi. Real power had been outsourced to his “Official Hostess”, Mama Cecilia Kadzamira and her uncle, John Tembo.
In Malawi also, a dead president was wilfully mis-represented as merely unwell. After he died on 5 April 2012, Malawi’s presidency contrived to export the dead remains of President Bingu wa Mutharika to South Africa to enable them buy time for an unconstitutional succession by his brother and then foreign minister, Peter Mutharika. They mis-led Malawians with the announcement that the president “had…taken ill and had been flown to South Africa for specialist treatment.”
Whatever the medical dictionaries may say, the lesson of history is quite clear: infirmity can outsource the presidency under cover of “a bodyguard of lies.” Nigeria was supposed to have made this history in 2010, but the lessons do not seem to have been learnt.
A lawyer and a teacher, Odinkalu can be reached at chidi.odinkalu@tufts.edu


