OPINION
Letter To His Excellency, Gov.Yahaya Bello By Edward Onoja

Your Excellency Sir,
My Leader, Boss, Friend, Siamese Twin Brother; God-sent benefactor and Captain of the Ship of my Beloved Kogi State, the White Lion Himself, A year ago, whilst I was by your side working out the service of our State, the wicked ones of Kogi (those whose only desire is to hijack power by every means possible) pushed the lie they conjured in their dumb heads and maggot-infested soul that my wife, my three month old son and I were involved in a ghastly motor accident along Abuja-Lokoja Road.
To the glory of God, and the shame of devil, the desires of your enemies and our enemies did not come to pass, and we are all alive and healthy today.
God has also given more proof from our last Elections that your leadership of Kogi State is divinely made in heaven. I have no doubt that God will continue to protect us on this journey of the New Direction to the Next Level and no devil or his agents can stop us. God will always give us the overcomers’ grace. Thank you Sir for not yielding to the strong pressure to champion an Ethnic Agenda which excludes other tribes to the sole advantage ofAnebira. You have rather chosen to exemplify a United Kogi where all have the sense and feeling that they belong. Thank you for not towing the path of a religious extremist. We the followers of Christ appreciate you for the award of contract to build a befitting Chapel of Worship in Government House, making Kogi one of the few States which have a place of worship for adherents of both major faiths within the seat of power, just like the Presidential Villa.
Your heart is full of LOVE. May our Almighty God Whom you honour continue to honour you before your enemies, increase your greatness and comfort you on every side. Thank you for securing our state and ridding us of the violent kidnappers, robbers and thugs who held us hostage before your arrival in Government House. Thank you for rising up to the occasion and crushing the elements of
hell whenever they try to raise their ugly heads as they recently attempted in Omala. You are truly the most successful Governor of the entire 4th Republic in Security. Thank you for your herculean efforts to rapidly bridge infrastructural gaps left behind by many years of negligence by your predecessors.
Thank you for the many genuine reforms in the Civil Service which has changed the orientation and attitude of our people to work, even as you make spirited efforts alongside our Labour leaders and other stakeholders to access the balance of our bailout funds.
You have persevered in this task even as those who claim to love and fight for Kogi more than you are resisting your efforts and doing everything in their power to sabotage it in Abuja and elsewhere.
Because I know good will always triumph over evil, I know the painful obligation around salaries and wages will be put to rest shortly. When you triumph in this as you have done in every challenge, the enemies shall have no more song in their mouth but that of sectionalism and even that will perish in their mouth too.
Thank you for showing time and again that you truly love me. You may not recall this Sir, but I can truthfully say that the only time you have lost your temper with me since I started working for you was the night I went out without my full complement of security vehicles and details. You were so worried at the way I exposed myself that you remained angry and scolded me for 2 whole days. I have not and will not repeat that mistake. However, seeing you so concerned about me was completely reassuring. Thank you for being you to me, to us and to Kogi with all your powers.
If I am to choose my leader a million times, I will always choose you.
You are the MAN.
After you, na you!
Thank you for standing in for all of us your aides in good and bad times. Even to those who lost faith on this journey. Your rewards in life and eternity are bigger and more precious than
the loyalty of mere mortals. However, the Bible places a severe curse on betrayers:
*“Woe to that man by whom the Son of Man is betrayed! It would have been good for that man if he had not been born” (Matthew 26:24)!*
Let me therefore reiterate to you that I am Totally Loyal – to you to the CORE. I also declare that anyone (my self inclusive) who has soared to success with your support, or on your back, or by the incidences of your office, in fact, in any way at all who openly or secretly betrays you will harvest all the woes pronounces by the Bible.
Anyone who has enjoyed your largesse and has gone behind to stab you in the back will discover that each blow will pierce the heart of their own nearest and dearest until they wish they had never been born like the Bible says.
Thank you for your inspirational leadership which motivates us to go the extra mile on the job even when the going is tough and the results are not coming as fast as we expect.
