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OPINION

PDP’s Long Road to Recovery

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By Majeed Dahiru

Like a thunderbolt from outer space, the announcement by the PDP National Executive Committee about its decision to zone its presidential candidacy to the southern part of Nigeria ahead of the 2023 presidential election has set the Nigerian political space alight with renewed conversations about the future of Nigeria’s liberal representative democracy.

Although not altogether unexpected, this move by the PDP symbolises a party in repentance of the mortal sin it committed in 2023 when it violated its zoning principle by failing to work for the emergence of a southern Nigerian candidacy after the eight year northern presidency of President Muhammadu Buhari.

To maintain equity, justice and fairness as well as prevent issues such ethnic and religious dominance in Nigeria’s democracy; something similar to Diversity, Equity and Inclusion (DEI) principle in Western Democracies, Nigeria’s ruling elite have devised the principles of zoning and rotation of elective as well as appointive public offices to this end since independence in 1960.

But unfortunately for the PDP, it made a wrong gamble by jettisoning zoning when it threw up former vice president Atiku Abubakar, a northerner to succeed President Buhari, another northerner after eight years in power, thereby violating the sanctity of zoning, which oscillates presidential power between the north and south every eight years. When the PDP violated zoning it also set sail against the wind of presidential power that was blowing south in 2023.

And as was predicted on the page, the former ruling party turned major opposition party was going to run into trouble waters and sink into oblivion. I had this to say then, “That the PDP may not sail against the strong wind of presidency that is blowing south, will be for the party to field a southern candidate as its presidential candidate in the 2023 presidential election.

For the PDP 2023 presidential election is not just about ‘winnability’ but actual survival. While the APC is dominant in the north and the PDP’s strongest support base is in the south, the move by the APC to field a southern candidate in the 2023 presidential election will torpedo the PDP from the region if the party fields a northern candidate.

And if the PDP goes ahead to sail against the wind in 2023 by fielding a northern candidate, the ship of the party will capsize, sink into oblivion as the party will lose in the north and in the south to the APC and go into extinction in post Buhari Nigeria.”

And true this prediction, the PDP was on the throes of death, nestled in political Intensive Care Unit (ICU) and waiting for final internment until the decision to work for the emergence of a Nigerian president of southern extraction on its platform in 2027.

This is because when Atiku happened to the PDP, it developed a Wike problem, which was cancerous in nature as it rapidly spread and ravaged the party from within. However, having reached this decision to pick its next presidential flag bearer from the south, in alignment with national expectations and in conformity with the prevailing zoning arrangement, which will have the presidency retained in the south until 2031, the PDP is well on the long road to recovery.

This crucial decision by the PDP, though but late not too late, is a reasonable, pragmatic, wise and strategic one that will halt the sinking of the party into oblivion and resuscitate the dying giant of Nigeria’s Fourth Republic Democratic dispensation.

But for the PDP it is not yet Uhuru. In addition to the PDP’s lack of a clear cut alternative to what the APC currently offers, the party’s Wike problem still festers as the former governor of Rivers State and current FCT minister, has made it crystal clear to all that he is fully committed to the re-election of APC’s President Ahmed Bola Tinubu in 2027 while remaining a powerful member of the main opposition PDP. This stand will suggest that the ebullient Ezenwo Nyesom Wike may not be as enthusiastic about the recovery of the PDP as it will be in the interest of President Tinubu’s re-election if the main opposition party remains divided and in crisis.

But going forward, Wike will be standing on a weak moral waging an internal war against a party that has repented of its sin after taking a decision to right the wrong of 2023 in 2027. While Wike is within his democratic right to continue to support President Tinubu going into the 2027 presidential election, he should limit it to deploying his political influence to mobilize maximum support for him without resorting to undermining the PDP’s road to recovery through subterranean means. Minister Ezenwo Nyesom Wike has fought a good fight and the decision to zone the candidacy of the PDP to the south is a clear vindication for him as he may have lost the battle against Atiku in the party primaries in 2023, he has eventually won the war for the soul of the party.

And for those who accuse Wike of anti-party activities, let it be known that those most guilty of anti-party activities against the PDP are Atiku Abubakar, the northern wing of PDP and their southern cohorts who conspired to treacherously violate the zoning agreement within the party when it mattered most.

And Wike was within his right as a Nigerian and southerner to work against any party arrangement that violates the principles of equity, fairness, inclusion and justice in a manner that undermines the social cohesion, unity and peace of the Nigerian state.

