BUSINESS
Nigeria’s GDP Improves by 3.98% in Q4 2021— NBS
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), says Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) increased by 3.98 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2021. This is according to the NBS Statistics Quarterly Report released in Abuja on Saturday.
The report presents statistics on Nigeria’s GDP, foreign trade, capital importation, consumer prices index, and social statistics.
According to the report, Nigeria’s GDP grew by 3. 98 per cent year-on-year in real terms in the fourth quarter of 2021.“This showed sustained growth for the fifth quarter since the recession witnessed in 2020 when output contracted by -6.10 per cent and -3.62 per cent in Q2 and Q3 of 2020 under the COVID pandemic.“The Q4 2021 growth rate was higher than the 0.11 per cent growth rate recorded in Q4 of 2020 by 3.87 per cent points and lower than 4.03 per cent recorded in Q3 of 2021 by 0.05 per cent points.
“Nevertheless, quarter on quarter, real GDP grew at 9.63 per cent in Q4 of 2021 compared to Q3 of 2021, reflecting a higher economic activity than the preceding quarter. The report said real growth of the oil sector was 8.06 per cent year-on-year in Q4 of 2021, indicating an increase by 11.71 per cent points relative to the rate recorded in the corresponding quarter of 2020.It said growth increased by 2.68 per cent points when compared to Q3 of 2021 which was 10.73 per cent.
The report revealed that the non-oil sector grew by 4.73 per cent in real terms during Q4 of 2021.“This rate was higher by 3.05 per cent point compared to the rate recorded same quarter of 2020 and 0.71 per cent point lower than the third quarter of 2021.”The report showed that services recorded the highest year-on-year growth rate of 5.58 per cent in the fourth quarter of 2021, followed by agriculture with 3.58 per cent, while industry had -0.05 per cent.
On the contribution to total GDP, the NBS said agriculture contributed the most to GDP with 26.84 per cent, followed by Trade with 15.66 per cent and Information and Communication with 15.21 per cent.” The activity that contributed the least was Administrative and Support Services with 0.02 per cent.
“This is followed by Water Supply, Sewerage, Waste Management and Remediation with 0.16 per cent and Arts, Entertainment and Recreation with 0.20 per cent.” Data on foreign trade revealed that in Q4 of 2021, Nigeria’s Total Merchandise Trade stood at N11,707.20 billion, 74.71 per cent higher when compared to the value recorded in Q4, 2020.It said export trade in Q4 of 2021 stood at N5.77 Trillion, indicating an increase of 12.27 per cent over the preceding quarter and the value in 2021 also grew by 80.52 per cent over the corresponding period of 2020.On the other hand, total imports stood at N5.94 trillion in Q4, 2021, indicating an increase of 11.33 per cent over the preceding quarter and 69.41 per cent over the corresponding period of 2020.
“Export trade by region in Q4 of 2021 shows that Nigeria exported most products to Europe with goods valued at N2,408.39 billion or 41.76 per cent of total exports. “Asia was N1,875.56 billion, or 32.52 per cent of total exports and Africa was N773.83 billion or 13.42 per cent of total exports, of which N250.52 billion worth of goods were exported to ECOWAS countries.
“Exports to America amounted to N702.74 billion or 12.19 per cent of total exports. ”The report revealed that during Q4 of 2021, Nigeria imported goods mainly from Asia, valued at N2,743.76 billion or 46.19 per cent of total imports. “This was followed by Europe at N2,422.41 billion or 40.78 per cent, America at N571.70 billion or 9.62 per cent, Africa at N161.47 billion or 2.72 per cent and Oceania at N41.24 billion or 0.69 per cent. ”It said that imports from ECOWAS countries accounted for N35.76 billion, or 0.6 per cent of the value of total imports.
The report also revealed that Export trade to trading partners shows that India remained the top export destination for Nigeria in Q4 of 2021.“The top five export destinations were India, Spain, France, the Netherlands and Indonesia. “With goods valued at ₦874.86 billion or 15.17 per cent, ₦789.23 billion or 13.69 per cent, ₦485.35 billion or 8.42 per cent, ₦425.85 billion or 7.38 per cent, and ₦ 288.10 billion or 5.0 per cent of export trade.