Thank you for leading us ( The APC Family to an all time record Electoral Success. 25 members out of 25 in the Kogi State House of Assembly is the surest sign that your second tenure would is secure by
the grace of God and the will of our voters. It is also sign that the 3 Arms of Government will work speedily and with unity in moving us to the Next Level of the New Direction. Thank you for striving to unify Kogi State through proportional allocation of resources to all parts of the state.
Thank you for your great respect for our Traditional Institutions and their deliberate inclusion as Stakeholders and partners in the process of governance.
Thank you for keeping our eyes on the ball always through the example of your own personal habits of discipline and commitment.
Most importantly thank you for TRUSTING me, Edward Onoja, regardless of the noise of demonic liars who approach you with all sorts of diabolic falsehood in their bid to put a rope to the trust which binds us together so things can fall apart between us and in Lugard House.
Thank you for loving me and my family.
Thank you for loving our people, our state and our country.
I dare to prophesy that you will return again as Governor because your efforts are genuine and it aligns with God’s divine Agenda for Nigeria.
Already, after your stunning electoral victories in February and March, we are getting serious enquiries from the most unexpected people and quarters, your long time foes and detractors, seeking an
end to hostilities and asking how they can serve in advancing your cause in November and beyond.
This Project is a product of Prophecy. It cannot abort! It will arrive safely at DESTINATION.
My Boss, my friend and my Siamese Twin for Life!
I owe you LOVE!
And you have it unconditionally.
Eddie.
#Onoja is the Chief of Staff to Governor Yahaya Bello of Kogi State

OPINION
President Tinubu, the North and Distortions of Politics

By Tunde Rahman
Two years in the saddle, has President Bola Tinubu undercut the North in running the country’s affairs and distributing political appointments and infrastructure? Has he reneged on the promise to the Northern elites three years ago in Kaduna that he would run an all-inclusive government, protect the national interest and be fair to the North?It was in a bid to answer these critical questions that governors, ministers and other top government functionaries from the Northern region converged on Arewa House, Kaduna on July 29 and 30, 2025, under the auspices of the Ahmadu Bello Memorial Foundation as, to present their scorecards and tell the region what they had all done for it since May 2023.
Ultimately, the intervention by the governors and government functionaries yielded a verdict that outrightly rejected what the questions inherently suggest. They reeled out impressive strides recorded by the administration in infrastructure and security. According to them, President Tinubu has done a lot for the North. Whatever underdevelopment in the region should not be attributed to him but to Northern leaders who neglected the area for many years. However, it was apparent that the motive beneath the frenzied conversation about the Tinubu administration’s achievements is not so much what the President has done–or not done–for the North regarding distribution of national offices and infrastructure. It was, essentially, the interests of some Northern elites angling to shape political decisions and the politics of 2027 at play. As my friend, the Publisher of The Cable and former Editor of Thisday, Simon Kolawole, would say, “it’s all politics”, and this time, 2027 politics.It’s a page from an old politics playbook: couching the political elite’s views, opinions, and interests as those of the larger society where they operate. To achieve their aim, they deploy all kinds of subterfuge, including ethnicity or religion. Richard Sklar hints at this when he states that “tribalism is an instrument in the hands of political elites.”This is evident in the outburst of the New Nigeria Peoples Party leader, Senator Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, who recently accused President Tinubu of marginalising the North in infrastructure development. However, available evidence points to the contrary. According to the Director-General, Budget Office, Dr. Tanimu Yakubu, who should know, more than half of the capital budgets for 2024 and 2025 were allocated to projects and programs in Northern Nigeria. “Contrary to politically-motivated narratives, Northern Nigeria is not on the margins; it is at the heart of federal investment priorities. Over 50% of the capital budget for 2024 and 2025 is