An important hallmark of liberal democracy is the absolute right to democratic choices in line with one’s conviction and conscience. For example, in 2013, Democratic President Barack Obama of the United States of America appointed Senator Chuck Hagel, a Republican as his Secretary of Defence.

This was because, unlike typical Republican conservatives, Senator Hagel was less hawkish and more conciliatory towards matters of international security especially as it concerns the Middle East Peace Process. Similarly, Senator John McCain, a leading member of the Republican Party of America rejected the candidacy of Donald Trump, his own party nominee for the November 2016 presidential election and instead threw his support behind Hillary Clinton of the Democratic because he considered Trump an American presidential misfit.

Back home in Nigeria, when the same PDP violated the zoning arrangement in 2011 and 2015, the northern wing of the party revolted against the party from within in rejection of the southern candidacy of Goodluck Jonathan. This is because loyalty to nation comes before loyalty to party in a liberal democracy and there is a clear difference between “protest votes” and “anti-party activities.”

In a liberal democratic setting, individuals and groups within a party are allowed to protest against party decisions on candidacy and even legislations in parliaments if in their consideration these decisions run contrary to their principles, beliefs or interests.

But recall that once PDP realised its 2015 mistake and retraced its steps by zoning its presidential ticket to the north, the party experienced a rebound enough to give the APC a hot chase for the number one position in the land.

So, while he is well within his right to support any candidate of his choice as a protest against the PDP’s decision to violate zoning, but like Okonkwo in Achebe’s Things Fall Apart, who was advised against having a hand in the death of Ikemefuna, a boy that calls him “father,” Wike should not have a hand in the death of a party that calls him “leader” by embarking on anti-party activities by undermining the recovery of the PDP. As it turned out, Obierika was Okonkwo’s best friend.

Majeed Dahiru, a public affairs analyst, writes from Abuja and can be reached through dahirumajeed@gmail.com

OPINION

Oyo School Abductions: Time for Concrete Action Against Terrorism

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By Tochukwu Jimo Obi

The recent kidnapping of students and teachers in Oriire Local Government Area of Oyo State has once again exposed the frightening state of insecurity confronting Nigeria. Condemnations have continued to trail Friday’s bandits’ attack on three schools in the area, where an unspecified number of students and teachers were abducted, while two persons were reportedly killed.

The tragedy has left families devastated and communities gripped by fear, as another painful chapter is added to the growing list of violent attacks across the country.

The attack, which occurred on May 16, saw armed bandits storm the community and abduct staff, students, and pupils from three schools; Community Grammar School, Baptist Nursery and Primary School, and L.

A. Primary School. Eyewitness accounts revealed that the attackers operated for hours without resistance, moving freely through the area while terrified residents watched helplessly. The incident has raised serious concerns about the safety of schools and the preparedness of security agencies to respond swiftly to emergencies.

Worst of all, one of the teachers kidnapped during the attack was reportedly beheaded by the terrorists, a horrifying development that has deepened public outrage. Such brutality underscores the dangerous evolution of criminal activities in Nigeria, where terrorists and bandits now operate with alarming boldness and cruelty. The gruesome killing has further strengthened calls for urgent and decisive action from government authorities at all levels.

This unfortunate incident of school attacks is happening yet again despite repeated assurances from security agencies that schools across the country are safe. Nigerians have continued to hear promises of improved intelligence gathering, stronger patrols, and enhanced protection for vulnerable communities, yet attacks persist with devastating consequences. The contradiction between official assurances and the reality on the ground has weakened public confidence in the nation’s security architecture.

Another disturbing trend is that insecurity is rapidly spreading into the South-West region, an area once considered relatively safer compared to other parts of the country. Reports of Lakurawa terrorists and other armed groups establishing footholds in parts of the region have heightened fears that criminal networks are expanding their operations unchecked. The Oyo school kidnapping has therefore become more than a local tragedy; it is a warning sign that no region in Nigeria can afford to feel immune from terrorism and banditry.

Every now and then, government officials continue to assure citizens that security agencies are on top of the situation, yet many innocent people are still being killed and abducted with little or no arrests made afterward. More troubling is the fact that these attacks reportedly lasted for over two hours without any intervention from security operatives. This glaring security failure leaves Nigerians asking difficult but necessary questions about the nation’s emergency response capabilities.

How could terrorists, moving in large numbers on motorbikes, invade communities, abduct many people, and still escape without being tracked, stopped, or pursued effectively? What then are the military aircraft and advanced security equipment acquired with public funds meant for if they cannot be quickly deployed during emergencies? These are questions that citizens deserve answers to, especially as insecurity continues to consume lives and livelihoods across the country.