“These five countries collectively accounted for 49.65 per cent of the value of total exports in Q4, 2021.”The NBS said the sectoral share of imports for Q4 of 2021, showed that 50.51 per cent were manufactured goods, followed by other petroleum oil products with 28.60 per cent.
“Agricultural goods contributed 11.23 per cent of total imports, while raw material goods contributed 9.16 per cent. Solid minerals contributed the least with 0.50 per cent.”Data on Exports by sector showed that in Q4 of 2021, crude oil accounted for 74.04 per cent of total exports.
“Manufactured goods, raw material goods and agricultural goods contributed 6.86 per cent, 4.31 per cent and 2.30 per cent, respectively to total exports. “Energy goods contributed 0.36 per cent, while solid Mineral goods contributed the least with 0.24 per cent to total exports.”On capital importation, the report said the total value of capital importation into Nigeria in the fourth quarter of 2021 stood at 2,187.63 million dollars from 1,731.37 million dollars in the preceding quarter showing an increase of 26.35 per cent.
“The largest amount of capital importation by type was received through other investment, which accounted for 54.24 per cent (1,186.53 million dollars).“This was followed by Portfolio Investment with 29.39 per cent (642.87 million dollars) and Foreign Direct Investments (FDIs) amounted to 16.38 per cent (358.23 million dollars) of total capital imported in Q4 2021.”The report said capital importation by sector, revealed that tanning had the highest inflow of 645.59 million dollars amounting to 29.51 per cent of total capital imported.
This was followed by capital imported into the production sector, valued at 360.06 million dollars (16.46 per cent ) and the electrical sector with 325.55 million dollars (14.88 per cent).Capital Importation by country of origin reveals that Mauritius ranked top as source of capital imported into Nigeria in the fourth quarter of 2021 with a value of 611.45 million dollars, accounting for 27.95 per cent.
This was followed by the United States of America and the Republic of South Africa valued at 321.03 million dollars (14.67 per cent )and 285.83 million dollars (13.07 per cent ).The NBS said data on Consumer Price Index (CPI) which measures the average change over time in prices of goods and services consumed by people for day-to-day living measures the inflation rate.
In March 2022, inflation increased to 15.92 per cent on year-on-year basis. This is 2.25 percentage points lower compared to the rate recorded in March 2021 (15.70 per cent).“The composite food index rose by 17.20 per cent year-on-year in March 2022, indicating a healthier rate than in March 2021 which was a 22.95 per cent rise.”
The NBS said the current food index was caused by increases in prices of bread and cereals, partly due to the war in Ukraine. The report said the urban inflation rate increased to 16.44 per cent year-on-year in March 2022 from 18.76 per cent recorded in March 2021.It added that the rural inflation rate increased to 15.42 per cent in March 2022 from 17.60 per cent in March 2021.Data on social statistics according to the report revealed that in the area of health, cholera was the most reported disease in 2018 both for males and females, followed by measles, while Lassa fever was the least.
However, in 2019 and 2020, reported cases of measles were highest for both males and females, with 46,317 and 17,000 cases respectively. The report said this was followed by yellow fever, while Lassa fever and cerebrospinal meningitis were the least.
“In terms of reported deaths, cholera claimed the majority of lives in 2018 for both sexes, followed by cerebrospinal meningitis while yellow fever had the least. “Lassa Fever recorded the highest cases of deaths in 2019 to 2020, with 174 and 244 reported deaths respectively, while cerebrospinal meningitis recorded the lowest with 25 and 9 deaths, respectively. ”In Education, the report revealed that female enrolment in adult literacy education was more than male in 2018, while in 2019 and 2020 male enrolment was more than female. (NAN)
BUSINESS
Afreximbank Records 30 Per Cent Rise Net Income for First Half 2026
The African Export-Import Bank (Afreximbank) and its subsidiaries (the Group) recorded a 30 per cent increase in net income to 534.7 million dollars in the first half of 2026.
The bank disclosed this in a statement issued by Vincent Musumba, Communications and Events Manager, Afreximbank, on Wednesday, on its financial results for the six months ended June 30, 2026.
Musumba said the performance reflected the resilience of its business model and its continued support for trade and economic development across Africa and the Caribbean.
According to the statement, total assets and contingencies rose by 7.