traceable to projects and programs in the North when major national trunk infrastructure and water basin investments are properly accounted for,” he declaredTanimu outlined flagship projects and interventions that prove the administration’s commitment to developing the North. These include the Abuja–Kano Expressway dualization, ₦12.1 trillion Sokoto–Badagry Superhighway, the most ambitious cross-regional road project in decades, spanning 1,068 km, costing ₦3.63 trillion, with 30% of it already approved by President Tinubu for the project’s initial rollout in Sokoto and Kebbi; Kano–Maradi Standard Gauge Railway, a Sahel trade corridor enabler; Zungeru–Kano Power Transmission Line, boosting industrial power supply; Funtua and Bauchi Inland Dry Ports for agro-export and logistics; and Expansion of Airport Runways in Katsina, Maiduguri and Kaduna. But first, there’s a need for recourse to Tinubu’s promise to the North before he was elected president. On October 17, 2022, Tinubu came before the Northern elite to present his agenda for the region and solicit their votes. This was in the run-up to an election where former vice president Atiku Abubakar, the Peoples Democratic Party candidate in the poll, had fouled the air, fanning the embers of ethnicity, telling the North he belonged to it and was the best candidate to protect the Northern interest. There was tension in the land. The nation’s fault lines were being toyed with. Atiku’s erstwhile presidential running mate in the 2019 election, who had become the Labour Party candidate, Mr. Peter Obi, was also unrelenting, ratcheting up ethnic and religious sentiments for his candidacy.It was against this backdrop that Tinubu mounted the podium at the Arewa House. Tinubu and Atiku were leading other candidates in the North at the time. Thus, the North had become divided, and the atmosphere at the talks venue was charged. In a measured but purposeful tone, Tinubu told the gathering that as president, he would consolidate on the investments of the late President Buhari administration in all sectors to build on the gains recorded. He spoke of his plans to ensure that insecurity was nipped in the bud in the North and across the country, harness the resources that abound in every part of the nation for greater economic development, and utilise the country’s vast natural resources through strategic investment in infrastructure. Speaking specifically and cautiously on his plans for the North, he said, among other things, that the region has a comparative advantage in agriculture, and that under his presidency, the North would emerge as the hub of agribusiness in Africa through massive investment in the sector in collaboration with the private sector. “Agriculture is of special interest to me. It is both an economic and existential issue for every country. Experience in the last seven years has shown the potential of agriculture in solving the problem of unemployment and boosting our GDP,” he said. On his plans for education and reducing out-of-school children in the North, he said that working with both states and local governments to reform and retool the system, he would provide the required leadership and mobilise investment for the sector’s development. According to him, these reforms will give special attention to the welfare and training of teachers and lecturers as necessary catalysts for the better system the North desires.He identified some priority roads and hydropower projects in the North that had either not been followed through on, and new ones he would introduce to aid the region’s development.His lucid presentation and the way and manner in which he calmly but firmly responded to the questions thrown at him were pretty impressive. I know this as a fact because I was there. With that event, the North and Tinubu entered into a pact. In the 2023 presidential election results, the North voted well for Tinubu, giving him about 60% of the votes that brought him to power.Are there gaps in what he promised the North and what he delivered to them? Has President Tinubu mistreated the North two years down the road? I do not think so! The President has kept faith with his promise. However, there is room for improvement. Ongoing projects in the North, like the Sokoto-Badagry Highway, Abuja-Kaduna-Kano reconstruction work, Mambilla Hydroelectric Dam, Baro Inland Port, and Ajaokuta Steel Mill, should be vigorously pursued. The views expressed at the Kaduna two-day summit titled “Assessing Electoral Promises: Fostering Government-Citizens’ Engagement for National Unity” were interesting, though admittedly mixed. The Chairman of the Arewa Consultative