The Oyo incident has once again strengthened arguments for the establishment of state police across Nigeria. It is now obvious and evidently clear that the country’s centralized security structure requires urgent decentralization, similar to what operates in many secure nations around the world. State policing, if properly regulated and managed, could improve intelligence gathering, rapid response, and community-based security operations, particularly in rural areas that are often neglected under the current system.

It is no longer enough for leaders to merely condemn these attacks without taking concrete and sustained actions to secure the nation. President Bola Tinubu, as Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces, must urgently engage all stakeholders in the security sector, including international partners where necessary, to ensure that these terrorists are decisively defeated.

Government must also ensure that budgeted funds meant for security agencies, especially for the purchase of military hardware and equipment, are fully released and properly utilized. Beyond military action, authorities must intensify efforts to prevent the recruitment of vulnerable youths into criminal and terrorist groups. Nigerians are tired of mourning innocent victims. These killings must stop.

Tochukwu Jimo Obi, a concerned Nigerian writes from Obosi Anambra state.

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OPINION

Museveni’s Seventh Term and Africa’s Gerontocracy Debate

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By Fortune Abang

Uganda’s President Yoweri Museveni, 81, sworn in for a seventh term after nearly four decades in power, has once again intensified debate over gerontocracy and political succession in Africa.

Museveni, who first assumed office in 1986, has now extended his rule into a fifth decade, making him one of the world’s longest-serving heads of state.

His latest mandate, expected to run until 2031, follows the January 2026 election in which he secured about 71.65 per cent of the vote, according to official results, defeating opposition leader Robert Kyagulanyi, popularly known as Bobi Wine.

His continued stay in power has been enabled by key constitutional changes over time, including the removal of presidential term limits in 2005 and the abolition of the presidential age ceiling in 2017, reforms that effectively removed legal restrictions on tenure.

Across Africa, analysts say Uganda reflects a broader governance pattern in which long-serving leaders consolidate authority over extended periods.

Comparable examples often cited include Cameroon’s Paul Biya, in power since 1982, and Congo-Brazzaville’s Denis Sassou Nguesso, who first assumed office in 1979, both of whom have also presided over decades of uninterrupted or repeatedly renewed rule.

While Museveni’s supporters argue that his leadership has provided continuity and relative stability in a region frequently affected by conflict, critics say prolonged incumbency has gradually narrowed political competition and weakened institutional independence.

Uganda has maintained a degree of internal stability and played active roles in regional diplomacy and security operations in East and Central Africa.

Supporters point to these outcomes as evidence that long-term leadership can deliver policy continuity and state cohesion.

However, opposition voices and analysts argue that stability has come at a democratic cost, pointing to declining electoral competitiveness, constrained civic space and increasing centralisation of power around the executive.

The debate intensified after the removal of presidential term limits in 2005, followed by the scrapping of the age ceiling in 2017, which together removed two major constitutional barriers to leadership rotation.

These changes have been widely cited by governance analysts as pivotal in reshaping Uganda’s democratic structure.

In the January 2026 election, Museveni again defeated Bobi Wine, who garnered roughly 24.7 per cent of the vote, amid allegations from the opposition of irregularities and political repression during the electoral process.

Supporters of Museveni argue that his long rule has enabled economic transformation, infrastructure development and strengthened Uganda’s role in regional diplomacy.

Some regional leaders, including Burundi’s President Évariste Ndayishimiye, have previously described him as a stabilising figure in East Africa, crediting Uganda with supporting peace processes and regional cooperation.

Yet, critics argue that prolonged rule risks institutional stagnation, where governance structures become overly dependent on individual leadership rather than strong, independent institutions.

Analysts warn that this can weaken succession systems and limit democratic renewal.

A foreign policy analyst, speaking anonymously, said prolonged leadership can normalise “institutional dependence on individuals rather than systems,” arguing that such conditions undermine long-term democratic consolidation.

“No nation can sustainably develop when power remains concentrated in the same hands for decades while institutions fail to mature independently,” he said.

Beyond Uganda, Africa continues to record some of the world’s longest-serving leaders, reinforcing concerns about generational turnover in governance.

In several of these systems, electoral competition remains limited and constitutional reforms have often coincided with extended presidential tenure.

Foreign affairs commentator Collins Nweke argues that the central issue is not age itself, but accountability and leadership renewal, noting that political systems weaken when succession is delayed or constrained.

Other analysts emphasise the importance of civic awareness and institutional safeguards, particularly term limits, which they describe as critical tools for preventing excessive concentration of power.