8 per cent to 52.3 billion dollars from 48.5 billion dollars as of Dec.31, 2025.It said the growth was driven largely by increased lending, with net loans and advances rising by 5.7 per cent to 35.4 billion dollars, compared with 33.5 billion dollars at the end of 2025.
The statement said the bank’s asset quality remained sound, with its non-performing loan (NPL) ratio improving to 2.20 per cent at the first half of 2026, from 2.43 per cent at year-end 2025.
It said the bank also maintained a sound liquidity position, with liquid assets accounting for 13 per cent of total assets, within its strategic target range of between 10 per cent and 15 per cent.
The statement said shareholders’ funds increased to 8.5 billion dollars from 8.4 billion dollars at the end of 2025.
“The increase was supported by 534.7 million dollars in internally generated profits and 13.9 million dollars in new equity raised during the period.”
It said the Net interest income increased by 22 per cent to 1.0 billion dollars, compared with the 0.84 billion dollars in the corresponding period of 2025.
The statement said fee and commission income also increased by 15 per cent to 71.1 million dollars, from 61.9 million dollars in the first half of 2025.
It said the bank attributed the increase to higher fees earned from guarantees, letters of credit and advisory services.
“As a result net income reached 534.7 million dollars, representing a 30 per cent increase from 412.7 million recorded in the first half of 2025.”
The statement said Profitability indicators also improved, with return on average shareholders’ equity rising to 13 per cent from 11 per cent in the first half of 2025.
“Return on average assets increased to 2.54 per cent from 2.22 per cent over the same period.”
It said operational efficiency remained strong, with the cost-to-income ratio at 20 per cent, compared with 19 per cent in the first half of 2025, in spite of higher personnel expenses and persistent inflationary pressures.
According to the statement, Afreximbank further strengthened its funding profile after the reporting period by completing a 1.5 billion-dollar dual-tranche bond issuance.
It said the transaction, described as the largest international debt capital markets issuance in the bank’s history, comprised a 750 million-dollar 5.5-year tranche and a 750 million-dollar 10-year tranche.
“The offering was approximately two times oversubscribed, highlighting strong investor confidence and reinforcing the bank’s capacity to support its strategic growth objectives.
The statement quoted Denys Denya, Afreximbank’s Senior Executive Vice-President, as saying the financial performance reflected the continued resilience of the Group amid a complex global environment.
“Our healthy balance sheet gives us the capacity to respond when markets are disrupted, while continuing to finance the trade, industrialisation and investment that underpin longer-term economic resilience,” he said.
Denya said the expansion of lending, strength of asset quality and continued access to diversified funding enabled the bank to remain responsive to immediate challenges.
He added that these strengths would also support the structural transformation of African and Caribbean economies. (NAN)
BUSINESS
Nigeria’s Reforms Must Now Deliver Jobs, Higher Incomes – CPPE
Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise (CPPE) has urged the Federal Government to shift its economic reform focus from macroeconomic stabilisation to productivity, job creation and improved living standards.
The Chief Executive Officer of CPPE, Dr.
Muda Yusuf, made the call on Sunday in the centre’s assessment of the government’s economic reform scorecard released by the Minister of Finance.Yusuf said the reforms had delivered measurable gains, including stronger government revenues, improved foreign exchange stability, higher external reserves and increased investor confidence.
He said real Gross Domestic Product growth also strengthened to 3.89 per cent in the first quarter of 2026, from 3.13 per cent in the corresponding period of 2025.
“Macroeconomic stability is a means, not an end,” he said.
He said the real test of the reforms was their ability to deliver higher productivity, stronger investment, more jobs, lower poverty and improved living standards.
According to him, purchasing power remains under pressure, while businesses continue to face high energy, financing, logistics and regulatory costs.
Yusuf said the next phase of reforms should therefore prioritise productivity, competitiveness and household welfare.
He also urged state governments to translate increased statutory allocations and internally generated revenues into visible development outcomes.
He listed roads, healthcare, transportation, education, agricultural infrastructure, security, power and enterprise support as areas requiring greater investment.
“Higher revenues must produce a visible development and welfare dividend, rather than simply finance higher recurrent expenditure and prestige projects,” he said.
Yusuf identified electricity, logistics, insecurity, agricultural productivity, infrastructure, regulatory costs and high cost of capital as major structural constraints to economic growth.