Forum (ACF) Board of Trustees, Bashir Dalhatu, alleged that the Tinubu government had neglected the region, especially in its budget allocations and infrastructural development. “Two years into President Tinubu’s four-year tenure, the feeling among the people of the North is, to put it mildly, completely mixed,” he said, citing specific federal budget figures to underscore the alleged neglect. Some contrasting submissions offset such a grim prognosis. Kaduna State Governor Uba Sani and Governor Inuwa Yahaya of Gombe State said the President is committed to fulfilling his promises to the North. At the same time, Secretary to the Government of the Federation George Akume affirmed that President Tinubu’s administration would leave no region behind. Vice President Kashim Shettima, represented by Dr. Aliyu Moddibo, his Special Adviser on General Duties, noted that the current administration’s inclusive reforms were in line with Nigerians’ economic reality.Minister of Budget and National Planning Atiku Bagudu stated that the administration is implementing policies to transform Nigeria’s economy and fulfil the promises made to Nigerians. “The President has complete faith in Nigeria. He does not make decisions based on ethnicity or region. His government is rooted in fairness and inclusivity,” he said.On the fight against banditry and terrorism, National Security Adviser (NSA) Nuhu Ribadu said the Tinubu administration had made giant strides in protecting lives and properties. Ribadu said Nigerian security forces had subdued and eliminated some of the terrorist leaders, who had unleashed terror along the Kaduna-Abuja highway, making it safer for travellers. The NSA noted that the once-troubled highways from Zamfara to Katsina, Kaduna-Abuja, and Kaduna to Birnin Gwari, which were a nightmare for travellers, can now be travelled at night due to security improvements. “Politics will not allow people to credit us for all that,” he added.In the final analysis, the Kaduna Governor gave the Northern leaders food for thought when he declared that the Northern woes should not be blamed on President Tinubu. “Yes, President Tinubu made promises. But let’s be honest: he has kept faith with the North in many critical areas – security, agriculture, education, and economic inclusion. The real question is, have we kept faith with our people as Northern leaders?”Rahman is Senior Assistant to the President on Media & Special Duties.OPINION
BBNaija, NLNG Prizes and the Question of National Priorities
By Zayd Ibn Isah
When Olubunmi Familoni won the $100,000 Nigerian Prize for Literature last year with his children’s book The Road Does Not End, I was deeply disappointed that he didn’t even trend on social media.Had he been a Big Brother Naija winner, he would have dominated headlines, trended across platforms, and brands would be falling over themselves to offer him endorsements.
He might even have been given an appointment by his state governor as SSA on Entertainment, because our leaders understand us very well. They know what we value and where our priorities lie.In the midst of that disappointment, I wrote an article titled “Nigerians and Our Priorities”, which was published by Daily Trust and other outlets. Nearly a year later, I feel compelled to revisit the topic, because nothing has changed. We still hold the entertainment industry in higher esteem than other sectors.That’s why when many of us criticised Mr. President for hosting the Super Falcons and their coaching staff at the Presidential Villa, where he showered them with cash gifts, houses, and national honours for, of course, bringing glory to Nigeria by winning the African Women’s Cup of Nations in Morocco for a record tenth time, I was surprised by the backlash. Is it not the same footballers most of us are praying our children become, so they can make generational wealth?We Nigerians are fascinating as a people. This is because we are often quick to hold our leaders accountable while ignoring our own shortcomings.Today, unless you are in the entertainment industry, your chances of being recognised and celebrated at home as a creative writer or scientific inventor are slim. Most of the writers and inventors we know and celebrate today are only recognised because they are globally acclaimed. Take, for instance, the Nigerian Prize for Science and the Nigerian Prize for Literature, two of the continent’s most prestigious awards, each worth $100,000.Despite the enormous cash rewards attached to these academic and literary prizes, the awards as a whole hardly generate a fraction of the buzz that surrounds a single season of BBNaija among