A diplomat, also speaking on condition of anonymity, called for stronger electoral transparency mechanisms, including credible voter registration systems, independent election management bodies, and robust domestic and international observation frameworks.

An academic, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said stronger civic awareness could help societies resist unconstitutional tenure elongation.

“When citizens are politically informed and organised, sit-tight ambitions lose legitimacy and public support,” he said.

Museveni’s seventh term therefore reflects a wider continental tension between political continuity and democratic renewal, raising questions about whether African democracies are evolving toward stronger institutions or settling into prolonged cycles of personalised rule.

For supporters, his leadership represents stability in a volatile region.

For critics, it signals the entrenchment of gerontocracy and weakening democratic competition.

Between these positions lies a structural challenge that extends beyond Uganda; whether institutions in African states are strong enough to outlast individuals and guarantee orderly political succession. (NAN)

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OPINION

Driving Africa’s Fair Energy Transition through Technology and Innovation

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By Bart Nnaji

Africa’s energy journey is often portrayed as a stark choice between climate responsibility and development. In reality, the continent faces a more nuanced challenge: finding a fair, gradual energy transition that matches its unique needs and ambitions.

Technology and innovation can drive this change, helping secure affordable and sustainable energy for all.

In the coming decades, Africa’s population is expected to soar to nearly 2.5 billion. Cities will grow. Industries will expand. Digital connections will multiply. The demand for energy will increase significantly.

Right now, expecting Africa to abandon fossil fuels overnight is neither realistic nor fair. In the near future, fossil fuels remain crucial for base power that is reliable, and affordable. In particular, natural gas is key transition fuel that will remain the base power solution for the next decade. Africa must not embrace renewable energy primarily when they have abundance of fossil fuel for their industrialization as other emerging and emerged nations have done. A just energy transition recognises these realities and seeks ways to build cleaner, more resilient systems over time.

Technology as the Enabler of Africa’s Energy Future

Exciting new technologies are already reshaping Africa’s energy landscape:

Decentralised solutions, like mini-grids, off-grid solar, and batteries, bring electricity to places traditional grids can’t reach. By 2030, these distributed renewables could provide most new connections in underserved communities.

Smart grids and AI-driven management can reduce waste. They help utilities serve people better.

Modern batteries ensure that solar and wind energy can be delivered steadily, even when the sun isn’t shining or the wind isn’t blowing.

Decentralised approaches are essential to Africa’s path toward universal energy access. While technology is not a fix-all solution, it is a crucial enabler of efficiency, resilience, and affordability, shaping Africa’s energy future.

African entrepreneurs are leading much of this change. They’re developing solutions that meet local needs, such as pay-as-you-go solar, community-run mini-grids, and mobile payment platforms. These innovations don’t just bring power; they create jobs, build skills, and reap economic benefits for the continent.

But innovation alone isn’t enough. Investment is critical. According to the International Energy Agency, Africa needs about $90 billion annually to achieve a successful energy transition, but current funding falls short. Governments can help by setting clear, supportive policies that attract investment and make projects more affordable. Organisations like the African Development Bank say grid investment must rise dramatically, and clean energy spending should double by 2030 to keep up with growing demand.

From Energy Access to Economic and Human Impact

Reliable energy is more than just a technical necessity – it’s what fuels industrial growth. Picture the continent’s factories buzzing with activity, transport networks connecting people and goods, and data centres powering a vibrant digital economy.

Expanding decentralised solutions brings light to places that have been left in the dark for too long. It’s about giving children a place to study at night, helping clinics store vaccines safely, and empowering entrepreneurs to launch new businesses.

Of course, none of this works in isolation. Supportive policies, strong regulations, and partnerships between governments and private companies are essential. When African countries harmonise their rules and work together, they can create bigger markets. This draws even more investment and innovation.

Ultimately, Africa’s energy transition must be shaped by Africans themselves. The path forward is about collaboration, pragmatism, and investing in homegrown solutions. Africa’s mobile phone revolution showed the world how quickly the continent can leapfrog old systems. The same can happen with energy; by embracing flexible, tech-driven models that serve today’s and tomorrow’s needs.

Now is the time to come together to act boldly and invest in Africa’s energy future. By uniting efforts, we can turn potential into progress, ensuring resilient, inclusive, and sustainable energy for generations to come. Let’s power Africa’s future, together.

Prof. Bart O. Nnaji FAS, FA Eng. CON, NNOM – Founder/Chairman, Geometric Power Limited and former Nigerian Minister of Power

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