He said the 15.3 per cent contraction in the electricity sector in the first quarter of 2026 underscored the urgency of addressing supply side constraints.
He said manufacturing and agriculture grew by 3.29 per cent and 3.15 per cent, respectively, during the period.
Yusuf called for trade policies that protected industries and agricultural producers with credible local capacity against unfair import competition.
He however, said producers should retain competitive access to critical inputs that were not adequately available locally.
He also advocated stronger fiscal and monetary coordination to enable a gradual reduction in financing costs as inflation moderates.
The CPPE chief executive cautioned against reversing the economic reforms, describing such a move as potentially damaging to investor confidence and fiscal stability.
He said policy makers should instead sustain the reform trajectory, while continuously refining its implementation based on evidence and its impact on businesses and households.
Yusuf said: ‘’Nigeria’s next reform phase must move from stabilisation to productivity; from higher government revenues to better development outcomes.
‘’Also, it must move from improving macroeconomic indicators to tangible gains in jobs, incomes and living standards.’’ (NAN)
BUSINESS
NICA Seeks N2trn Credit Guarantee Fund to Unlock Nigeria’s Economy
The National Institute of Credit Administration (NICA) has called for the immediate capitalisation of the Nigerian Credit Guarantee Company (NCGC) with two trillion naira.
The Registrar and Chief Executive Officer of NICA, Prof.
Chris Onalo, made the call on Sunday in a statement on the state of Nigeria’s credit economy.Onalo said stronger banks from the recent recapitalisation would not translate into economic growth without deliberate measures to expand credit to productive sectors.
He said private sector credit stood at 28 per cent of the Gross Domestic Product as of June 2026, far below the 60 per cent to 80 per cent average recorded in emerging economies.
According to him, high lending rates of between 32 per cent and 35 per cent have priced key sectors out of formal credit.
He listed manufacturing, agriculture, housing and education among sectors struggling to access affordable financing.
He said banks had become increasingly risk averse in spite of improved liquidity following the recapitalisation exercise.
He attributed the situation to weak credit infrastructure, limited credit bureau coverage, weak collateral enforcement and slow judicial recovery.
Onalo warned that the credit gap was pushing millions of Nigerians toward informal lenders and digital loan platforms.
He said this could worsen household debt and weaken the capital base of small businesses.
The NICA boss described the situation as a “credit paradox”, where funds existed within the banking system, but were not sufficiently circulating in the productive economy.
He said the government must, therefore, create mechanisms to de-risk lending and encourage banks to finance businesses capable of creating jobs and expanding production.
Onalo urged the Federal Government to empower the NCGC with two trillion naira to provide broad-based guarantees for lending to micro, small and medium enterprises.
He said the guarantee scheme would serve as a bridge between stronger banks and increased financing for businesses.
“Given the recent robust bank recapitalisation, the Federal Government should immediately capitalise the Nigerian Credit Guarantee Company (NCGC) with N2 Trillion.
“This broad-based guarantee will de-risk lending, unlock bank balance sheets, and upscale credit to MSMEs nationwide. It is the bridge between strong banks and a strong economy,” he said.
Onalo also called for single-digit intervention funds for agriculture, manufacturing, housing and the creative economy through relevant government institutions.
He advised the government to establish an Office of the National Chief Credit Officer to coordinate federal credit policies, intervention funds and guarantee programmes.
Onalo also recommended mandatory credit reporting by fintechs, cooperatives and other lenders to strengthen Nigeria’s credit infrastructure.
He called for the full digitisation of the National Collateral Registry to reduce lending risks and improve access to credit.
He insisted on regulation of digital lenders to protect borrowers from predatory interest rates and unethical debt recovery practices.
Onalo also proposed reforms allowing pension and insurance funds to invest more in corporate bonds and infrastructure debt.
He urged all 36 states to establish Credit Access Departments to work with financial institutions and the NCGC to fund grassroots enterprises.
“Bank recapitalisation has given us stronger banks. What Nigeria needs now is coordinated, guaranteed and disciplined credit,” he said.
He added that such measures would enable credit to become a catalyst for enterprise, employment and sustainable economic growth.
Onalo said NICA was ready to provide policy support, technical guidance and executive training for implementing the proposed reforms. (NAN)