Nigerians, especially the youths.In particular, the Nigerian Prize for Literature is an annual award sponsored by NLNG, established in 2004. It operates on a four-year cycle, rotating through four genres: prose fiction, poetry, drama, and children’s literature. Prose fiction usually generates more interest than the other three genres, so there’s a lot of buzz in literary circles surrounding this year’s longlist.The shortlist for this year features acclaimed writers like Abubakar Adam Ibrahim, Chigozie Obioma, Yewande Omotoso, Uwem Akpan, Michael Afenfia, and Chika Unigwe. These are all authors whose works have received global praise, although not as much as the likes of Prof. Wole Soyinka, Chinua Achebe, and Chimamanda Ngozi Adichie.Still, it is disappointing how as a society we have failed to fully celebrate their importance. It is also amusing how such formidable writers would have to double their hustles if they were to want a seat at the table with Big Brother Naija housemates and other entertainment figures.I can never fully wrap my mind around the fact that these remarkable writers have contributed far more to Nigeria’s creative history than BBNaija housemates—all to barely known outside literary circles. It is even more annoying when you consider how some BBNaija housemates immediately become folk legends after entering Biggie’s house to dance, eat, parade in near nudity, and even indulge in sexual acts under the full view of cameras.As we often say in pidgin, “This life no just balanced at all.”If you’ve been following the trends on X (Twitter), you would have noticed that since this year’s BBNaija housemates entered the house, their names have been trending nonstop. And volunteers are already campaigning for votes for their favourites to win.At this point, we must ask: Why do we, as a people, invest such disproportionate attention in fleeting entertainment spectacles like BBNaija, where religious immorality and social irresponsibility are the order of the day, while ignoring initiatives that actually contribute to our intellectual, cultural, and national development? Isn’t this, too, a form of misplaced priority?In “Nigerians and Their Priorities”, I made a similar argument. Permit me to paraphrase here:“Our society places more emphasis on celebrity culture, political drama, and viral content than on intellectual achievement. Familoni’s brilliant portrayal of Nigerian life and culture deserved to be a national conversation. Yet, how many Nigerians have even heard of his book, let alone read it?”We live in a time when the sensational is preferred over the substantial, the trending over the timeless. From politics to pop culture, we elevate the fleeting while ignoring the foundational.Why is it that as a country, we seem to prioritise fleeting trends over lasting influence, and the sensational over the substantial? Why do political scandals, social media trends, and celebrity culture often dominate our conversations, while achievements in literature, science, sports and other fields often fly low under our collective radar?It is even more tragic when you realize that many Nigerians do not read, and rarely even see the act of reading as a leisurely activity. Even in universities, undergraduates only read to pass exams and make grades.Outside of that academic context, there’s little interest in literature. And if one doesn’t care for books at all, he or she would care less about the people who write them in the first place. Little wonder we end up producing educated illiterates as thousands of graduates emerge from our universities.So again, I ask: What are our national priorities? And are they aligned with the future we claim to desire? For decades our literary output as a nation has been the one thing which has consistently placed Nigeria in a good light. Now, we cannot afford to neglect this great literary heritage and nurture shallow things instead.It is noble to hold our leaders accountable, but we must extend that accountability inward. We are not merely the governed. We are the future governors. And the values we nurture today will determine the kind of nation we lead tomorrow.Zayd Ibn Isah can be reached at lawcadet1@gmail.comOPINION
Ahmadu Bello Children’s Territorial Politics
By Festus Adedayo
There was territorial tension in Nigeria last week. Like in the famous fable where animals gathered in the forest to delineate their individual boundaries, last Tuesday, Northern Nigeria regrouped in Kaduna in aid of its territory. Western Nigeria Awurebe music lord, Late Ibadan, Oyo State-born Dauda Epo Akara, has the patent of a folklore that captures this fictional animal gathering.
Epo sang about a quartet of animals comprising Lion, Fox, Cobra and Tortoise which can be extrapolated into a human gathering. It was a power show and territorial delineation. The animals did not only gather to flex muscles but to have a mutual understanding of the power in their pouches.In a July 17, 1995 article published in the Nigerian Tribune, authored by Dr. Omololu Olunloyo, ex-governor of Oyo State, the famous mathematician and politician looked at that same fable from a power calculus prism. Ace columnist, Dr. Lasisi Olagunju, in an Olunloyo memorial symposium recently, uprooted the folklore from the archive and situated its essence.Each of the animals was embittered by past territorial usurpation. As they complained, they also criminalized any further attempt to take one another for granted. This they curated in form of taboos, the irreducible minimum of their tempers’ elasticity, a violation of which would bring the beast out of them.For Cobra, he could tolerate his head or even the back being stepped upon in elementary power duel. However, anyone who trod on his tail in power contestation should be ready to meet Asarailu, Muslims’ angel of death.Arewa Consultative Forum (ACF) Board Chairman, Bashir Dalhatu, would seem to represent the Cobra in folklore. Like a reptile ready to sting with its deadly venom, Dalhatu spat out the north’s grouse. President Bola Tinubu, he said, had underdeveloped the north.Rising insecurity, poor infrastructure, declining agricultural support, neglect of education and healthcare of the children of Sir Ahmadu Bello, the Sardauna of Sokoto, were the president’s 26-month infractions.In territorial politics, the north has always been an example of the two old Nigerian regions. Highly savvy and purposeful in its romance of power, the north acts like the proverbial hollow-eyed whose tears stream out in a long course.The north’s entitlement, said Dalhatu, was its demographic contribution to Tinubu’s emergence. What gave Tinubu the temerity to trifle with Ahmadu Bello’s progeny who gave him 64 per cent of the total votes that crowned him?Convened at the instance of Uba Sani, Kaduna state governor and one of Tinubu’s political sidekicks, the undisguised raison d’être of the gathering was to dissolve mounting perceived undercurrents of the north’s dissatisfaction with the Tinubu government.In the last 26 months, the children of the Sardauna of Sokoto have bickered in groups. The North, they claimed, has been severely marginalized in federal allocations, project execution, and key appointments.Of greater foundation, they complain, is the ravaging pestilence of insurgency. Don’t our fathers say, before the Sòbìyà, a guinea worm parasitic infectious disease, becomes a painful wound, is the appropriate time to call for its doctor, the Olúgànbe?Fox, Lion and Tortoise were also at The Sir Ahmadu Bello Memorial Foundation (SABMF)-organized event which drew participants from across the 19 Northern states and the FCT. For these three animals, their anger and prognosis for stopping further territorial hurt was without equivocation.Fox spoke next. It was abominable for his deadly face to be looked at by anyone, he said. It was then the turn of the Lion to speak. If anyone impugned this animal’s dignity, reputed for scarifying his victims without a scalpel (akom’o ní’là láì l’abe), the recompense was bloodbath for the transgressor, he spelled the word audibly.Tortoise told the conferees that he was aware of his own bitchy ugliness, especially the amoebic shape of his splintered carapace, but it was not the remit of anyone to mock him. Epo Akara put it more succinctly. Anyone else could haggle the price of the dye in the hands of a traditional dry-cleaner but not a bed-wetter, he sang. Anyone who engaged in such body-shaming would have to endure a “very lethal punishment” from him.Chairman of the Northern Elders’ Forum (NEF), Prof. Ango Abdullahi, for that moment, became one of the animals. He was angry about the recent relocation of key Central Bank departments from Abuja to Lagos, a move he condemned as “suspicious and divisive”.He equaled the so-called marginalization of Northern Nigeria as a threat to Nigeria’s unity and development. Abdullahi told the president that there was a growing number of out-of-school children in the north, a figure he put at 80 per cent of Nigeria’s estimated 20 million out-of-school children.“If just half of the N15 trillion national budget were allocated to education, we would have no child out of school. That money would provide schools, teachers, and equipment,” he said, with a further criticism of the state of infrastructure in the North. “You can’t talk about national development when a whole region remains disconnected,” he said. Like the animals proposing conditions for armistice, Abdullahi proposed the allocation of N7.5 trillion each to education and roads in the North.Amity reigned in the animal kingdom after this “Memorandum of Association”. It was the same peace that reigned after, I reckon, this same northern bloc met Tinubu before the 2023 election. What must have given the Abdullahis and Dalhatus of the north the weapon to show this kind of entitlement? My guess is that there must have been a breakdown of agreement between them and Tinubu.Not long after the animals signed their own Memorandum, a rupture soon came. One fateful day, Tortoise, with his wobbly weight and unsightly limbs, walked into the gathering of his colleagues. His gait immediately provoked laughter among them.Miffed by this rank rupture of a gentlemanly agreement, Tortoise, notorious for his trickster traits, reached for his pouch of trickery. He immediately hid himself behind a twig of trees not too far from the animals. From there, he dug his limb into the soil and spattered loose soil on the fur coat of Fox.Angered, Fox spat on the Lion whom he wrongly believed was responsible for this. Lion roared, his mane fluffing in indescribable fury as the whole forest shook in a seismic burst. He then charged Fox who he assumed was responsible for breaking this taboo.In the pandemonium that ensued, Lion and Fox mistakenly stomped on the tail of the Cobra, breaking his spinal cord. As a last minute revenge, Cobra spat his venom which immediately temporarily blinded the two. The fight was so intense that both Fox and Lion inflicted fatal wounds on each other’s jugular. In no time, the bodies of the three giants of the forest lay in a heap, in a mutually assured destruction.In the folklore told by the trio of Epo Akara, Olunloyo and Olagunju, the eventual tragedy of the quartet was similar. Olagunju explains the tragedy thus: “As to cause of death, Lion died from a fatal snake bite, Fox from being torn to pieces by His Royal Majesty, the Lion, whilst Cobra had his vital backbone crushed in the scuffle. The battered tortoise hobbled away quite amused but not before having his back shell broken when the lion squashed it, in a mad rush after receiving a snake bite.”Since the 1914 amalgamation of the Southern and Northern protectorates by Lord Lugard, the two regions have worn their fatal flaws on their lapels. While the south, first port of call of white colonialists, took its Westernism to the extreme, the north prides itself in how it weaponizes its magisterial understanding of the calculus of power.Why did Dalhatu, Abdullahi and other sons of Ahmadu Bello who railed at Tinubu last Tuesday feel they were entitled to their bile? The north always feels it holds the ace in Nigeria’s murky and voodoo demographic politics. Since 1866 when the first population census exercise took place in Nigeria in the Lagos colony, the 1914 census became the first census after the amalgamation of that year and the first to cover the whole of what is now Nigeria.The demographics were however done on account of estimates and tax records. The 1931 and 1941 censuses were stalled largely by a force majeure. While the 1931 count was disrupted by a twin manifestation of unrest in eastern Nigeria and the ravaging locust swarms in the north, the 1941 exercise could not be held due to World War 11.Others that have taken place include the 1962 and 1991 exercises. The May 1962 census was highly contested with both western and eastern Nigeria claiming that the figures were doctored. They claimed the result was based on negotiation and not enumeration.In the words of J. P. Mackintosh in his The Struggle for Power in Nigeria (1965), “the Northern figures (showed) a rise of 300% (17.5 million to 22.5 million) while the East and West claimed rises of about 70%. The Minister in charge, a Northerner, decided to carry out a ‘verification’ which pushed the North up by 80%. When some of these facts became known, there was a political outcry and the Eastern members walked out of the House of Representatives.Sir Abubakar Tafawa Balewa took the census into his office and asked the Regional Officers to make a completely fresh count. When this was done (at the end of 1963) almost the same results emerged, with the North’s rise keeping pace with the figures claimed by the South.”The crisis from the 1962 census was part of what eventually led to the military putsch of January 1966. The census that took place in 1973 was not published due to same allegations of falsification. The 2006 exercise happened to be the most recent.The territorial politics that happened in Kaduna last week is the type the north has always used to transform ethnicity into an identity. It does this for the sake of aiming to gain political power. The weapon of actualizing this is demographics.This was hoisted a few weeks ago when the rump of CPC in the APC hoisted a nebulous 12 million votes with which it hoped to whip Tinubu into line. Since the British began attempts at a nationwide population census, it had always faced the accusation that it planned to favour its northern quisling ahead of the south.The south claims that the whole population exercises in the north is a sham, buoyed by the amorphous Purdah system where enumerators are forbidden from entering delineated harem homes wherein is written “Baa siga, gidan aore ne” – entrance barred because it is inhabited by married women.Accusation of sudden inflow into Nigeria of nationals of Niger, Chad and contiguous countries surrounding the north is also rife in enumeration time. The aim of doing this is to bloat population numbers for the sake of securing more government funding and political representation. It led Azuka Nwachukwu to conclude, in his ‘Politics and Census in Nigeria: Challenges and the Way Forward’ that, “falsification of population census result, religion rivalry, ethnicity stimulation and fluctuation of period of conducting census serve as a controlling force against accuracy of population census figures.”Since 1999 when the 4th Republic commenced, as each election cycle is afoot, the north takes Nigeria into inter-ethnic tensions while hoisting the primacy of its ethnicity. This politicized ethnicity made Goodluck Jonathan run from pillar to post to satisfy the region in 2015.It was all to no avail. Jonathan flew to Sokoto to establish the nomadic school. I doubt if that school ever functioned till today. His fatal nudge was to think education was the problem of the north. He was wrong. Continuation of a feudal hold on the Talakawas is it. Jonathan brought on board his government elites of the Ahmadu Bello’s progeny. It failed to rouse the region in his support. The north was rather obsessed with bringing its most vacant-minded son to administer Nigeria.From 2015 to 2023 of Muhammadu Buhari’s administration, he kept on nourishing that same barren path of prejudicing northern elite ahead of rescuing northern children from ignorance of Almajiri. The result is the metastasis we have today of insurgency. The roam-abouts of yesterday have come of age, equipped with burning fury against their elite captors.I agree absolutely with Kaduna State governor, Uba Sani, that it will be unfair for the north to blame its backwardness on Tinubu. From July 28, 1966 when it took over power, except for the accident of history that produced Olusegun Obasanjo in 1976, northern leaders have consistently and woefully failed to provide a future for the north.It was the lack of the will to combat the vermin of roam-about, born-trowey children – apologies to Mrs. Patience Jonathan – that birthed and energized the incubus of Boko Haram and allied insurgent activities in the north. How can Tinubu be victimized for this? On this violence affliction which the north brought upon Nigeria, this country has spent trillions of Naira of annual budgetary allocations, as well as martyred thousands of its soldier children, in service of decades of this elite fatal flaw.I am interested in knowing how northern son, Buhari, fared in taming insecurity in his eight years rule, as compared to Tinubu’s two years, to warrant Dalhatu’s blame. Dalhatu’s allegation is that, under this government, “the North remains under siege, with insurgent groups multiplying and attacks becoming increasingly deadly.”How much of Dalhatu’s “widespread violence — including massacres, bombings, kidnappings and cattle rustling” which he said “has crippled economic and social progress across the region” did Buhari tackle? What was the percentage of Buhari government’s funding of agriculture, education, infrastructure and healthcare, and implementation of policies that promote equitable development across the country? When Buhari sat in Aso Rock for eight years picking his teeth, how much of this territorial politics did the north play? Only statistics can trump the mashed potato of rhetoric and impassioned arguments of the north.Like the intense fight of Fox, Lion, Cobra and Tortoise and its attendant mutual infliction of fatal wounds, the north’s card of politicized ethnicity has a potential of a mutually assured destruction. As the bodies of the three giants of the forest lay in a heap, the moment Tinubu finds a way round the north’s territorial politics, he will, like Tortoise, though bruised, walk away from its self-inflicted wounds.When some of Ahmadu Bello progeny’s brown-noses argue that since 1999, the north has spent less years in the Villa than the south, as rationalization for the region to again be in office in 2027, they make one want to puke. It is a self-serving argument. The question to ask is, is the period from 1966 to 1999 no longer part of Nigeria’s history? In other words, did Nigeria start in 1999?